Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: ON Progressive on July 18, 2018, 09:09:31 AM



Title: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: ON Progressive on July 18, 2018, 09:09:31 AM
Gillibrand 57
Farley 30

https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2555


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: President Johnson on July 18, 2018, 09:11:28 AM
#Gillibrandunder60


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: smoltchanov on July 18, 2018, 09:15:57 AM
Not bad. But given how well-known Gillibrand is, and, generally, how blue is New York (and how unknown is Farley) - probably could be even better.


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: KingSweden on July 18, 2018, 09:17:39 AM


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: JG on July 18, 2018, 09:29:24 AM
Not bad. But given how well-known Gillibrand is, and, generally, how blue is New York (and how unknown is Farley) - probably could be even better.

Gillibrand had similar numbers around the same time in 2012.


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Sestak on July 21, 2018, 10:18:23 AM
Tossup


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: scutosaurus on July 21, 2018, 11:46:01 AM
Tilt R, ethnic whites love Farley and a mixture of the upballot AOC effect and Charlie Baker's mega-coattails will sink Gillibrand's reelection bid.


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on July 21, 2018, 12:10:13 PM
AOC will sink Gillibrand!

Likely R


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Obama-Biden Democrat on July 23, 2018, 03:38:59 PM
Tilt R, ethnic whites love Farley and a mixture of the upballot AOC effect and Charlie Baker's mega-coattails will sink Gillibrand's reelection bid.

Deb Fisher's mega coattails will also doom McCaskill in MO. Mitt Romney's smashing win in Utah also makes me have to change both AZ, NM and NV to Safe R. Even California is looking like tilt R, due to Mitt's victory spilling over state borders.


Title: NY: Quinnipiac University: Gillibrand with Solid Lead in New York
Post by: ElectionAtlas on July 27, 2018, 11:23:21 AM
New Poll: New York Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2018-07-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=36120180716015)

Summary: D: 57%, R: 30%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2555)


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: IceSpear on July 28, 2018, 06:34:47 PM
Should've nominated strong candidate Wendy Long.


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Dr. Arch on July 28, 2018, 06:38:15 PM
Why are they polling this race?


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Virginiá on July 28, 2018, 06:39:34 PM
Should've nominated strong candidate Wendy Long.

What about rising star and unbeatable titan Rob Astorino?


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 28, 2018, 10:06:36 PM
Should've nominated strong candidate Wendy Long.

What about rising star and unbeatable titan Rob Astorino?

Now now, both are shark chum in the shadow of Rick Lazio...


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: libertpaulian on July 29, 2018, 01:34:51 AM
#FarleyMentum


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Senator Incitatus on July 30, 2018, 04:43:44 PM
Why are they polling this race?

I'm not sure I've actually written this before. But this is at least the thousandth time I've thought it in response to a comment here, and it bears saying:

POLLING IS USEFUL FOR REASONS OTHER THAN OBSESSIVE NATIONAL PUNDITRY. STOP COMPLAINING ABOUT POLLS EXISTING.


Title: Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +27
Post by: Calthrina950 on July 30, 2018, 05:12:34 PM
Why are they polling this race?

I'm not sure I've actually written this before. But this is at least the thousandth time I've thought it in response to a comment here, and it bears saying:

POLLING IS USEFUL FOR REASONS OTHER THAN OBSESSIVE NATIONAL PUNDITRY. STOP COMPLAINING ABOUT POLLS EXISTING.

I agree with this. I've actually had some legitimate questions of my own about how Gillibrand's recent posturing and policy flip-flops might have even a minor effect on her performance as compared to 2012. Will she break 70% this time? And will there be any kind of Republican trend in upstate New York?