Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: TheRocketRaccoon on February 27, 2018, 01:16:15 PM



Title: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on February 27, 2018, 01:16:15 PM
Nelson 46
Scott 42

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2523


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Sestak on February 27, 2018, 01:24:20 PM
!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on February 27, 2018, 01:24:59 PM
!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

OOF


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Doimper on February 27, 2018, 01:25:06 PM
!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

Pretty sure that's a decline from the numbers we saw pre-Parkland, right?


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on February 27, 2018, 01:25:26 PM
!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

Pretty sure that's a decline from the numbers we saw pre-Parkland, right?

His approvals were in the high 50s


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Dr. Arch on February 27, 2018, 01:26:09 PM
Nosedives commencing


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: junior chįmp on February 27, 2018, 01:27:34 PM
!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

It won't matter. Scott ain't winning


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on February 27, 2018, 01:28:23 PM
Lean D!


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on February 27, 2018, 01:30:52 PM
Solid D. Scott's approval will continue to drop and he's at -4 already.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Sestak on February 27, 2018, 01:32:09 PM
According to the poll:

Quote from: Q-Pac
Scott, who has a seven-year history of negative approval ratings, gets a positive 49 - 40 percent score, by far his highest score ever.

Then again, I don't think they've polled Florida governor approval much recently.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Sestak on February 27, 2018, 01:33:12 PM
Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on February 27, 2018, 01:35:21 PM
!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.
Still below 50, though.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: BudgieForce on February 27, 2018, 02:25:16 PM
Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Florida is a strange state. Big chunks of Florida are like Alabama  politically and big chunks are like California. It wouldn't surprise me if Trump's numbers have held steady in places while collapsed in others.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Gass3268 on February 27, 2018, 02:28:34 PM
Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Horrendous number for Trump!


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Holmes on February 27, 2018, 02:29:12 PM
Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Maybe. But Florida strikes me as a high floor, low ceiling state for Trump.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: junior chįmp on February 27, 2018, 02:30:14 PM
Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Horrendous number for Trump!

Yeah but look at Rubio's approvals:

Quote
The number of Floridians who approve of Sen. Marco Rubio's (R-Fla.) job performance has fallen to an all time low, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll out Tuesday.

That poll pegged Rubio's approval rating at just 38 percent – down 8 points from the last time Quinnipiac surveyed Florida voters' approval of the junior senator in July 2016.

That's also down sharply from his all-time high approval rating on 57 percent in August 2015, according to Quinnipiac.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: UWS on February 27, 2018, 03:12:35 PM
But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Gass3268 on February 27, 2018, 05:34:39 PM
But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Haha, they are the gold standard of post-2016 polling.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Holy Unifying Centrist on February 27, 2018, 05:47:04 PM
But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: ProgressiveCanadian on February 27, 2018, 05:52:42 PM
But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.
Enough with this nonsense. Apparently the most accurate pollster is too liberal, how's that for irony.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: 2016 on February 27, 2018, 06:09:32 PM
But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.

Biggest Surprise is Nelson leading Scott among Hispanics 46-37. If Scott is anywhere near 40% in that group he might be able to win this.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: Holy Unifying Centrist on February 27, 2018, 06:16:07 PM
But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.

Biggest Surprise is Nelson leading Scott among Hispanics 46-37. If Scott is anywhere near 40% in that group he might be able to win this.

Not really surprising at all. Florida to the hispanics are quite a bit to the right of the nation, and Rick Scott has a lot of good cred with hispanics after Irma.

Remember: Marco Rubio only lost hispanics by 2 in 2016. (Granted, that's exit poll data... but Marco Rubio ran 10 points ahead of Trump in miami-dave so he clearly did do quite well among hispanics)


Title: Re: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
Post by: UWS on February 27, 2018, 07:35:50 PM
But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.

Biggest Surprise is Nelson leading Scott among Hispanics 46-37. If Scott is anywhere near 40% in that group he might be able to win this.