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Title: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: LimoLiberal on March 12, 2018, 08:06:04 AM https://www.scribd.com/document/373614957/2018-Poll-Missouri-March-10-2018
McCaskill (D, i) - 42 Hawley (R) - 40 Quote Kaplan points out that despite McCaskill’s slight edge today, “there are certainly numbers that she should be concerned about.” Voters give McCaskill a lackluster 42%-43% job approval spread while her opponent has a 37%-34% approval rating. While Hawley’s numbers are not stellar, he has more room to grow. While only 14% of voters are uncertain about McCaskill, 29% say the same about Hawley. Roy Blunt narrowly won a 2.79% plurality in 2016 to win a second term while Donald Trump was trouncing Clinton in the state. Blunt holds a 33%-48% approval rating, which is constant with how far he under performed Trump in 2016. Greitens way underwater at 34-50, as well. Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on March 12, 2018, 08:22:24 AM WOO!
Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: KingSweden on March 12, 2018, 08:27:05 AM Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly.
Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: LimoLiberal on March 12, 2018, 08:29:24 AM Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly. Yes, 42 is pretty horrible for an incumbent. But 40 is also stunningly bad for a candidate who has been campaigning for several months and is reasonably well known. Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: KingSweden on March 12, 2018, 08:39:22 AM Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly. Yes, 42 is pretty horrible for an incumbent. But 40 is also stunningly bad for a candidate who has been campaigning for several months and is reasonably well known. Precisely my thoughts. Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: Pollster on March 12, 2018, 11:56:28 AM Gravis' sampling method and voter screening is questionable - very strange that they are putting out polls of multiple states with candidates in the low-40's/high-30's despite virtually all other polls of the same races showing much less volatility.
Edit: Just saw that they sample registered voters only. This explains the larger amount of volatility, but their numbers are still overall strangely low. Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on March 12, 2018, 12:23:57 PM While the GOP has been doing all it can to try to ruin this should-be-a-gimme pickup, just 42% of the state is willing to back McCaskill. Just goes to show how republican Missouri has become as a result of Obama.
Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on March 14, 2018, 09:37:42 AM What an awful state. While the GOP has been doing all it can to try to ruin this should-be-a-gimme pickup, just 42% of the state is willing to back McCaskill. Just goes to show how republican Missouri has become as a result of Obama. Why are you so obsessed with this? You say this in every MO thread, but the state isn’t even more Republican than IN or MT and still willing to elect Democrats down-ballot. Anyway, no matter how you want to spin this, this is a terrible poll for Republicans. I agree with the people who think Indiana is more likely to flip, honestly. McCaskill can fire up the Democratic base without running the risk of alienating a lot of Republicans/suburbanites/swing voters/etc. and Hawley has been way too overhyped. Title: Re: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly Post by: Free Bird on March 21, 2018, 02:58:04 AM Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly. Yes, 42 is pretty horrible for an incumbent. But 40 is also stunningly bad for a candidate who has been campaigning for several months and is reasonably well known. In all fairness he only seriously kicked things off a few days ago, but he is showing that he’s not the boy wonder that Turtleman thought he was. This’ll be close. |