Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Congressional Elections => Topic started by: I’m not Stu on April 11, 2018, 12:02:08 PM



Title: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: I’m not Stu on April 11, 2018, 12:02:08 PM
CA-39's Democratic base is largely Hispanic and located in Hacienda Heights. Cisneros is the leading Democrat in the polls. Does he make the runoff?


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: KingSweden on April 11, 2018, 12:02:34 PM
I think so.


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: I’m not Stu on April 11, 2018, 12:06:08 PM
It would be odd to see him fail to make the runoff when he would likely have a base in Hacienda Heights, the district's key Democratic stronghold.


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: Interlocutor is just not there yet on April 11, 2018, 12:28:07 PM
Sure.


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: I’m not Stu on April 11, 2018, 12:36:42 PM
Cisneros has the establishment support. I would be surprised to see some other Democrat advance instead.


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: Theodore on April 11, 2018, 12:42:08 PM
Obviously


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: LimoLiberal on April 11, 2018, 12:43:08 PM
espero que sí


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: I’m not Stu on April 11, 2018, 12:46:28 PM
It's not obvious. Democrats are running more candidates (mostly carpetbaggers). Republicans have two frontrunners who live in the district (two polls show Kim and Huff in the top two (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2018#District_39)). Thorburn could also make the runoff instead of Cisneros despite running in a district with its Democratic base in largely Hispanic LA County communities.


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on April 11, 2018, 12:54:30 PM
Yes and he'll win the GE


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: I’m not Stu on April 11, 2018, 12:59:03 PM
Will Cisneros beat Thorburn for the runoff spot?


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: I’m not Stu on April 12, 2018, 01:59:10 PM
Would Cisneros win a D vs. D runoff against Thorburn?


Title: Re: CA-39: Does Cisneros make runoff?
Post by: I’m not Stu on April 12, 2018, 07:02:46 PM
I will eat my hat if it's Thorburn or R vs. R.