Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: mds32 on June 27, 2018, 04:43:02 PM



Title: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: mds32 on June 27, 2018, 04:43:02 PM
Alaska Research
Governor
Dunleavy (R) - 38%
Begich (D) -33%
Walker (I) - 23%



https://www.scribd.com/document/382710280/AK-Gov-Alaska-Survey-Research-for-Alaska-Correctional-Officers-Association-June-2018


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Zaybay on June 27, 2018, 04:48:22 PM
Alaska Research
Governor
Dunleavy (R) - 38%
Begich (D) -33%
Walker (I) - 23%



https://www.scribd.com/document/382710280/AK-Gov-Alaska-Survey-Research-for-Alaska-Correctional-Officers-Association-June-2018
wait, thats it? That's the lead Dunleavy has AFTER the race is split? Wow. Alright, this might actually be a tossup.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 27, 2018, 04:48:38 PM
I called it , final vote GoP 38 wins 33 for Begich and 29 for Walker


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Golden State Guy on June 27, 2018, 04:49:49 PM
Tossup. Alaska is so weird politically I could see a Begich win.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Skunk on June 27, 2018, 05:04:17 PM
Walker should drop out lol


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on June 27, 2018, 05:30:59 PM
Begich the Bozo is gonna throw away this seat, d@mn moron... btw I'd vote for Walker.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Maxwell on June 27, 2018, 05:44:55 PM
I feel a bit bad for Walker but not really. Begich would probably be a substantially better Governor, and this looks winnable even with Walker in the race.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Skye on June 27, 2018, 06:07:15 PM
Alaska Research
Governor
Dunleavy (R) - 38%
Begich (D) -33%
Walker (I) - 23%



https://www.scribd.com/document/382710280/AK-Gov-Alaska-Survey-Research-for-Alaska-Correctional-Officers-Association-June-2018
wait, thats it? That's the lead Dunleavy has AFTER the race is split? Wow. Alright, this might actually be a tossup.

It's Alaska for Christ sake. You should take this poll with huge amounts of salt to begin with.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on June 27, 2018, 07:19:12 PM
Begich the Bozo is gonna throw away this seat, d@mn moron... btw I'd vote for Walker.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 27, 2018, 07:23:00 PM
It's Alaska for Christ sake. You should take this poll with huge amounts of salt to begin with.

Although, the R's are favored, its July, 2018


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Xing on June 27, 2018, 08:02:37 PM
Begich may have a chance if Walker really tanks, and Democrats solidify behind him, but I think Lean R is appropriate for this race.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 27, 2018, 08:11:44 PM
Just like in KS, where Dems are splitting vote


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow on June 27, 2018, 08:12:57 PM


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Zaybay on June 27, 2018, 08:21:14 PM
Just like in KS, where Dems are splitting vote

To be fair, the independent is not the current governor, and the GOP is actually hated in that state. We also dont even know if he will have an impact on the race, since there has been no polling. He also has positioned himself as a moderate Republican, even taking a republican state legislator as his second in command. Really we just need polling to determine anything about that race.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on June 27, 2018, 11:29:24 PM
This poll was put in yet none of the Marist and Pennsylvania ones?


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm on June 27, 2018, 11:57:14 PM
An incumbent governor getting third place by a wide margin would be hilarious.  Here's to hoping Begich can pull it out.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: TheSaint250 on June 28, 2018, 08:33:28 AM
1. RIP Walker :(
2. I had a feeling the race would be this divided. Interesting to see Begich so close.
3. I'm surprised someone actually polled this race considering how the only polls seem to be in regards to elections that have no chance of being different than expected (CA-Gov, etc.).


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Sir Mohamed on June 28, 2018, 08:43:50 AM
RIP Mr. Walker. Maybe he takes away enough GOP voters to allow Begich to win. Doubt it tough. Lean R.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: wesmoorenerd on June 28, 2018, 09:22:45 AM
See, the thing is in a head to head race Begich would crush Dunleavy. It's an R state, yes, but Dunleavy is a mediocre candidate and Begich has a strong brand. The problem is Walker, Dems can't afford to split their vote here. Best case scenario for Begich is Walker either drops out or tanks. I think there's actually a good chance of the latter because Walker is both unpopular and I think if Dems start to see Begich as a viable candidate he'll bleed voters into Begich's camp.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: wesmoorenerd on June 28, 2018, 09:27:42 AM
Unsure why you idiots think Begich is the one that should drop out when the incumbent is at 23% lol

Walker is literally one of the least popular governors in the country and his polling here really is pathetic, but no, it's the guy with a chance's fault.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 28, 2018, 05:12:23 PM
Begich may have a chance if Walker really tanks, and Democrats solidify behind him, but I think Lean R is appropriate for this race.

Begich has always come from behind to win 2008, and almost did in 2014, this race is far from over


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: wesmoorenerd on June 29, 2018, 12:21:28 AM
Begich may have a chance if Walker really tanks, and Democrats solidify behind him, but I think Lean R is appropriate for this race.

Begich has always come from behind to win 2008, and almost did in 2014, this race is far from over

Begich would certainly be the favorite if it wasn't a three way race, but besting Dunleavy and Walker in a three way race is much tougher than defeating a scandal-plagued Ted Stevens or a relatively weak Dan Sullivan.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 29, 2018, 11:06:36 AM
I know, but if its a Democratic wave, Begich will win.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: KingSweden on June 29, 2018, 11:18:54 AM
Begich may have a chance if Walker really tanks, and Democrats solidify behind him, but I think Lean R is appropriate for this race.

Agreed 100%


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Senator Incitatus on June 29, 2018, 11:05:41 PM
An incumbent governor getting third place by a wide margin would be hilarious.  Here's to hoping Begich can pull it out.

This is a state where an incumbent governor already finished third. In a primary.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on June 29, 2018, 11:16:46 PM
GO BEGICH. A dem I would be happy with


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist on July 06, 2018, 03:19:42 PM
I'm confused, wasn't Walker running in the Democratic primary specifically to avoid this sort of situation? What happened with that?


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: wesmoorenerd on July 06, 2018, 03:22:14 PM
I'm confused, wasn't Walker running in the Democratic primary specifically to avoid this sort of situation? What happened with that?

Walker said he was running in the Democratic primary unless someone like Begich jumped in, in which case he would switch out. Lo and behold, that's what happened.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist on July 07, 2018, 11:06:42 AM
I'm confused, wasn't Walker running in the Democratic primary specifically to avoid this sort of situation? What happened with that?

Walker said he was running in the Democratic primary unless someone like Begich jumped in, in which case he would switch out. Lo and behold, that's what happened.

Oh, I didn't realize he made it conditional like that.

He needs to just drop his re-election bid.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Zaybay on July 07, 2018, 01:54:28 PM
I'm confused, wasn't Walker running in the Democratic primary specifically to avoid this sort of situation? What happened with that?

Walker said he was running in the Democratic primary unless someone like Begich jumped in, in which case he would switch out. Lo and behold, that's what happened.

Oh, I didn't realize he made it conditional like that.

He needs to just drop his re-election bid.

If Walker drops out, I see this as Lean D. If Dunleavy is leading by only 5 points with Walker and Begich splitting the vote, then hes not a strong candidate.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 07, 2018, 09:11:23 PM
Walker is not dropping out


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: Tintrlvr on July 07, 2018, 09:15:05 PM
An incumbent governor getting third place by a wide margin would be hilarious.  Here's to hoping Begich can pull it out.

If primaries count, incumbent Alaska governor Frank Murkowski (Lisa's father) came third in the 2006 Republican gubernatorial primary with just 19% of the vote.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: 136or142 on July 07, 2018, 09:19:49 PM
GO BEGICH. A dem I would be happy with

Just as long as his crazy brother Nick "Angels Don't Play This HAARP" Begich comes nowhere near to the capital.

Also the host of Coast to Coast AM George Noory, who lies that he is 'straight down the middle' politically but has actually embraced Alex Jones 'Alt Right' conspiracy theory lunacy as well as much of Donald Trump's 'agenda' has this guest on his Tuesday's show.  I don't know if there is any connection between the loony HAARP conspiracy theories and Alex Jones or the broader 'Alt Right.'

Second Half: We are entering a Space Age, but not the kind President Kennedy originally envisioned. Author Elana Freeland will discuss how sinister technologies such as chemtrails and ionospheric heaters like HAARP in Alaska are part of a covert agenda to assure wireless access to the bodies and brains of anyone on Earth.


Title: Re: AK-Gov: Dunleavy (R) Leads With Begich (D) Close Behind, Walker (I) Far Behind
Post by: 136or142 on July 07, 2018, 09:25:32 PM
An incumbent governor getting third place by a wide margin would be hilarious.  Here's to hoping Begich can pull it out.

If primaries count, incumbent Alaska governor Frank Murkowski (Lisa's father) came third in the 2006 Republican gubernatorial primary with just 19% of the vote.

Yes, Sarah Palin won the Primary and then defeated former Democratic Governor Tony Knowles who was trying to make a comeback.  

It was largely on the basis of this primary that John McCain believed that Sarah Palin was a 'maverick reformer.'