Title: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on January 04, 2018, 10:01:55 AM Another year, another Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/01/03/previews-04-jan-2018/)
Hertsmere, Borehamwood Cowley Hill Lab 59.8 (+6.4) Con 32.2 (-14.4) UKIP 4.8 (+4.8) Lib Dem 1.7 (+1.7) Green 1.5 (+1.5) Lab gain Borehamwood Cowley Hill from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on January 04, 2018, 08:33:32 PM Cheers to your & Andrew's work then.
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on January 04, 2018, 11:27:31 PM Cheers to your & Andrew's work then. It's Andrew who does the legwork; I just plug numbers into a spreadsheet. Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on January 07, 2018, 11:41:39 AM Cheers to your & Andrew's work then. It's Andrew who does the legwork; I just plug numbers into a spreadsheet. Even if Andrew's is 90% of the work, your effort recording the year's results should be acknowledged. Anyway, that's a pretty decisive win for Labour considering the crowded field (who seem to have made little impact). Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on January 11, 2018, 07:02:18 PM Next installment of the Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/01/09/previews-11-jan-2018/).
Lancashire, Wyre Rural Central Con 60.0 (-10.9) Lab 31.8 (+13.9) Green 8.2 (-3.0) Wyre, Preesall Con 55.3 (-12.2) Lab 44.7 (+12.2) Kent, Birchington and Rural Con 56.6 (+4.8) Lab 19.1 (+3.7) Lib Dem 12.5 (+1.1) UKIP 8.0 (-7.4) Green 3.8 (-2.2) Thanet, Thanet Villages Con 49.3 (+21.1) Lib Dem 24.9 (+24.9) Lab 16.4 (+4.1) Green 5.3 (-9.1) Ind 4.1 (-15.8) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on January 17, 2018, 07:32:38 PM The Holy Word At Home here (https://britainelects.com/2018/01/16/previews-18-jan-2018/).
Rochford, Downhall and Rawreth Lib Dem 77.0 (+19.4) Con 23.0 (+5.8) Bournemouth, Throop and Muscliff Ind Wilson 31.3 Con 30.0 (-2.4) Lab 23.6 (+10.9) Ind Lucas 6.9 Lib Dem 6.3 (+6.3) Green 1.9 (-9.4) Bolton, Hulton Con 49.4 (+16.7) Lab 40.1 (+3.1) UKIP 6.5 (-18.0) Lib Dem 2.3 (-0.2) Green 1.8 (-1.5) Milton Keynes, Newport Pagnell North and Hanslope Con 53.0 (+5.2) Lab 24.8 (+4.0) Lib Dem 22.2 (+3.6) Ind hold Throop and Muscliff Con gain Hulton from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on January 19, 2018, 06:23:56 AM Quote This by-election also looks difficult for Labour, whose administration in Bolton has a knack for attracting bad publicity. There will be more on that subject in a future edition of Andrew’s Previews; this piece is already quite long enough. If the Tories can unwind the UKIP vote and capitalise on opposition to the Hulton Park development, then this could be a good opportunity for the first Conservative gain of 2018. ...and so they did. Labour would be lucky to have held this regardless of local circumstances, but it couldn't be helped by the nature of the vacancy. Edit: With the exception of the non-appearance in Rochford, those are some deceptively strong results for Labour that appear weak. Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on January 25, 2018, 05:09:03 PM A Singular Syllable here (https://britainelects.com/2018/01/25/preview-25-jan-2018/).
Isle of Wight, Central Wight Con 49.7 (-25.5) Lib Dem 26.0 (+26.0) Green 13.0 (-5.9) Lab 9.2 (+3.3) UKIP 2.2 (+2.2) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on February 01, 2018, 06:44:20 PM This week's Holy Word (http://britainelects.com/2018/02/01/previews-02-feb-2018/).
Sunderland, Pallion Lib Dem 53.9 (+49.5) Lab 34.8 (-15.9) Con 5.4 (-7.2) UKIP 4.2 (-24.7) Green 1.7 (-1.7) Cornwall, Falmouth Smithick Lab 60.2 (+19.9) Con 17.2 (-7.2) Lib Dem 17.2 (-1.7) Green 5.3 (-11.1) Lib Dem gain Pallion from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on February 02, 2018, 05:30:26 PM A game of two halves, those two!
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on February 08, 2018, 07:14:14 PM This week's Holy Word is here (http://britainelects.com/2018/02/08/previews-08-feb-2018/).
Eden, Hartside Con 52.9 (-3.8) Ind 29.6 (-13.7) Green 17.5 (+17.5) South Staffordshire, Codsall South Con 78.8 Lab 13.2 Green 8.0 East Staffordshire, Stretton (changes in italics since Sep 2017 by-election) Con 42.5 (-6.3) (-4.7) Ind 34.8 (+34.8) (+6.6) Lab 19.3 (+0.5) (+0.1) UKIP 2.6 (-21.5) (-0.6) Lib Dem 0.8 (+0.8) (-1.4) Brighton and Hove, East Brighton (changes in italics since Sep 2016 by-election) Lab 67.0 (+18.9) (+9.5) Con 17.1 (-5.9) (-2.8) Green 11.9 (-4.7) (+0.8) Lib Dem 4.0 (-4.4) (-0.5) Staffordshire, Codsall Con 67.6 (-7.5) Green 17.4 (+6.7) Lab 15.0 (+0.8) Weymouth and Portland, Tophill East Con 46.9 (+16.7) Lab 45.9 (+23.0) Green 7.3 (-5.3) Weymouth and Portland, Tophill West Con 53.8 (+13.7) Lab 37.5 (-22.4) Green 8.6 (+8.6) Con hold Codsall South Con gain Tophill East from Ind Con hold Tophill West Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on February 11, 2018, 04:33:11 PM That's a frustrating pair of results in Dorset.
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on February 13, 2018, 06:54:57 PM Holy Paragraph here (http://britainelects.com/2018/02/13/previews-15-feb-2018/).
West Oxfordshire, Carterton South Con 62.9 (+1.4) Lib Dem 23.7 (+17.7) Lab 13.5 (+2.0) Halton, Halton Castle Lab 70.3 (-5.7) Ind 17.9 (+9.5) Con 11.8 (+11.8) York, Holgate Lab 50.0 (+11.2) Lib Dem 32.3 (+15.0) Con 11.0 (-12.9) Green 6.7 (-13.3) North East Derbyshire, Grassmoor Lab 48.9 (-8.8) Con 39.2 (+21.1) Lib Dem 11.8 (+11.8) North Norfolk, Worstead Lib Dem 72.7 (+39.4) Con 16.9 (-24.9) Lab 10.4 (-1.9) Tendring, St Pauls (changes in italics since May 2016 by-election) Con 39.5 (+8.5) (+12.0) Ind Andrews 16.7 Ind Hones 14.0 (-7.9) Lab 11.9 (+11.9) (-1.2) Lib Dem 8.3 (+8.3) (+8.3) UKIP 7.4 (-29.1) (-30.1) Green 2.1 (+2.1) (+2.1) Epsom and Ewell, Ruxley Residents 37.2 (-5.0) Con 31.8 (-2.6) Lab 24.7 (+11.0) Lib Dem 6.3 (-3.3) Teignbridge, Chudleigh (changes in italics since Dec 2016 by-election) Lib Dem 41.0 (+27.0) (-10.5) Con 40.3 (+6.2) (+4.7) Lab 18.7 (+2.2) (+12.6) Falkirk, Bonnybridge and Larbert SNP 38.6 (+4.9) Con 32.4 (+8.1) Lab 24.2 (+8.5) Green 3.7 (-0.1) UKIP 1.0 (+1.0)
Teignbridge, Dawlish Central and North East Lib Dem 70.6 (+46.7) Con 29.4 (-) East Northamptonshire, Higham Ferrers Lancaster Con 55.6 Lib Dem 22.2 Lab 17.2 Green 3.0 UKIP 2.0 Northamptonshire, Higham Ferrers Con 56.6 (-3.5) Lab 22.3 (+3.5) Lib Dem 13.5 (+2.3) UKIP 4.4 (-5.5) Green 3.2 (+3.2) Lancashire, Morecambe North Con 49.0 (-14.2) Lib Dem 29.7 (+21.6) Lab 21.3 (-0.7) Doncaster, Armthorpe Lab 75.4 (+34.9) Ind 24.6 Lib Dem gain Worstead from Con Con gain St Pauls from Ind elected as UKIP Lib Dem gain Chudleigh from Con SNP hold Bonnybridge and Larbert Lib Dem gain Dawlish Central and North East from Con Con hold Higham Ferrers Lancaster Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on February 16, 2018, 01:53:25 PM Despite the deluge there wasn't much to get hopeful about from Labour's perspective, with Labour holding all four seats where they're competitive (with three retained comfortably and one much less so).
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on February 22, 2018, 08:48:31 PM Holy Word (incorporating a Flying Circus) here (http://britainelects.com/2018/02/22/previews-22-feb-2018/).
Boston, Old Leake and Wrangle Con 74.2 (+22.8) Lab 17.0 (+17.0) UKIP 6.9 (-41.7) Blue Rev 1.8 (+1.8) West Somerset, Minehead South Lib Dem 43.2 (+43.2) Con 39.8 (+3.3) Lab 17.1 (-1.3) Torfaen, Trevethin Lab 50.9 (-2.7) Ind Parker 30.8 Ind Wildgust 15.1 Green 3.3 (+3.3) North Kesteven, Eagle, Swinderby and Witham St Hugh's Con 57.8 Lincs Ind 35.6 Lib Dem 6.6 Hertfordshire, Goffs Oak and Bury Green Con 59.6 (-5.5) Lib Dem 20.7 (+14.8) Lab 16.8 (-0.9) Green 3.0 (+3.0) Arun, Marine Lib Dem 32.7 (+32.7) Lab 26.7 (+7.3) Con 25.6 (-0.7) Ind 14.9 West Dorset, Bridport North Con 36.0 (+1.7) Lib Dem 30.0 (-1.2) Lab 23.0 (+9.3) Green 11.0 (-9.9) Dorset, Bridport Con 39.6 (-) Lib Dem 34.6 (-2.2) Lab 16.5 (+4.0) Green 9.3 (-1.8) Chichester, Fishbourne Lib Dem 54.6 (+3.3) Con 34.9 (-2.3) Lab 10.5 (+10.5) Lichfield, Stowe Con 44.8 (-6.1) Lab 26.1 (-2.3) Lib Dem 19.0 (+19.0) Something New 5.2 (+5.2) Green 4.9 (-15.8) Scottish Borders, Selkirkshire Con 35.7 (-6.4) Ind Penman 29.7 SNP 19.8 (-2.4) Ind Gunn 6.3 (-3.5) Lab 3.8 (+0.1) Lib Dem 2.7 (-0.6) Green 2.0 (-1.0)
Lib Dem gain Minehead South from UKIP elected as Ind Con gain Eagle, Swinderby and Witham St Hugh's from Ind Lib Dem gain Marine from Con Con gain Bridport North from Lib Dem Con gain Bridport from Lib Dem Ind Penman gain Selkirkshire from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on March 01, 2018, 08:48:44 AM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/02/28/previews-01-mar-2018/). Happy Birthday, Andrew.
East Devon, Exmouth Town Lib Dem 28.2 (-0.2) Ind 26.6 Con 21.5 (-3.4) Lab 13.0 (-8.9) Green 10.7 (-14.0) Turnout: 12.4 Solihull, Blythe Con 75.9 (+24.8) Lab 13.6 (+4.6) Lib Dem 10.5 (+10.5) Turnout 15.8 Basingstoke and Deane, Kempshott Con 58.9 (-5.6) Lab 31.4 (+12.3) Lib Dem 9.7 (+9.7) Turnout 20.6 Clackmannanshire, Clackmannanshire North SNP 37.0 (-3.3) Con 31.7 (+7.7) Lab 23.7 (-3.0) Lib Dem 4.0 (-1.1) Green 3.6 (-0.3)
Turnout 24.7 SNP hold Clackmannanshire North Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: IceAgeComing on March 01, 2018, 03:56:01 PM Can't speak for the other by-elections but expect the North Clacks by-election to have an even smaller turnout than normal: I'm next-door to Clackmannanshire and the weather is pretty bad up here. Might lead to an odd result although an even less representative one than local by-elections tend to be.
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on March 01, 2018, 05:11:03 PM I think the most interesting part of these by-elections will be the comedy turnouts.
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on March 08, 2018, 07:09:44 PM Another week's Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/03/07/previews-08-mar-2018/).
Harlow, Little Parndon and Hare Street Lab 62.2 (+7.8) Con 31.4 (+5.2) UKIP 6.4 (-13.0) East Hampshire, Petersfield Bell Hill Ind 32.6 Lib Dem 28.6 (+14.6) Con 26.6 (-20.8) Lab 10.3 (-4.9) UKIP 2.0 (-10.2) Tameside, Droylesden East (change in italics since Oct 2017 by-election) Lab 61.5 (+10.1) (+1.2) Con 30.5 (+21.4) (-2.2) Green 6.1 (+0.2) (+2.7) Lib Dem 1.9 (+1.9) (-1.7) Dacorum, Northchurch Lib Dem 59.2 (+40.4) Con 28.2 (-32.1) Lab 10.5 (-1.7) Green 2,1 (-6.6) Medway, Rochester West Lab 47.5 (+25.7) Con 39.5 (-2.8) Lib Dem 4.7 (+1.3) Green 4.2 (-5.4) UKIP 4.1 (-17.5) Rutland, Oakham South East Ind 59.5 (+22.2) Con 40.5 (+0.7) Bolton, Farnworth FK First 47.5 (+47.5) Lab 38.2 (-10.2) UKIP 6.7 (-29.7) Con 6.0 (-2.6) Lib Dem 0.9 (-2.1) Green 0.7 (-2.8) Nottingham, Wollaton West Lab 48.8 (+15.4) Con 43.4 (+4.9) Lib Dem 5.3 (-1.3) Green 1.6 (-9.4) Elvis 0.9 Ind gain Petersfield Bell Hill from Con Lib Dem gain Northchurch from Con Lab gain Rochester West from Con Ind gain Oakham South East from Con Farnworth and Kearsley First gain Farnworth from Lab Lab gain Wollaton West from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Tintrlvr on March 08, 2018, 09:25:27 PM Rough night for the Tories thus far.
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: joevsimp on March 09, 2018, 04:12:49 AM Impressively bad, the elections in May will be such fun.
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Leftbehind on March 09, 2018, 06:54:41 AM Would've been an excellent night for Labour if not for the shocking Bolton result.
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on March 15, 2018, 01:42:30 PM Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/03/14/previews-15-mar-2018/).
South Kesteven, Stamford St John's Con 39.4 (-8.9) Ind 32.1 Lib Dem 18.8 (+18.8) Lab 7.9 (+7.9) Green 1.8 (+1.8) South Kesteven, Stamford St George's Con 45.6 (+15.9) Stamford Ind 25.7 (+7.5) Lab 16.8 (-0.5) Lib Dem 10.0 (+10.0) Green 1.9 (-11.7) Redcar and Cleveland, Longbeck Con 32.7 (+4.9) Lib Dem 26.3 (+11.2) Lab 22.3 (+4.7) Ind 18.7 Con gain Longbeck from Ind Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on March 22, 2018, 08:00:48 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/03/21/previews-22-mar-2018/).
Bassetlaw, Worksop South East Lab 77.3 (+23.4) Con 15.2 (+15.2) Lib Dem 7.5 (+7.5) Staffordshire Moorlands, Leek West Lab 42.9 (+21.4) Con 32.6 (+1.0) Lib Dem 19.2 (+7.5) Ind 5.4 Cheshire East, Bunbury Con 53.3 (-16.9) Lib Dem 27.5 (+27.5) Lab 14.3 (-3.4) Green 4.8 (-7.3) Thurrock, Ockendon Con 36.2 (+7.8) (wins on toss of coin) Lab 36.2 (+11.2) Thurrock Ind 27.6 (+27.6) Chiltern, Ridgeway Con 38.2 (+16.7) Lab 32.8 (+32.8) Lib Dem 29.0 (+11.7) Aylesbury Vale, Central and Walton Lib Dem 40.9 (+18.6) Con 31.5 (-2.5) Lab 19.8 (+2.1) Green 4.5 (-3.8) Ind 3.3 Midlothian, Penicuik SNP 35.0 (-0.2) Con 30.2 (+4.0) Lab 27.6 (+2.0) Green 7.2 (+1.7)
Lab gain Leek West from Con Con gain Ockendon from Thurrock Ind elected as UKIP Con gain Ridgeway from Ind Lib Dem gain Central and Walton from Con SNP gain Penicuik from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on March 30, 2018, 12:46:59 AM A Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/03/29/preview-29-mar-2018/).
Knowsley, Page Moss Lab 78.2 (+3.7) Green 8.8 (-16.7) UKIP 8.1 (+8.1) Con 4.9 (+4.9) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on April 04, 2018, 07:44:34 PM A more substantial Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/04/04/previews-05-apr-2018/).
Fylde, Heyhouses Con 58.1 (+13.1) Lab 17.9 (-14.2) Lib Dem 12.2 (-10.7) Green 11.8 (+11.8) New Forest, Milton Con 76.4 (-3.1) Lib Dem 14.5 (+14.5) Lab 9.1 (-11.4) Taunton Deane, Wiveliscombe Green 44.7 (+31.5) Lib Dem 29.0 (+16.3) Con 26.2 (-8.0) Highland, Caol and Mallaig Lib Dem 31.1 (+21.6) SNP 27.1 (+2.9) Ind Wood 21.4 Con 8.8 (+0.3) Ind McKinnon 6.9 Ind Campbell 4.6
Green gain Wiveliscombe from Ind Lib Dem gain Caol and Mallaig from SNP Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on April 12, 2018, 05:16:35 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/04/11/previews-12-apr-2018/).
Chichester, Rogate Lib Dem 55.8 (+55.8) Con 40.1 (-27.3) Lab 2.6 (+2.6) Green 1.5 (-18.2) South Northamptonshire, Middleton Cheney Con 42.1 (-18.6) Lib Dem 34.1 (+34.1) Lab 19.7 (+19.7) Green 4.1 (+4.1) St Edmundsbury, St Olaves Lab 58.6 (+30.9) Con 24.1 (-8.3) Ind 12.4 Lib Dem 5.0 (+5.0) Lib Dem gain Rogate from Con Lab hold St Olaves Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: aaaa2222 on April 12, 2018, 07:41:02 PM I'm no master of UK politics, but it seems like the Lib Dems have had quite a run in the local by-elections, without any noticeable uptick in nationwide polling. Any theories as to why this could be? Is this a common occurrence?
Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: vileplume on April 13, 2018, 04:25:54 AM I'm no master of UK politics, but it seems like the Lib Dems have had quite a run in the local by-elections, without any noticeable uptick in nationwide polling. Any theories as to why this could be? Is this a common occurrence? Yes very common. The Lib Dems usually do far better in local elections than they do in national elections and especially in local by-elections. They were doing very well in local by-elections prior to the 2017 GE but then they lost seats in the local elections and their national vote share fell even further at the GE. The Lib Dems have always been a more 'localist' party than either the Tories or Labour (who are very much 'national' parties) and thus most of their wins in these local by-elections are fought over local issues such as potholes, rubbish collection, trees etc. or the general competence (or lack thereof) of the Tory/Labour run council. These wins have nothing to do with national politics and unfortunately for them people don't choose the government based on 'who'd be most likely to fix the pothole outside my house'. Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on April 18, 2018, 08:10:53 PM This week's Holy Word is here (http://britainelects.com/2018/04/19/previews-19-apr-2018/).
West Berkshire, Thatcham West Lib Dem 48.4 (+8.9) Con 30.9 (-18.5) Lab 7.7 (-3.6) Green 7.7 (+7.7) UKIP 5.4 (+5.4) Warrington, Lymm South Lib Dem 42.8 (+11.7) Con 36.2 (-2.6) Lab 18.3 (-1.7) UKIP 1.4 (-8.6) Green 1.3 (+1.3) Perth and Kinross, Highland Con 46.7 (+1.3) SNP 35.9 (-0.6) Ind Taylor 6.9 Lab 5.8 (+5.8) Green 2.5 (-1.5) Lib Dem 1.9 (-1.6) Ind Baykal 0.3
Lib Dem gain Thatcham West from Con Lib Dem gain Lymm South from Con Con hold Highland Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Tintrlvr on April 18, 2018, 10:33:26 PM I'm no master of UK politics, but it seems like the Lib Dems have had quite a run in the local by-elections, without any noticeable uptick in nationwide polling. Any theories as to why this could be? Is this a common occurrence? Yes very common. The Lib Dems usually do far better in local elections than they do in national elections and especially in local by-elections. They were doing very well in local by-elections prior to the 2017 GE but then they lost seats in the local elections and their national vote share fell even further at the GE. The Lib Dems have always been a more 'localist' party than either the Tories or Labour (who are very much 'national' parties) and thus most of their wins in these local by-elections are fought over local issues such as potholes, rubbish collection, trees etc. or the general competence (or lack thereof) of the Tory/Labour run council. These wins have nothing to do with national politics and unfortunately for them people don't choose the government based on 'who'd be most likely to fix the pothole outside my house'. I think long-term improvements in local presence do help the Lib Dems, and it's clear that the Lib Dems do better in parliamentary elections in seats where they have a significant local elections presence than they do in otherwise similar seats where they have much less/zero presence in local elections. The one thing the local by-elections do indicate is that the Lib Dems are not actually dead as a party and will continue to muddle on rather than vanishing into obscurity. Of course, if the standard of success is performing as well as they did in 1997-2010, that's probably not coming back in the next couple of election cycles at least (although the Lib Dems and their Liberal predecessors went through multiple revival periods basically centered on single leaders, and it could be that they are just one successful leader away from another significant revival). On a related note, two of the three by-elections this week look ripe for Lib Dem gains. The Tories should hold on to their seat in Highland (probably with the SNP second, though I wouldn't be totally shocked if the SNP managed to win the seat), while I'm going to predict Lib Dem gains from the Tories in both Thatcham West and Lymm. Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on May 21, 2018, 01:55:09 PM Last week's Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/05/16/previews-17-may-2018/)
Lancaster, Skerton West (changes in italics since September 2017 by-election) Lab 57.5 (+22.6) (-4.0) Con 27.4 (+0.6) (-7.2) Lib Dem 9.3 (+9.3) (+5.3) Green 5.8 (-3.8) (+5.8) Lancaster, University and Scotforth Rural (changes in italics since December 2016 by-election) Lab 46.1 (+9.4) (+11.7) (518, 423) Green 24.4 (-8.4) (-3.9) (264, 235) Con 18.0 (-5.8) (-6.4) (184, 184) Lib Dem 11.5 (+4.8) (-1.4) (120, 114) Suffolk Coastal, Leiston Con 42.1 (+9.5) Lab 23.1 (-1.5) Ind 20.2 Lib Dem 14.6 (+6.6) Lab hold one seat in University and Scotforth Rural and win seat held by Lab elected as Green Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on May 30, 2018, 08:56:46 PM From last week's Holy Words here (http://britainelects.com/2018/05/24/previews-24-may-2018/) and here (http://britainelects.com/2018/05/25/preview-25-may-2018/):
North Kesteven, Kirkby la Thorpe and South Kyme Lincs Ind 45.9 (+10.4) Con 44.7 (-19.8) Lab 5.0 (+5.0) Lib Dem 4.5 (+4.5) Broadland, Aylsham (changes in italics since March 2016 by-election) Lib Dem 46.0 (+19.1) (-2.0) Con 39.1 (+6.7) (+1.2) Lab 14.8 (-10.1) (+0.8) Stockport, Edgeley and Cheadle Heath Lab 73.9 (+5.8) Lib Dem 8.8 (+2.9) Con 8.1 (+0.3) Green 6.2 (+0.1) UKIP 3.1 (-9.0) Bristol, Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze Con 42.3 (-0.2) Lib Dem 39.5 (+10.1) Lab 13.0 (-2.8) Green 5.2 (-7.2) Waverley, Farnham Castle (changes in italics since August 2016 by-election) Farnham Res 37.9 (+2.4) (-2.7) Lib Dem 36.1 (+11.0) (+5.4) Con 18.7 (-5.8) (-5.4) Lab 4.5 (-10.4) (+4.5) Ind 2.8 Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury and West Grinstead Con 68.4 (-2.9) Lab 16.3 (+16.3) Lib Dem 15.3 (-13.4) Tamworth, Glascote Lab 42.7 (+11.9) Con 41.7 (+15.2) UKIP 10.8 (-26.6) Green 4.8 (+4.8) Lincs Ind gain Kirkby la Thorpe and South Kyme from Con Lib Dem gain Aylsham from Con Con gain Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze from Lib Dem Lab hold Glascote Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on June 07, 2018, 10:19:58 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/06/06/previews-07-jun-2018/).
East Staffordshire, Crown Con 76.1 (-3.3) Lab 12.1 (-8.5) Lib Dem 11.8 (+11.8) Mid Devon, Cranmore Con 45.1 (+0.6) Lib Dem 32.5 (+32.5) Lab 22.4 (-3.0) South Oxfordshire, Benson and Crowhurst Lib Dem 57.4 (+32.4) Con 36.0 (-12.4) Lab 6.6 (-5.4) Lib Dem gain Benson and Crowhurst from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on June 14, 2018, 05:26:15 PM A smaller than usual Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/06/13/previews-14-jun-2018/).
Doncaster, Town Lab 46.8 (+9.3) Yorks 24.6 (-1.8) Green 12.7 (-1.3) Con 11.2 (-10.9) Lib Dem 2.8 (+2.8) Ind 1.9 Southwark, London Bridge and West Bermondsey Lib Dem 44.4 (1340, 1281, 1270) Lab 41.3 (1239, 1215, 1171) Con 7.4 (221, 219, 205) Green 6.9 (215, 191) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on June 22, 2018, 10:37:15 AM This week's Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/06/20/previews-21-jun-2018/).
Fenland, Birch Con 62.1 (+5.9) Lib Dem 21.5 (+6.9) Ind 16.4 Basildon, Lee Chapel North Lab 57.4 (+1.7) Con 25.0 (-1.5) UKIP 13.6 (-4.1) BNP 3.9 (+3.9) Watford, Oxhey Lib Dem 55.3 (-3.5) Con 28.1 (+4.7) Lab 16.6 (-1.1) Basildon, Pitsea South East Lab 46.1 (+6.8) Con 45.6 (-0.5) UKIP 8.3 (-2.3) West Somerset, Alcombe Lib Dem 39.2 (+39.2) Con 27.1 (+0.9) Ind 19.9 Lab 13.8 (-5.4) Charnwood, Quorn and Mountsorrel Castle Con 51.5 (-8.7) Lab 21.8 (-3.5) Lib Dem 16.7 (+16.7) UKIP 10.0 (-4.5) South Northamptonshire, Whittlewood Lib Dem 56.7 Con 36.5 Lab 6.8 Cherwell, Bicester West Ind 40.5 (+1.0) Con 33.0 (+12.3) Lab 20.2 (+4.6) Green 3.3 (-4.0) Lib Dem 3.0 (+3.0) South Northamptonshire, Astwell Con 76.9 (-0.9) Lab 23.1 (+0.9) Brent, Willesden Green Lab 69.8 (+27.2) (1683, 1679, 1618) Green 11.1 (-2.9) (289, 256, 250) Con 10.3 (+3.2) (280, 237, 218) Lib Dem 8.8 (-4.9) (254, 189, 184) Basingstoke and Deane, Kempshott Con 60.4 (-6.4) Lab 32.4 (+11.2) Lib Dem 7.2 (-4.8) Lab gain Pitsea South East from UKIP Lib Dem gain Alcombe from UKIP Lib Dem gain Whittlewood from Con Ind gain Bicester West from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on June 29, 2018, 10:06:54 AM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/06/28/previews-28-jun-2018/).
Leicestershire, Syston Ridgeway Con 59.7 (+2.0) Lab 18.5 (-2.3) Lib Dem 11.0 (+5.0) Green 7.2 (-1.2) UKIP 3.6 (-3.5) North Kesteven, Skellingthorpe Lincs Ind 45.7 (+45.7) Con 26.4 (-4.4) Lab 17.0 (+17.0) Lib Dem 10.9 (+3.4) North Kesteven, North Hykeham Mill (changes in italics since July 2015 by-election) Con 49.7 (-5.4) (+9.6) Lincs Ind 22.6 (-22.3) (-2.6) Lab 22.1 (+22.1) (-0.5) Lib Dem 5.7 (+5.7) (+2.6) North Devon, Fremington Ind 50.8 (+6.7) Con 31.3 (+12.6) Lib Dem 10.5 (+10.5) Lab 5.7 (+5.7) Green 1.7 (-9.8) Lincs Ind gain Skellingthorpe from Ind Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on July 05, 2018, 10:58:20 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/07/05/previews-05-jul-2018/).
Lichfield, Curborough Lab 60.4 (+27.6) Con 33.0 (-8.6) Lib Dem 6.6 (+6.6) Bath and North East Somerset, Kingsmead Lib Dem 41.1 (+12.7) Lab 24.6 (+10.2) Con 21.3 (-6.4) Green 13.0 (-10.6) Shropshire, Shifnal South and Cosford Con 38.3 (-18.8) Ind Mitchell 22.2 (-9.3) Ind Carey 21.9 Lib Dem 17.7 (+6.3) Lab gain Curborough from Con Lib Dem gain Kingsmead from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on July 11, 2018, 08:41:37 PM Bumper Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/07/12/previews-12-jul-2018/).
East Dorset, Verwood East Con 75.1 Lab 24.9 Elmbridge, Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon Con 72.0 (-4.7) Lib Dem 25.7 (+9.7) UKIP 2.3 (+0.1) Hartlepool, Rural West Con 45.4 (-13.0) Ind 36.5 (+18.5) Lab 12.3 (-5.4) Green 5.8 (-0.1) Rutland, Oakham South West Ind 29.6 Lib Dem 29.6 (+29.6) Con 27.3 (-22.1) Lab 13.4 (+13.4) Barnsley, Old Town Lab 44.2 (-10.6) D&V 27.3 (+27.3) Con 12.7 (-2.5) Lib Dem 10.0 (+2.5) Yorks 3.8 (+3.8) BNP 2.0 (+2.0) Darlington, Cockerton Lab 51.0 (+9.5) Con 22.0 (-3.4) Lib Dem 9.6 (-5.9) Ind 8.5 FB 5.8 (+5.8) Green 3.1 (-14.5) Waveney, Southwold and Reydon Lib Dem 71.8 (+71.8) Con 21.8 (-28.7) Lab 5.5 (-12.8) UKIP 1.3 (-14.7) Lewes, Chailey and Wivelsfield Con 53.6 (+5.6) Lib Dem 30.8 (+8.3) Lab 9.9 (+9.9) Green 5.7 (-8.3) Waveney, Pakefield Con 43.8 (+9.4) Lab 40.9 (-4.8) UKIP 7.9 (+7.9) Green 4.4 (-5.3) Lib Dem 3.0 (-7.2) Norfolk, Yare and All Saints Con 64.8 (-7.9) Lab 22.9 (+10.6) Lib Dem 12.3 (-2.6) Con hold Verwood East Ind gain Oakham South West (by drawing of lots) from Con Lib Dem gain Southwold and Reydon from Con Con gain Pakefield from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on July 19, 2018, 07:50:42 PM Holy Word/Gair Sanctaidd here (http://britainelects.com/2018/07/18/previews-19-jul-2018/).
Carmarthenshire, Saron PC 65.2 (+14.7) Lab 20.9 (-14.1) Con 12.7 (-1.6) Lib Dem 1.2 (+1.2) Oxford, Headington Lib Dem 60.9 (-0.4) Lab 26.9 (-0.2) Con 8.0 (+1.7) Green 4.3 (-1.1) Bury, Besses Lab 51.1 (-8.6) Con 36.2 (+12.9) Eng Dem 3.7 (-3.4) Lib Dem 3.6 (-1.3) Green 2.8 (-2.2) UKIP 2.5 (+2.5) West Lancashire, Hesketh-with-Becconsall Con 41.2 (-18.6) Lab 34.9 (+4.0) Ind 23.8 Milton Keynes, Bletchley East Lab 50.9 (+3.1) Con 38.5 (-0.7) Green 4.9 (-3.1) UKIP 3.8 (+3.8) Lib Dem 1.9 (-3.1) Northamptonshire, St George Lab 44.6 (+4.3) Lib Dem 30.0 (+0.1) Con 15.1 (-7.2) UKIP 5.9 (-1.6) Green 4.4 (+4.4) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on July 26, 2018, 08:05:06 PM Another weekly installment of Holy Word/Yr Gair Sanctaidd here (http://britainelects.com/2018/07/25/previews-26-jul-2018).
West Lancashire, Knowsley Lab 40.8 (-10.1) Our West Lancs 36.1 (+20.7) Con 23.2 (-10.6) New Forest, Fawley, Blackfield and Langley Con 58.4 (+15.9) Lib Dem 41.6 (+29.3) Thanet, Birchington South Con 63.6 (+35.1) Lab 25.0 (+10.6) Lib Dem 11.4 (+5.7) Torridge, Hartland and Bradworthy (changes in italics since June 2017 by-election) Con 58.5 (+58.5) (+58.5) Lib Dem 29.3 (+29.3) (-28.2) Green 12.2 (-12.7) (-30.3) North East Lincolnshire, Freshney Lab 41.3 (+0.7) Con 38.8 (-6.2) Ind 13.8 UKIP 4.7 (-4.5) Green 1.4 (-2.9) Plymouth, Stoke Lab 52.8 (+0.3) Con 36.3 (+2.9) Lib Dem 6.4 (-1.4) Action for Plymouth 4.5 (+4.5) Merthyr Tydfil, Gurnos Ind Davies 40.8 (-9.9) Lab 40.0 (-9.3) Ind Singh 15.7 Con 3.5 (+3.5) Con gain Birchington South from Ind elected as UKIP Con gain Hartland and Bradworthy from Lib Dem (Lib Dem by-election gain from UKIP) Lab hold Freshney Ind gain Gurnos from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on August 02, 2018, 04:20:03 PM This week's Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/08/01/previews-02-aug-2018/).
Fylde, Ansdell Con 72.4 (+22.5) Lab 27.6 (+4.7) Peterborough, Orton Longueville Con 36.5 (-1.4) Lab 33.7 (+1.2) Lib Dem 12.1 (+4.4) Green 10.3 (+2.7) UKIP 7.3 (-7.0) Kings Lynn and West Norfolk, Snettisham Con 77.4 (+3.9) Lib Dem 8.3 (+8.3) Green 8.2 (+8.2) UKIP 6.1 (+6.1) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on August 09, 2018, 05:46:43 PM This week's Holy Syllable (translated from the Cornish) here (https://britainelects.com/2018/08/09/preview-09-aug-2018/).
Cornwall, Newquay Treviglas Con 45.4 (+13.6) Lib Dem 38.3 (-29.9) Lab 16.4 (+16.4) Con gain Newquay Treviglas from Lib Dem Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Arkansas Yankee on August 10, 2018, 10:39:11 AM Lib Dem collapse in Cornwall is really staggering, it still hasn't sunk in yet, for decades the liberals/LibDems dominanted Cornwall and devon, Labour was never taken seriously here.. former LibDem voters are flocking to Labour.. Would it not be more accurate to state that the Liberal voters at least in Cornwall are split in close to equal parts to the Conservatives and Labour. It was a Conservative gain from the Liberals that gave them a victory was it not? Looking at all of the local results this year including the general local elections in May it seems that the voters are very conflicted, as the parties are very conflicted. Both major parties have deep divisions. The Liberals are just not a major force in the the actual general election. They are mainly a home for liberally leaning protest voters. Ukip remains primarily an anti EU force. Generally the political world in the whole western world is in total flux. I maintain it has to do with the mass migrations of people. But the flux also involves many cultural and economic disagreements. Most of you can guess what side I take in dealing with the flux. But taking sides is not the purpose of this post. The purpose is to point out the flux. It is probably going to take many years to resolve everything. Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on August 16, 2018, 04:32:47 PM A glimpse of the Holy Word of the future (from 20182, to be exact) here (http://britainelects.com/2018/08/16/previews-16-aug-20182/).
Neath Port Talbot, Gwynfi Ind Jones 57.8 (+13.9) PC 15.7 (+15.7) Lab 12.9 (-43.2) Ind Joshua 9.7 Ind Paul 3.0 Con 0.9 (+0.9) Bury, East Lab 64.2 (+4.8) Con 25.2 (-8.9) UKIP 4.8 (+4.8) Green 3.5 (-3.1) Lib Dem 2.2 (+2.2) North Yorkshire, Knaresborough Lib Dem 54.9 (+19.2) Con 35.2 (-3.0) Lab 9.9 (-1.1) Ind gain Gwynfi from Lab Lib Dem gain Knaresborough from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on August 23, 2018, 07:56:52 AM This week's Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/08/22/previews-23-aug-2018/).
Rushcliffe, Gotham Con 40.4 (-12.6) Lab 31.3 (+7.3) Ind 18.2 Lib Dem 7.2 (+7.2) Green 2.8 (+2.8) North Warwickshire, Newton Regis and Warton Con 52.2 (+2.2) Lab 47.8 (+20.1) Knowsley, Halewood South Lab 51.6 (+5.8) Ind 39.7 Lib Dem 6.0 (+6.0) Con 2.8 (-4.1) East Hertfordshire, Watton-at-Stone Lib Dem 67.0 (+67.0) Con 30.1 (-36.3) Lab 2.9 (-7.3) Wirral, Bromborough Lab 47.1 (-14.0) Con 28.1 (+6.0) Lib Dem 17.1 (+6.0) Ind 5.5 Green 2.2 (-3.5) Cornwall, Bude Lib Dem 53.2 (+1.0) Ind 25.0 Con 13.9 (-24.2) Lab 7.8 (-1.9) Lab hold Halewood South Lib Dem gain Watton-at-Stone from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on August 30, 2018, 11:22:25 PM Holy Syllable here (http://britainelects.com/2018/08/30/previews-30-aug-2018/).
Sevenoaks, Farningham, Horton Kirby & South Darenth Con 55.7 (-3.3) Lib Dem 26.7 (+26.7) Lab 17.6 (-2.8) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: Tintrlvr on August 31, 2018, 10:07:13 AM It appears the lib Dems are winning over the "professional class" votes, the kind of votes David Cameron been trying so hard to win over back in 2005 .... I mean, to some degree. This seat was Lib Dem-held in the aughts, though. Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on September 07, 2018, 06:00:32 PM This week's Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/09/04/previews-06-sep-2018/).
Tameside, Ashton Victoria Lab 52.5 (-4.9) Green 26.4 (+12.7) Con 21.1 (-7.8) Fife, Inverkeithing and Dalgety Bay Con 37.3 (+0.7) SNP 28.1 (-2.7) Lab 12.0 (-4.8) Lib Dem 9.1 (+4.1) Ind Collins 8.4 Green 4.2 (+0.7) Ind Macintyre 0.6 Lbt 0.2 (+0.2)
Carlisle, Denton Holme Lab 62.5 (+1.4) Con 24.5 (-3.4) Green 7.5 (-3.5) UKIP 5.5 (+5.5) Cumbria, Denton Holme Lab 59.1 (-0.9) Con 27.6 (+0.6) Green 8.9 (+1.9) UKIP 4.4 (-1.6) Con gain Inverkeithing and Dalgety Bay from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on September 13, 2018, 02:18:59 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/09/11/previews-13-sep-2018/).
Charnwood, Birstall Wanlip (change in italics since May 2017 by-election) Con 47.1 (+6.2) (+5.8) Lab 32.6 (+5.1) (+9.9) Lib Dem 12.3 (-19.3) (-20.0) UKIP 4.8 (+4.8) (+4.8) Green 3.3 (+3.3) (+3.3) Pembrokeshire, Pembroke: St. Mary North Ind Harvey 32.5 (-5.9) Ind Bush 13.7 Ind Nutting 13.4 Lab 10.6 (-11.6) Ind Boucher 10.2 Con 7.8 (-31.7) Ind Edwards 7.3 Ind Williams 4.5 New Forest, Pennington Con 42.0 (-11.6) Lib Dem 37.6 (+11.5) Ind 12.2 Lab 8.2 (-12.1) Cambridge, Petersfield Lab 47.9 (-10.4) Lib Dem 36.4 (+16.4) Green 9.4 (-3.5) Con 6.3 (-2.5) Maidstone, Headcorn Con 57.3 (-17.5) Lib Dem 34.1 (+19.6) Lab 5.3 (-5.5) Green 3.3 (+3.3) Lambeth, Coldharbour Lab 58.2 (+3.0) Green 30.5 (+12.3) Lib Dem 5.0 (+0.5) Con 4.0 (-1.3) WEP 1.6 (+1.6) UKIP 0.7 (+0.7) Ind gain Pembroke: St. Mary North from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on September 20, 2018, 09:35:07 PM Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/09/19/previews-20-sep-2018/).
East Devon, Ottery St. Mary Rural EDA 59.4 (+3.4) Con 33.1 (-10.9) Lib Dem 4.0 (+4.0) Green 1.9 (+1.9) Lab 1.6 (+1.6) Luton, Limbury Lab 48.3 (-13.5) Con 27.7 (-10.5) Lib Dem 24.0 (+24.0) Wyre Forest, Bewdley and Rock Con 51.8 (+6.2) Lab 34.5 (+9.3) Lib Dem 7.7 (+3.8) Green 6.0 (+2.1) Epsom and Ewell, Nonsuch Residents 68.0 (+8.7) Con 20.2 (-5.1) Lib Dem 8.2 (-0.4) Lab 3.6 (-3.2) Winchester, Upper Meon Valley Con 51.6 (-18.0) Lib Dem 44.9 (+24.0) Lab 1.9 (-7.6) Green 1.5 (+1.5) Suffolk Coastal, Wenhaston and Westleton Con 50.6 (-2.7) Lib Dem 40.0 (+16.4) Green 9.4 (+9.4) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on September 27, 2018, 11:04:52 PM Another Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/09/25/previews-27-sep-2018/)
Salford, Eccles Lab 54.6 (-5.7) Con 24.1 (+2.1) Lib Dem 7.9 (+2.1) Green 6.3 (-0.1) UKIP 5.1 (+0.5) WEP 2.0 (+2.0) Nottingham, Clifton North Con 47.7 (+13.8) Lab 33.8 (-5.0) Nott Ind 11.2 (+11.2) Lib Dem 3.3 (+3.3) Green 2.3 (+2.3) Elvis 1.7 (+1.7) Lichfield, Stowe (changes in italics from Feb 2018 by-election) Con 44.1 (-7.0) (-0.7) Lab 38.9 (+10.6) (+12.8) Lib Dem 17.0 (+17.0) (-2.0) Con gain Clifton North from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on October 04, 2018, 09:15:24 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/10/03/previews-04-oct-2018/).
Chesterfield, Moor Lib Dem 47.1 (+14.1) Lab 39.4 (-11.3) Con 7.4 (-8.9) UKIP 6.1 (+6.1) Cambridgeshire, Soham North and Isleham Con 48.8 (-17.4) Lib Dem 30.0 (+12.6) Lab 10.9 (-5.4) Ind 10.4 Hambleton, Thirsk Con 65.4 (+0.1) Lab 24.2 (+24.2) Yorks 10.4 (+10.4) Lib Dem gain Moor from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on October 11, 2018, 07:36:00 PM A very musical Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/10/10/previews-11-oct-2018/).
Adur, Southlands Lab 45.9 (+4.1) Con 40.5 (-0.2) Green 13.5 (+7.9) Halton, Ditton Lab 73.5 (+11.6) Con 15.4 (+15.4) Lib Dem 11.1 (+11.1) West Lancashire, Tanhouse Lab 72.3 (-12.8) Ind 20.1 Con 7.6 (-7.3) Hartlepool, Hart Ind 44.1 (+0.1) Lab 40.2 (+1.4) Con 13.8 (-3.4) Green 1.9 (+1.9) Warrington, Penketh and Cuerdley Ind 36.1 Lab 31.8 (-20.6) Con 22.1 (-16.9) Lib Dem 4.6 (-4.0) UKIP 3.2 (+3.2) Green 2.2 (+2.2) Lab gain Southlands from UKIP Ind gain Hart from Lab Ind gain Penketh and Cuerdley from Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on October 18, 2018, 08:02:54 AM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/10/18/previews-18-oct-2018/).
Hackney, Victoria Lab 57.6 (-11.3) Lib Dem 19.2 (+10.6) Green 13.0 (-1.8) Con 6.5 (-1.2) WEP 3.7 (+3.7) Oxfordshire, Iffley Fields and St Marys Lab 48.6 (+1.7) Green 45.4 (+4.7) Con 4.2 (-1.4) Lib Dem 1.8 (-5.0) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on October 27, 2018, 10:13:50 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/10/24/previews-25-oct-2018/).
North Lanarkshire, Coatbridge South Lab 41.5 (+12.0) SNP 41.1 (-1.6) Con 15.1 (+3.2) Green 1.4 (+1.4) UKIP 0.4 (+0.4) Lib Dem 0.4 (+0.4)
Ashford, Kennington Con 41.5 (-6.7) Ashford Ind 38.2 (+23.2) Lab 14.3 (+1.8) Green 6.1 (+6.1) South Derbyshire, Linton Con 63.1 (+21.7) Lab 32.0 (+2.7) Lib Dem 4.9 (+0.6) Suffolk, Bosmere Con 45.5 (-0.1) Lib Dem 44.2 (+5.0) Lab 10.2 (+2.3) Hertfordshire, Three Rivers Rural Lib Dem 53.4 (+9.6) Con 38.0 (-9.0) Lab 4.2 (-) UKIP 2.5 (+0.6) Green 2.0 (-1.0) East Dorset, Ferndown Central Con 59.9 (+4.4) Lib Dem 23.7 (+23.7) UKIP 16.4 (-11.5) Mendip, Wells St Thomas' Lib Dem 48.8 (+4.8) Con 40.5 (+5.4) Lab 10.8 (+10.8) Sutton, Belmont Con 46.7 (-11.5) Lib Dem 37.6 (+12.3) Lab 10.7 (-5.8) Green 2.2 (+2.2) UKIP 1.8 (+1.8) CPA 1.1 (+1.1) Dorset, Ferndown Con 61.3 (-6.7) Lib Dem 21.1 (+10.5) UKIP 17.6 (+1.2) Basingstoke and Deane, Norden Lab 68.2 (+2.6) Con 21.2 (-2.5) Ind 5.9 Lib Dem 4.7 (-0.2) Lab hold Coatbridge South Lib Dem gain Three Rivers Rural from Con Lib Dem win Wells St Thomas from Con elected as Lib Dem Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on November 01, 2018, 08:31:58 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/10/30/previews-01-nov-2018/).
South Gloucestershire, Dodington Lib Dem 49.3 (+8.6) Con 39.4 (+17.3) Lab 11.2 (-0.7) Newham, Boleyn Lab 74.8 (+1.7) Con 14.2 (-0.8) Green 7.5 (-4.4) Lib Dem 3.6 (+3.6) Kirklees, Denby Dale Lab 46.7 (+3.8) Con 43.0 (-4.2) Lib Dem 7.4 (+4.6) Green 3.0 (-4.1) Lab gain Denby Dale from Con Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on November 08, 2018, 08:46:38 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/11/07/previews-08-nov-2018/).
Harlow, Netteswell Lab 50.2 (-0.7) Con 25.6 (-13.1) Harlow All 10.0 (+10.0) UKIP 9.9 (+3.7) Lib Dem 4.3 (+0.1) Torridge, Holsworthy Con 56.4 (+15.7) Ind 25.4 Lib Dem 12.2 (-6.6) Lab 6.1 (+6.1) Harlow, Bush Fair Lab 45.0 (-) Con 38.1 (-0.8) UKIP 8.5 (-2.5) Harlow All 5.2 (+5.2) Lib Dem 3.2 (-1.8) Ealing, Dormers Wells Lab 72.1 (+1.6) Con 16.6 (+1.2) Lib Dem 7.3 (+3.7) Green 4.1 (-3.5) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on November 17, 2018, 07:44:57 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/11/15/previews-15-nov-2018/).
Bassetlaw, East Retford West Lab 49.9 (+14.1) Con 33.5 (+4.2) Lib Dem 16.5 (+3.4) Oxfordshire, Grove and Wantage Lib Dem 47.9 (+2.3) Con 36.0 (-1.0) Lab 11.4 (+2.7) Green 4.6 (-4.1) Stroud, Dursley Lab 50.5 (+15.3) Con 40.0 (+15.4) Green 5.1 (-9.8) Lib Dem 4.5 (-20.7) Kent, Canterbury North Con 42.3 (-12.4) Lib Dem 23.6 (+7.1) Lab 20.6 (+4.1) Green 4.9 (-1.9) Ind 4.8 UKIP 3.7 (-2.0) Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on November 22, 2018, 02:08:51 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/11/22/previews-22-nov-2018/).
Wirral, Upton Lab 61.3 (+3.1) Con 29.0 (+0.4) Green 6.2 (-0.5) Lib Dem 3.4 (-0.8) Windsor and Maidenhead, Datchet Con 54.2 (-4.9) NFPP 23.0 (+23.0) Lab 15.6 (-6.4) Lib Dem 5.0 (-13.9) Green 2.2 (+2.2) Westminster, Lancaster Gate Con 47.2 (-1.5) Lab 35.4 (-1.0) Lib Dem 14.2 (-0.7) Green 3.2 (+3.2) Enfield, Bush Hill Park Con 52.5 (+12.7) Lab 28.2 (-8.3) Lib Dem 10.7 (+0.8) Green 4.2 (-6.8) WEP 2.7 (+2.7) Ind 1.7 Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on November 30, 2018, 07:37:12 PM Holy Word here (http://britainelects.com/2018/11/28/previews-29-nov-2018/).
Oldham, Failsworth East Lab 58.5 (+5.3) Con 29.0 (+0.5) Ind 8.1 UKIP 2.8 (+2.8) Lib Dem 1.6 (+0.5) Buckinghamshire, Aylesbury North-West Lib Dem 39.3 (+9.5) Con 30.5 (+6.0) Lab 25.6 (+2.9) Green 4.6 (+1.3) Welwyn Hatfield, Welwyn West Con 58.7 (+6.8) Lib Dem 36.9 (+36.9) Lab 4.4 (-5.0) Oxfordshire, Wheatley Lib Dem 61.0 (+15.8) Con 31.2 (-11.7) Lab 7.9 (-4.0) Northampton, Delapre and Briar Hill Lab 43.4 (+17.3) Con 26.0 (+2.4) Ind 19.8 Lib Dem 6.3 (-10.0) Green 4.5 (+4.5) Warwickshire, Stratford North Lib Dem 40.7 (+16.5) Con 28.3 (-0.1) Stratford First 16.0 (-17.1) Lab 8.3 (-0.9) Green 6.7 (+1.6) Bromley, Kelsey and Eden Park Con 45.2 (-0.5) Lab 29.1 (+2.3) Lib Dem 17.6 (+4.2) UKIP 6.1 (+2.2) Green 2.0 (-8.1) Lib Dem gain Stratford North from Stratford First Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on December 26, 2018, 12:49:14 AM Apologies for missing the last few weeks of postings but the combined pressure of work, other commitments and the aftermath of an operation meant that I didn't really have time until now.
To begin with the week of 6 December. Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/12/05/previews-06-dec-2018/). Oxford, Wolvercote Lib Dem 60.5 (-0.5) Con 24.5 (+1.0) Lab 9.8 (-0.1) Green 5.2 (-0.5) Leicester, Belgrave Lab 86.6 (+17.4) Con 6.5 (-12.0) Lib Dem 3.8 (+3.8) Green 3.1 (-3.0) Surrey, The Byfleets Ind 48.6 (+16.2) Con 33.7 (-7.7) Lib Dem 13.3 (-4.2) UKIP 4.4 (+1.1) Highland, Wester Ross, Strathpeffer and Lochalsh SNP 33.1 (+7.0) Con 26.0 (+7.6) Ind Greene 15.6 (+3.9) Green 9.0 (-2.2) Lib Dem 8.0 (-5.4) Lab 4.4 (-0.7) Ind Davis 3.3 UKIP 0.4 (+0.4) Lbt 0.2 (+0.2)
Ind gain The Byfleets from Con SNP gain Wester Ross, Strathpeffer and Lochalsh from Lib Dem Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on December 26, 2018, 08:59:28 AM One by-election on Wednesday 12 December. Holy Word here (https://britainelects.com/2018/12/11/previews-12-13-dec-2018/).
Ashfield, Sutton Junction and Harlow Wood Ashfield Ind 81.9 (+81.9) Lab 9.3 (-28.6) Con 4.6 (-20.0) D&V 2.5 (+2.5) UKIP 1.2 (+1.2) Lib Dem 0.5 (-37.0) Ashfield Ind win Sutton Junction and Harlow Wood held by Ashfield Ind elected as Lab Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on December 26, 2018, 03:38:27 PM Holy Word for December 13 here (http://here).
Harlow, Toddbrook Lab 51.1 (-2.6) Con 34.3 (-0.3) UKIP 9.8 (+3.3) Lib Dem 4.8 (+4.8) Haringey, West Green Lab 56.6 (-11.0) Lib Dem 27.6 (+20.6) Green 10.8 (-0.1) Con 5.1 (-3.7) Middlesbrough, Brambles Farm and Thorntree Lab 58.4 (+9.7) Ind 28.7 (+9.6) Con 8.0 (-0.5) Lib Dem 4.9 (+4.9) Dumfries and Galloway, Dee and Glenkens Con 45.9 (+12.4) SNP 28.0 (+8.4) Ind 15.5 Green 9.3 (+3.0) UKIP 1.3 (+1.3)
Con hold Dee and Glenkens Title: Re: UK local by-elections, 2018 Post by: ObserverIE on December 26, 2018, 09:32:30 PM Finally for this year, the Holy Word for December 20 is here (https://britainelects.com/2018/12/18/previews-20-dec-2018/).
Charnwood, Anstey Con 50.8 (+19.0) Lab 49.2 (+35.6) Cumbria, Kent Estuary Lib Dem 62.0 (+9.0) Con 29.9 (-7.2) Green 4.9 (-1.1) Lab 3.1 (-0.7) South Lakeland, Arnside and Milnthorpe Lib Dem 59.4 (+3.8) Con 31.9 (-) Green 5.6 (-1.7) Lab 3.1 (-2.2) Con gain Anstey from Lib Dem |