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Title: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: ON Progressive on July 23, 2018, 10:34:58 AM D primary:
Whitmer 39 Thanedar 17 El-Sayed 12 R primary: Schuette 35 Calley 13 Hines 9 Colbeck 7 General election: Whitmer 43 Schuette 36 Whitmer 44 Calley 33 https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-pr-mi-7.23.pdf Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: wesmoorenerd on July 23, 2018, 10:57:26 AM Sounds a bit right. Whitmer-Schuette is all but inevitable at this point unless Schuette is really tarnished by his scandals, and I'm confident that's a race Whitmer would win. Lean D.
Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow on July 23, 2018, 12:15:26 PM If I had my way, Thanedar would be dead last in the Democratic primary, but at least one of the good candidates (Whitmer or El-Sayed) is poised for an easy victory.
My gut tells me that Schuette would actually do slightly worse than Calley in the GE, given that he's more aggressively opposed by Michigan liberals (source: I live in Ann Arbor) and, as far as I know, he has more controversial facets to his record than Calley does. Probably doesn't make too much of a difference at the end of the day, though, as I predict a relatively comfortable Whitmer victory either way (but I doubt that it's by 11, probably 4-7). Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 23, 2018, 12:25:38 PM Go Whitmer!
Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: RedPrometheus on July 23, 2018, 01:32:50 PM Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: Free Bird on July 23, 2018, 02:57:50 PM At this point, sure why not. Never felt right for Michigan to have a Republican governor TBH. That in mind, anyone notice that these numbers have stayed remarkably status over the months? Whitmer is stuck in the low 40s and Schuette in the mid-upper 30s. Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: IceSpear on July 23, 2018, 03:13:30 PM The interesting thing is that Whitmer is continually getting decent leads in these polls despite the low name recognition. It makes me wonder if this could end up being the inverse of the 2010 race, especially if Schuette's scandals get worse.
Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: Free Bird on July 23, 2018, 03:15:51 PM The interesting thing is that Whitmer is continually getting decent leads in these polls despite the low name recognition. It makes me wonder if this could end up being the inverse of the 2010 race, especially if Schuette's scandals get worse. Does Schuette have low name recognition too? Could someone catch me up to speed with these scandals of his? Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: Mr. Smith on July 23, 2018, 03:27:08 PM Jealous was hopeless too, Baker v. Hogan was inevitable.
Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: IceSpear on July 23, 2018, 03:50:30 PM The interesting thing is that Whitmer is continually getting decent leads in these polls despite the low name recognition. It makes me wonder if this could end up being the inverse of the 2010 race, especially if Schuette's scandals get worse. Does Schuette have low name recognition too? Could someone catch me up to speed with these scandals of his? This one had Whitmer with 16-9 favorability, which is probably about the same name recognition a random name drawn out of a hat would get, lol. Schuette was at 25-25. Whitmer led by 5 anyway. https://www.scribd.com/document/378482123/MI-Gov-EPIC-MRA-May-2018 Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: Zaybay on July 23, 2018, 03:58:52 PM Waiting for that El-Sayed upset
Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: Skunk on July 23, 2018, 04:01:09 PM The general election lead is nice but I wish she was closer to 50 (although with that low name recognition I can see why she ain't there yet). I'd prefer El-Sayed but I'm fine with Whitmer.
Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: MAINEiac4434 on July 23, 2018, 07:35:24 PM At this point I'm just hoping Abdul beats Thanedar.
Title: Re: MI-Emerson: Whitmer/Schuette dominate primaries, Whitmer +7/+11 in GE Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 23, 2018, 07:51:42 PM I don't want El Sayed because he will lose the GE.
Title: MI: Emerson College: Whitmer +7 Post by: IceSpear on August 03, 2018, 04:25:47 PM New Poll: Michigan Governor by Emerson College on 2018-07-11 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620180711223)
Summary: D: 43%, R: 36%, U: 21% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-pr-mi-7.23.pdf) |