Talk Elections

Link. (http://www.wbur.org/news/2017/11/15/wbur-poll-baker-warren)

Baker 59%
Gonzalez 19%

Baker 60%
Massie 21%

Baker 58%
S. Warren 24%

Favorables:
Baker: 67/14
Trump 27/66

The people of Massachusetts are so tolerant of Republicans. Good for them.

Nice.

God damn

Not just any republican. republicans who don't touch social issues its, why republican governors are pretty popular atm in the North East.

Even if they wanted to overreach, they wouldn't be able to because of the legislatures.

Good to see Massachusetts isn't such a deplorable hack state that it would elect a pedophile over anyone with an (R) next to their name. :)

I know you're a straight ticket R voter outside of NH, so this probably won't make much sense, but a lot of Atlas red state voters split their tickets downballot - not because they like republicans, but to put a check on the democratic party's worst excesses.

Can these numbers actually be real

I guess it's possible Baker gets a boost in that he looks even better to Democrats in light of here Trump has taken the GOP, but after Virginia I frankly expected blue state voters to throw out Republicans everywhere.

I very highly doubt Baker will win by a ton, much less these historic landslide numbers seen here.

Baker is a good governor. I would probably end up voting for him barring any huge policy differences that he makes until the election.

These numbers are absurdly high. I wonder if he could actually get more than 60%?

Baker is most likely going to be 2018's equivalent of Beebe 2010. He could theoretically go down, but the Democrats would be better served focusing on taking out Walker and Hogan.

No! Massachusetts voters elect paragons of virtue like Ted Kennedy.  Give me a break!

Quite easily. Baker is extremely popular, and even fairly popular among Democrats.

So, I was reluctant to say "Safe R" because this is going to be an anti-GOP election and Massachusetts is already an anti-GOP state, and while there has been a history of GOP governors in Massachusetts, there's never been one elected in a Democratic wave year.

Until 2018. Baker is safe assuming he stays scandal-free. It's a shame, I love Setti Warren. He might benefit from name confusion with Liz.

The 2014 Republican wave didn't stop Wolf from beating Corbett (who was an incumbent in an incumbent-friendly state to boot); so I can see Baker holding on, even in the event that a Democratic wave takes place.

A lot of Pennsylvania-specific factors in that race, though.

It would ironic and really funny that AL and MA may end up switching places in terms of odd wins.

Baker 2018 : Beebe 2010
Jones 2017 : Brown 2010

Beebe's from Arkansas

Bleh, ugh... Forget I ever said anything xD

In 2006, incumbent, moderate-Republican Governors were Reelected in California, Vermont, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Hawaii.

Ed Gillespie is not a moderate Republican incumbent Governor either. He is a former RNC Chair, fairly conservative, and who ran a campaign focused on social issues.

Baker for U.N. Secretary General at this point

Definitely not Safe. Maybe Likely.

I don't doubt that it would be a completely different result if it were a senate race.

Anyway, I predict that Setti Warren will win the nomination and improve his numbers through the campaign, and eventually only lose by about 7 points. The map won't change drastically from 2014.

I think Warren can convince most Coakley voters that there are reasons to dislike Baker, but in the end it won't be enough.

New Poll: Massachusetts Governor by MassInc on 2017-11-12 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2520171112198)

Summary: D: 21%, R: 59%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://d279m997dpfwgl.cloudfront.net/wp/2017/11/Topline-2017-11-WBUR-Issues-3-Wed-5am.pdf)

Great polls.

Baker should be the future of the Republican Party. Not a bigot and a pedophile.

Totally agree. I met him a few times and he’s a great guy unlike 90% of today’s politicians. Charlie 2020

If Baker is the Republican nominee, I hope the Democratic nominee is Joe Manchin so all my dreams will have came true.

Would vote for Baker over Manchin in a heartbeat.

He's constantly on the move, never living in one place for too long...

That sounds more like a nightmare.

Same, probably. Although the conditions that would cause this bizarre matchup to occur are impossible, so it's hard to know for sure.

As would I.

Blue states are likely to toss out abrasive right-wingers. Republicans can win election in such states so long as they are seen as competent administrators who successfully dodge controversy.

While Democratic supermajorities are there to keep them in check.