Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: twenty42 on February 12, 2018, 08:04:21 PM



Title: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: twenty42 on February 12, 2018, 08:04:21 PM
I'm looking at which states put winning presidential candidates over the 270 EV mark. Compiled this data from watching various Election Night playbacks. Since it is a pretty arbitrary stat, it's interesting how often it happens to be Ohio.

2016: PA
2012: OH
2008: CA
2004: OH
2000: FL
1996: NY
1992: OH
1976: MS

If anybody can add to this list, I'd appreciate it.


Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: Anzeigenhauptmeister on February 12, 2018, 10:25:25 PM
1988: Michigan (https://youtu.be/LAAdN4o4QMw?t=4h30m15s)


Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: SingingAnalyst on February 13, 2018, 03:31:56 PM
I'm looking at which states put winning presidential candidates over the 270 EV mark. Compiled this data from watching various Election Night playbacks. Since it is a pretty arbitrary stat, it's interesting how often it happens to be Ohio.

2016: PA
2012: OH
2008: CA
2004: OH
2000: FL
1996: NY
1992: OH
1976: MS

If anybody can add to this list, I'd appreciate it.
Interesting that MS played that role one year. As for OH, it is an EV-rich state that votes near the national average, is often close, and therefore gets called late-- thus is particularly likely to be the deciding state.


Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: SingingAnalyst on February 13, 2018, 03:33:42 PM
1988: Michigan (https://youtu.be/LAAdN4o4QMw?t=4h30m15s)
Glad to know my state decided the most vapid election of our time.


Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: Anzeigenhauptmeister on February 13, 2018, 09:32:14 PM
1988: Michigan (https://youtu.be/LAAdN4o4QMw?t=4h30m15s)
Glad to know my state decided the most vapid election of our time.

I clicked randomly on parts of the 7-hour-long video, and what I found was funny enough.
For example, Illinois (which eventually went for Bush) very close during the vote-tallying. A Democratic pundit said that it would vote for Dukakis in the end because the Southern precincts hadn't been counted yet.
A Republican pundit complained that Bush didn't campaign enough in New York State, otherwise he would have won the state.
A host said if Dukakis couldn't win Arkansas, he couldn't win the election.
Plus, the black host predicted Bush's breach of promise of not raising the taxes.


Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: Mr. Smith on February 13, 2018, 10:01:12 PM
Actually I compiled a list of these:

2016: Pennsylvania
2012: Ohio
2008: California
2004: Ohio
2000: Florida
1996: New Mexico
1992: Ohio
1988: Nevada
1984: N/A
1980: South Carolina
1976: Hawaii
1972: Ohio
1968: Illinois
1960: Missouri


Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: Anzeigenhauptmeister on February 13, 2018, 10:04:01 PM
1984: all the states that were called at 9 pm: VT, ME, NY, MD, NC, WI, IL, MO, AR, LA, SD, NE, WY, CO, NM.

By the way, wasn't NBC's map of the United States a real gem?

()

I also met many good ol' friends again:
Bill Clinton
Al Gore
Joe Biden
John McCain
Mitch McConnell
John Kerry
Dick Cheney
Jack Kemp



Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: OSR stands with Israel on February 13, 2018, 10:06:37 PM
Actually I compiled a list of these:

2016: Pennsylvania
2012: Ohio
2008: California
2004: Ohio
2000: Florida
1996: New Mexico
1992: Ohio
1988: Nevada
1984: N/A
1980: South Carolina
1976: Hawaii
1972: Ohio
1968: Illinois
1960: Missouri


2004 actually varied by the network :


for NBC and Fox it was Nevada (they called Ohio earlier, and Bush's electoral count was stuck at 269 until they called Nevada which pushed him over the top)


Title: Re: State calls that put candidates over 270...
Post by: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on February 13, 2018, 10:18:31 PM
On a slightly unrelated note,

https://youtu.be/PwiKrs12aBY?t=9890 (https://youtu.be/PwiKrs12aBY?t=9890)