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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: heatcharger on November 04, 2017, 09:00:23 am



Title: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: heatcharger on November 04, 2017, 09:00:23 am
Link (https://bigleaguepolitics.com/big-league-gravis-virginia-poll-northam-48-v-gillespie-43-final-stretch-towards-nov-7-election-day/).

Governor:
Northam 48%
Gillespie 43%
Hyra 3%

Lt. Governor:
Fairfax 46%
Vogel 42%

Attorney General:
Herring 47%
Adams 42%


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: KingSweden on November 04, 2017, 09:19:29 am
Surprising #s for Gravis. Throw it in the average


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on November 04, 2017, 09:21:04 am
The only way that Gillespie wins is that Trump is over 40 in the election polls and that Democrats still don't know how to talk to voters who aren't Democrats.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Congressman Dwarven Dragon on November 04, 2017, 10:10:46 am
Surprising #s for Gravis. Throw it in the average


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Katz for Queens DA on November 04, 2017, 10:17:28 am
Gravis isn't a credible polling firm though; it's like a conservative version of Zogby.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: mds32 on November 04, 2017, 10:28:09 am
This poll and their New Jersey poll don't seem to have any flaws.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: DTC on November 04, 2017, 10:30:30 am
nah this is fake news gillepsie is up by 10


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: mds32 on November 04, 2017, 10:32:20 am
This survey also proves that the GOP should really be concentrating on the Lt. Governor race in VA. Because if then if they win it they can afford to lose a Senate seat in 2019 if the environment is the same as 2017/18.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Ebsy on November 04, 2017, 10:41:30 am
Thanks Gravis.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Free Bird on November 04, 2017, 12:05:44 pm
Christ are they all over the place with this.

I know it's cliche, but I'm guessing this'll be a turnout game.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Speaker YE on November 04, 2017, 12:21:30 pm
Just because it's an outcome you like doesn't make Gravis not junk.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: swf541 on November 04, 2017, 02:33:36 pm
Like 80% of the polls in the last day, throw them in the pile

Gravis did get va right in 16 though


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Kempros on November 04, 2017, 08:32:31 pm
Christ are they all over the place with this.

I know it's cliche, but I'm guessing this'll be a turnout game.

IKR. Anywhere from Northam +17 to Gillespie +8.
The pollsters have gotta work on their credibility after 2016.
So much for +- 3% with a 95% confidence.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: mds32 on November 05, 2017, 06:38:52 pm
Except it, Gravis Marketing is a real pollster and they could very well have this race right.


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: KingSweden on November 05, 2017, 08:07:41 pm
Except it, Gravis Marketing is a real pollster and they could very well have this race right.

Wow I didn’t know Gravis Marketing’s Director of Political Polling posted on Atlas! We’ve gone mainstream guys!


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: President Griffin on November 05, 2017, 08:15:59 pm
Gah: we're gonna lose this, aren't we?


Title: Re: VA-Gravis: Northam+5
Post by: Eraserhead on November 05, 2017, 10:36:49 pm
Damn, brutal news for Northam.