Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Gass3268 on June 27, 2018, 11:00:15 AM



Title: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Gass3268 on June 27, 2018, 11:00:15 AM
Casey 47%
Barletta 32%

Source (http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/6_27_2018_marginals.pdf)


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: ON Progressive on June 27, 2018, 11:01:23 AM
#CaseyBelow50


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: BudgieForce on June 27, 2018, 11:01:32 AM
Its hard to imagine Casey and Brown being vulnerable if Hillary were president right now.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Golden State Guy on June 27, 2018, 12:20:39 PM


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner on June 27, 2018, 01:10:30 PM


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on June 27, 2018, 04:18:48 PM
Likely R, duh.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 27, 2018, 04:19:38 PM
They keep polling the same races.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on June 27, 2018, 05:04:37 PM


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: CookieDamage on June 27, 2018, 05:08:31 PM
Weak Lean D. Florida Likely R. Casey under 70.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: UncleSam on June 27, 2018, 05:33:46 PM
This'll tighten obviously, Barletta has much worse name recognition and once Trump makes a campaign stop or two for him his support among conservatives will solidify. Of course, his opposition in Philadelphia and the Pittsburgh area will also solidify around Casey, and ultimately Casey's strength in the NEPA and Philadelphia suburbs will keep this at a comfortable (but not overwhelming) high single digit margin.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner on June 27, 2018, 06:01:05 PM
This'll tighten obviously, Barletta has much worse name recognition and once Trump makes a campaign stop or two for him his support among conservatives will solidify. Of course, his opposition in Philadelphia and the Pittsburgh area will also solidify around Casey, and ultimately Casey's strength in the NEPA and Philadelphia suburbs will keep this at a comfortable (but not overwhelming) high single digit margin.
He has conservative support. That’s his issue.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on June 27, 2018, 07:40:34 PM
Its hard to imagine Casey and Brown being vulnerable if Hillary were president right now.

The two of them and Baldwin would probably be the only survivors from real life Trump states.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: wesmoorenerd on June 28, 2018, 01:58:51 AM
Its hard to imagine Casey and Brown being vulnerable if Hillary were president right now.

The two of them and Baldwin would probably be the only survivors from real life Trump states.

I'd struggle to imagine a scenario in which Baldwin survives but Stabenow doesn't.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 28, 2018, 02:06:30 AM
Its hard to imagine Casey and Brown being vulnerable if Hillary were president right now.

The two of them and Baldwin would probably be the only survivors from real life Trump states.

I'd struggle to imagine a scenario in which Baldwin survives but Stabenow doesn't.

He obviously forgot her. The 5 Trump state Democrats, Nelson, and quite possibly Menendez would be in deep sh**t.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 28, 2018, 02:44:38 AM
Its hard to imagine Casey and Brown being vulnerable if Hillary were president right now.

Don’t underestimate how much the environment Ganges based solely on who is President. Brown and Baldwin would be in the fights of their lives

True, a filibuster proof Republican Senate in 2019 would not be out of the question.


Title: Re: PA Suffolk: Casey +15
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on June 29, 2018, 06:45:25 PM
Its hard to imagine Casey and Brown being vulnerable if Hillary were president right now.

The two of them and Baldwin would probably be the only survivors from real life Trump states.

I'd struggle to imagine a scenario in which Baldwin survives but Stabenow doesn't.

Sorry I forgot about her. She is so safe that I forgot she existed.