Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Coffein00 on July 16, 2018, 11:25:44 AM



Title: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Coffein00 on July 16, 2018, 11:25:44 AM
FWIW: realclearpolitics.com/docs/Florida_July_15_2018_(002).pdf

It's a Gravis polls, so take it with a big grain of salt.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: junior chįmp on July 16, 2018, 11:28:11 AM
Spaceman Nelson will win


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: KingSweden on July 16, 2018, 12:36:44 PM
Eh Gravis


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on July 16, 2018, 12:37:38 PM
Hack poll. Every respectable pollster has this Lean Scott.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: LimoLiberal on July 16, 2018, 12:38:13 PM
In comparison with Gravis' previous Florida poll.

Nelson - 47 (-3)
Scott - 44 (+4)

Not a good trendline for the senior senator.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 16, 2018, 12:39:32 PM
C'mon Nelson, pull through...


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on July 16, 2018, 12:40:49 PM
In comparison with Gravis' previous Florida poll.

Nelson - 47 (-3)
Scott - 44 (+4)

Not a good trendline for the senior senator.
Yep, this is a disastrous poll for Nelson. He's cratering in the Sunshine State. Leave it to the FDP to wet the bed yet again.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Zaybay on July 16, 2018, 12:43:56 PM
In comparison with Gravis' previous Florida poll.

Nelson - 47 (-3)
Scott - 44 (+4)

Not a good trendline for the senior senator.
Yep, this is a disastrous poll for Nelson. He's cratering in the Sunshine State. Leave it to the FDP to wet the bed yet again.
You guys are acting like this is a Fox News poll, and that Nelson could actually win by 10 points. We dismissed that poll as an outlier, and  usually distrust Gravis, so as other posters have said, take with a grain of salt. Or keep trolling, that works too.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: ON Progressive on July 16, 2018, 01:02:49 PM
Hack poll. Every respectable pollster has this Lean Scott.

The bad polls have been better for Scott than the good polls. PPP and Marist are both quality firms with Nelson ahead. The firms with Scott ahead are garbage like Surveymonkey, Cherry Communications, and St. Leo (which had Clinton up 13 in FL in October LOL).

Also, the only polls with Scott ahead AND with at least 47% are Surveymonkey, Cherry, and McLaughlin (of Cantor ahead by 34% fame)


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: BundouYMB on July 16, 2018, 01:17:32 PM
Hack poll. Every respectable pollster has this Lean Scott.

The bad polls have been better for Scott than the good polls. PPP and Marist are both quality firms with Nelson ahead. The firms with Scott ahead are garbage like Surveymonkey, Cherry Communications, and St. Leo (which had Clinton up 13 in FL in October LOL).

Also, the only polls with Scott ahead AND with at least 47% are Surveymonkey, Cherry, and McLaughlin (of Cantor ahead by 34% fame)

Don't feed the trolls.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on July 16, 2018, 01:19:26 PM
Florida is a Toss-Up, news at 11.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong on July 16, 2018, 01:52:35 PM


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: MT Treasurer on July 16, 2018, 05:59:31 PM
Not a good poll for Nelson given how Democratic-friendly Gravis has been in FL this cycle. That said, I think Nelson wins by 3 or so.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: BudgieForce on July 16, 2018, 06:07:11 PM
Not a good poll for Nelson given how Democratic-friendly Gravis has been in FL this cycle. That said, I think Nelson wins by 3 or so.

Gravis has gone from Nelson +4 to Nelson +4 to Nelson +10 to Nelson +4. I think that June poll that had Nelson up +10 was a clear outlier and this is a return to the mean.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on July 16, 2018, 06:28:14 PM
We finally get a poll showing Nelson ahead and it just has to be from Gravis!


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: wesmoorenerd on July 16, 2018, 06:41:51 PM
Hack poll. Every respectable pollster has this Lean Scott.

kek


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: ON Progressive on July 16, 2018, 06:46:55 PM
We're all talking about the general election polling, but you can't forget this part: ()

#Rockymentum


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 16, 2018, 08:49:12 PM
We're all talking about the general election polling, but you can't forget this part: ()

#Rockymentum

Lol, if this is the result, then that is pretty pathetic for Scott.


Title: FL: Gravis Marketing: Sen. Nelson (D) +4
Post by: Tender Branson on July 17, 2018, 02:50:51 AM
New Poll: Florida Senator by Gravis Marketing on 2018-07-14 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=12120180714232)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Florida_July_15_2018_(002).pdf)


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on July 17, 2018, 07:11:16 PM
We're all talking about the general election polling, but you can't forget this part: ()

#Rockymentum

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DhlPAj38rHc


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 17, 2018, 07:15:11 PM
We're all talking about the general election polling, but you can't forget this part: ()

#Rockymentum

Lol, if this is the result, then that is pretty pathetic for Scott.

Better result than Manchin got in his primary

Correct but Paula Jean Swearingen is a much better candidate than De LaFuente, and she actually lives in the state and ran a campaign.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 17, 2018, 08:00:02 PM
Look like DeSantis might save Florida for the Dems, should he win the nomination


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Person Man on July 18, 2018, 06:30:09 PM
Other polls also have Scott ahead but Nelson catching up.


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on July 18, 2018, 06:47:34 PM
Yes, Nelson is catching up and it will be decided by the Gov race like in 2014, with percentage points


Title: Re: Gravis: Nelson leading by 4 in Florida
Post by: Former President tack50 on July 19, 2018, 03:03:52 PM
We're all talking about the general election polling, but you can't forget this part: ()

#Rockymentum

#Scottunder75