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Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: heatcharger on November 15, 2017, 01:44:26 pm



Title: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: heatcharger on November 15, 2017, 01:44:26 pm
Link. (http://www.wbur.org/news/2017/11/15/wbur-poll-baker-warren)

Warren 58%
Diehl 32%

Warren 58%
Ayyadurai 27%

Warren 56%
Lindstrom 33%

Warren 57%
Kingston 33%

Favorables:
Warren: 55/38
Baker: 67/14
Trump 27/66


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Arch on November 15, 2017, 01:47:55 pm
Titanium D


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Not_A_Man on November 15, 2017, 01:53:18 pm


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Hydera on November 15, 2017, 01:55:59 pm
They should had a Warren vs Baker matchup for the senate. I really want to know how much voters attitudes differ in a senate matchup between the two.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: RINO Tom on November 15, 2017, 01:58:28 pm
They should had a Warren vs Baker matchup for the senate. I really want to know how much voters attitudes differ in a senate matchup between the two.

I agree that this would be interesting, but I'd still guess something like Warren 56% to Baker 41%.  Baker is exceptionally popular in the state for a Republican, but I still suspect that there were quite a few people who voted for him as a "check on the legislature" or something like that and wouldn't consider sending him to DC.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: #Kavanaugh For Prison on November 15, 2017, 02:38:37 pm
They should had a Warren vs Baker matchup for the senate. I really want to know how much voters attitudes differ in a senate matchup between the two.

I agree that this would be interesting, but I'd still guess something like Warren 56% to Baker 41%.  Baker is exceptionally popular in the state for a Republican, but I still suspect that there were quite a few people who voted for him as a "check on the legislature" or something like that and wouldn't consider sending him to DC.

Baker will run for Governor, and probably win.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: The Saint on November 15, 2017, 02:45:27 pm
They should had a Warren vs Baker matchup for the senate. I really want to know how much voters attitudes differ in a senate matchup between the two.

I agree that this would be interesting, but I'd still guess something like Warren 56% to Baker 41%.  Baker is exceptionally popular in the state for a Republican, but I still suspect that there were quite a few people who voted for him as a "check on the legislature" or something like that and wouldn't consider sending him to DC.

Baker will run for Governor, and probably will win.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Sensitive Soccer Moms Against Impeachment on November 15, 2017, 02:57:34 pm
Pretty sure that Warren would also crush Baker by at least 15 points. Fortunately for Democrats, voters in blue states can actually distinguish between gubernatorial/statewide and Senate/federal races.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: McGovernForPrez on November 15, 2017, 05:50:33 pm
Warren is gonna break 60% easily and I wouldn't be surprised if she broke 65%.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: RoboWop on November 15, 2017, 06:56:32 pm
The fact that Kingston got in the race should be the final nail in the coffin for the "Baker for Senate" conspiracists.

Nothing surprising here, except that Ayyadurai is still being polled as an R. He's running independent.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: McGovernForPrez on November 15, 2017, 07:42:03 pm
The fact that Kingston got in the race should be the final nail in the coffin for the "Baker for Senate" conspiracists.

Nothing surprising here, except that Ayyadurai is still being polled as an R. He's running independent.
Baker is better off running in 2020 against Markey anyways. Even if he ran he'd lose. If Weld couldn't do it Baker certainly can't.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: NewYorkExpress on November 16, 2017, 12:48:13 am
The fact that Kingston got in the race should be the final nail in the coffin for the "Baker for Senate" conspiracists.

Nothing surprising here, except that Ayyadurai is still being polled as an R. He's running independent.
Baker is better off running in 2020 against Markey anyways. Even if he ran he'd lose. If Weld couldn't do it Baker certainly can't.

Markey's probably going to retire...and in any event, does Baker really want to run in a Presidential Election in a (atlas) Red state with high turnout among Democrats. That would be suicide for him. If he were to run for Senate...knowing he'd likely lose, he's better off running against Warren in 2022, or in a hypothetical special should Warren be elected President (or Vice-President, or be appointed something like Treasury Secretary).


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln on November 16, 2017, 12:56:03 am
They should had a Warren vs Baker matchup for the senate. I really want to know how much voters attitudes differ in a senate matchup between the two.
Warren would almost certainly destroy him. Massachussans like Republican Governors, not Senators (unless the choice involves Martha Coakley).


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Sir Mohamed on November 16, 2017, 02:33:59 am
The 2018 election in MA will almost likely end up with one of the biggest ticket splitting (Warren for senate and Baker for governor).


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on November 16, 2017, 05:47:10 pm
Seems like her rigged comments won't effect her one bit like some posters on here suggested.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: PA is Lean D on November 16, 2017, 05:48:21 pm
The 2018 election in MA will almost likely end up with one of the biggest ticket splitting (Warren for senate and Baker for governor).

I can't wait to get the cross-tabs from election night.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Bevinevitable on November 16, 2017, 05:49:02 pm
Seems like her rigged comments won't effect her one bit like some posters on here suggested.

Uh...I'm pretty sure they were talking about the 2020 Democratic primary.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: PA is Lean D on November 16, 2017, 05:54:26 pm
I can't wait for the Trumplican twitter meltdown when she wins with 60%+ of the vote. Many of them think she is vulnerable.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Brittain33 on November 17, 2017, 03:25:36 pm
Link. (http://www.wbur.org/news/2017/11/15/wbur-poll-baker-warren)

Warren 58%
Diehl 32%

Warren 58%
Ayyadurai 27%

Warren 56%
Lindstrom 33%

Warren 57%
Kingston 33%

Awkwardly, 5% of voters (and 1/6 of Republican votes) will vote for a generic Republican against Warren unless he has a non-European name, in which case they go to undecideds.


Title: Re: MA-WBUR: Warren leads Republican opponents
Post by: Fudotei on November 17, 2017, 04:34:14 pm
Most of the Senate candidates here are not well known, but this would only theoretically be a competitive race in a poorly organized and openly corrupt Hillary administration. Then you might start seeing, I don't know, Warren only at 50 instead of nearly 60.

In an alternate world there's a very popular thinkpiece about Diehl called "You've Never Heard of Him. He's a State Representative. He Might Beat Elizabeth Warren." floating around Newsweek or Politico or WaPo.

[Granted, Diehl was Trump's co-chair in Massachusetts, meaning he's not going to succeed in higher office anytime soon. Good try though]

In this reality, Titanium D.