Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Gass3268 on June 28, 2018, 05:58:40 PM



Title: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: Gass3268 on June 28, 2018, 05:58:40 PM
Jim Newberger: 37%
Amy Klobuchar: 57%
Undecided: 6%

Karin Housley: 39%
Tina Smith: 48%
Undecided: 13%

From a poll commissioned by Outstate.us (Libertarian website) (https://www.outstate.us/politics/minnesota-statewide-poll-june-24-25-2018/)


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +19
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 28, 2018, 05:59:14 PM
MN is safe


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +19
Post by: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on June 28, 2018, 05:59:23 PM
*Smith+9


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +19
Post by: Gass3268 on June 28, 2018, 06:00:05 PM

Fixed


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on June 28, 2018, 06:23:10 PM
But muh weak Lean D MN special race :0 /s. Klobuchar is safe and Smith is strong Likely D.


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: MT Treasurer on June 28, 2018, 06:25:07 PM
Obviously a Lean D race, definitely flips before MT or WI


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: Sir Mohamed on June 29, 2018, 02:22:05 AM
#KlobucharUnder60


Title: MN: BK Strategies: Sen. Klobuchar (D) up by 20
Post by: Tender Branson on June 29, 2018, 10:07:03 AM
New Poll: Minnesota Senator by BK Strategies on 2018-06-25 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=27120180625261)

Summary: D: 57%, R: 37%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.outstate.us/politics/minnesota-statewide-poll-june-24-25-2018)


Title: Re: MN: BK Strategies: Sen. Klobuchar (D) up by 20
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on June 29, 2018, 11:53:58 AM
New Poll: Minnesota Senator by BK Strategies on 2018-06-25 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=27120180625261)

Summary: D: 57%, R: 37%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.outstate.us/politics/minnesota-statewide-poll-june-24-25-2018)

Are you going to put the Marist polls and Pennsylvania Senate poll in as well?


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: Senator Incitatus on June 29, 2018, 04:56:33 PM
Safe & Likely, with the special being far more variable as we don't know much about either candidate yet.


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: Calthrina950 on June 29, 2018, 05:35:47 PM
Safe & Likely, with the special being far more variable as we don't know much about either candidate yet.

I actually think that the special election is closer to Safe at this point, though Smith will obviously underperform Klobuchar by quite a bit. Will Klobuchar manage to crack 60%?


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: Former Kentuckian on June 29, 2018, 07:52:28 PM
Safe & Likely, with the special being far more variable as we don't know much about either candidate yet.

I actually think that the special election is closer to Safe at this point, though Smith will obviously underperform Klobuchar by quite a bit. Will Klobuchar manage to crack 60%?

Probably. She won 65% in her 2012 election and she consistently has among the highest approval ratings in the Senate. Newberger will be the Republican nominee this year and he's an absolute joke who can't stop saying dumb stuff. She'll destroy him.


Title: MN: BK Strategies: Smith Leading in Minnesota Special Election
Post by: ElectionAtlas on June 29, 2018, 07:57:43 PM
New Poll: Minnesota Senator (Special) by BK Strategies on 2018-06-25 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=27220180625261)

Summary: D: 48%, R: 39%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.outstate.us/politics/minnesota-statewide-poll-june-24-25-2018/)


Title: Re: MN: BK Strategies: Sen. Klobuchar (D) up by 20
Post by: Tender Branson on June 29, 2018, 11:35:39 PM
New Poll: Minnesota Senator by BK Strategies on 2018-06-25 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=27120180625261)

Summary: D: 57%, R: 37%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.outstate.us/politics/minnesota-statewide-poll-june-24-25-2018)

Are you going to put the Marist polls and Pennsylvania Senate poll in as well?

Not for now.

I'm only focusing on states which have no polls entered so far. The polls will only start getting interesting and meanigful in early October anyway.

And because there are no more elections in Austria this year, I will have some time to follow the US-midterms more closely starting in September or October. I can enter some polls then.


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: President Johnson on June 30, 2018, 04:01:11 AM
Both are safe Democratic. I think that Smith will underperform Klobuchar by less than 10%.


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: Jeppe on June 30, 2018, 08:40:08 AM
The website is a Republican site, so they’re probably underestimating Dem support. The very little known website is basically fully funded by Stewart Mills, Rick Nolan’s Republican opponent in 2014 and 2016.


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: IceSpear on July 01, 2018, 04:05:21 PM
Double digit swing against Klobuchar from 2012. Only a matter of time before Minnesota is titanium R.


Title: Re: MN-SEN (Outstate.us/BK Strategies): Klobuchar +20 / Smith +9
Post by: MAINEiac4434 on July 09, 2018, 04:37:28 PM
Barring a scandal, Tina Smith is, has always been and will remain completely safe.