Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Dr. Arch on March 29, 2018, 08:48:02 AM



Title: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Dr. Arch on March 29, 2018, 08:48:02 AM
Poll Taken: March 2018

Wolf 51, Ellsworth 22 D+29
Wolf 49, Mango 22 D+27
Wolf 38, Wagner 21 D+17

Link: https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/708725106986767486-f-m-poll-release-march-2018.pdf


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Wiz in Wis on March 29, 2018, 11:59:16 AM
Wow... damn. That GOP gerrymander is dead, dead, dead.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Holmes on March 29, 2018, 12:09:30 PM
Republicans are gonna have a hard time in PA this November.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on March 29, 2018, 12:32:56 PM
Excellent! Wolf is a decent governor, and every PA Republican deserves to get the sh**t beat out of them for the entire gerrymandering ordeal.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: kyc0705 on March 29, 2018, 01:06:20 PM
I love my neighbor state!


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Dr. MB on March 29, 2018, 01:40:00 PM
Wolf/Fetterman 2018!


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: GM Team Member and Senator WB on March 29, 2018, 02:00:53 PM
Titanium D


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on March 29, 2018, 02:30:37 PM
WOLF NEEDS to challenge Toomey in 2022, if he can keep this kind of momentum up.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on March 29, 2018, 02:41:08 PM
WOLF NEEDS to challenge Toomey in 2022, if he can keep this kind of momentum up.

Conor Lamb.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on March 29, 2018, 02:41:36 PM


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗 on March 29, 2018, 02:54:01 PM
I think Trump's 2016 win in PA was probably a fluke, based on the numbers we've seen since then.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on March 29, 2018, 06:16:41 PM
I think Drumpf's 2016 win in PA was probably a fluke, based on the numbers we've seen since then.

I'm hoping that his entire election was a fluke.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on March 29, 2018, 08:43:40 PM
WOLF NEEDS to challenge Toomey in 2022, if he can keep this kind of momentum up.

Conor Lamb.

Yes, coming from me, he's a little too conservative for my taste, but he would be ok. As Smoltchanov would say, its up to the people of PA to decide though.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: Pollster on March 29, 2018, 08:55:03 PM
HUGE methodological mess in this poll - they split the (already small) sample into thirds and only asked one third of respondents about each matchup.

Margins of error here are huge. This explains the otherwise inexplicable statistical variance between the +17 matchup and the +27/29 ones.


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: President Johnson on April 01, 2018, 04:17:31 AM
My prediction: Wolf is winning reelection with about the same margin he got in in 2014 (55-45%).


Title: Re: PA-Gov: Wolf Up Big (+17-+29) [Franklin & Marshall]
Post by: IceSpear on April 01, 2018, 03:15:51 PM
Dominating!

For real though, he's not going to win by anywhere near this much, lol.