Talk Elections

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/564129f1e4b07ae26518a05c/t/5b43b41d8a922da7a735db24/1531163678634/Harstad+Alaska+Survey+on+Governor%27s+Race.pdf
Dunleavy 32
Walker 28
Begich 28
Undecided 12%
 Dunleavy also leads GOP primary 
Dunleavy 43
Treadwell 17 
Other 3%
Undecided 24%
in head to head match ups Dunleavy trails both candidates by significant margins
Walker 49%
Dunleavy 41%
Undecided 11%

Begich 50%
Dunleavy 41%
Undecided 9%

Democratic polling firm.

Drop out Begich!

Why do you want Begich to drop out? Walker is deeply unpopular, a previous GOPer, and a conservative on most issues. Begich is stronger than Walker, and better. If anyone should drop out, its Walker. He had his chance, and he f*^&ed up. Let the better man win.

Go Begich😀

Walker is so unpopular that he's easily leading a Republican in a heavily Republican state.

I mean, so is Begich. I think all that really says is Dunleavy is a surprisingly bad candidate.

He is unpopular, that is true. He is in the top ten of the most unpopular governors in the USA. This speaks more to the weakness of Dunleavy being a poor candidate and the flaws in the GOP coalition than Walker's ability.

Obviously a state Senator like Dunleavy doesn’t have nearly as much name recognition as Walker or Begich, so that probably also explains his underwhelming numbers. It’s also a state that is trending Democratic.

It’s Begich’s fault if Dunleavy wins, not Walker’s. Walker is the incumbent governor, he has a hell of a lot more right to run for his own seat than some ex-Senator. Begich should’ve waited if he wanted to run for Governor, or should’ve run for his old Senate seat instead.

if that were the case then undecideds would be up and Begich and Walkers numbers would be far lower

I wouldn’t say that 12% is a small percentage of undecideds, especially if they lean Republican... but that’s kind of beside the point. Citing this poll as evidence for Dunleavy being a terrible candidate makes about as much sense as referring to Steve Pearce's internal polls in which he was "only" losing by 2 and 4 points, respectively, to prove that Lujan Grisham is a "terrible" candidate (which many people here actually did). I’m not saying that Dunleavy is a particularly good recruit, but the fact that he’s "only" led by 4-8 points in all three Democratic-leaning polls so far doesn’t make him a joke candidate. I personally think this race is a Tossup, perhaps with a slight R tilt. AK polls were pretty accurate in 2014, so it would be nice to get a non-internal poll here for once.

Hate to be that person, but the database shows Dunleavy and Begich at 28 and Walker at 32.

thats weird a mod should fix that

Alaska polling is bad in general (harder to poll it than Titanium R Nevada), so you can probably assume any one of these candidates is leading by up to 10 points right now.

Remember when the final Alaska poll in the 2016 Presidential Election had Hillary Clinton winning by 4?

I think Walker holds on

I doubt it, due to vote splitting.  It's odd, since Walker was a Republican, but I guess he became a de facto Democrat due to the fact that he ran against a Republican in 2014, so he's seen as a Democrat even though he was a Republican and was endorsed by Sarah Palin.