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Title: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: mds32 on July 31, 2018, 06:59:44 PM Senate
Primary Carper 51% Harris 19% General Carper (D) 47% Arlett (R) 39% Carper (D) 47% Truono (R) 38% Carper approval 43%-41% https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Delaware_July_29_2018_v2.pdf Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Skunk on July 31, 2018, 07:01:41 PM ()
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Maxwell on July 31, 2018, 07:04:23 PM trashvis
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Free Bird on July 31, 2018, 07:04:31 PM wtf gravis. Not even lolgravis, wtf gravis.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: mds32 on July 31, 2018, 07:04:34 PM This is likely where the Democratic primary is right now.
They polled the presidential primary as well. Trump would smoke Kasich 67% - 9% in the Republican primary Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 31, 2018, 07:06:29 PM Make it stop please, this is getting ridiculous.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Jeppe on July 31, 2018, 07:07:03 PM Better numbers than I expected for Harris. Not great numbers for Carper in the primary or the general. AOC was facing very similar numbers in NY-14, until the undecideds broke decisively for her. Incumbents struggling to secure a strong majority in their primary polling generally have a tough time when it's actually time for the primary.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 31, 2018, 07:08:28 PM Better numbers than I expected for Harris. Not great numbers for Carper in the primary or the general. AOC was facing very similar numbers in NY-14, until the undecideds broke decisively for her. Incumbents struggling to secure a strong majority in their primary polling generally have a tough time when it's actually time for the primary. Please don't take this poll seriously people. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: mds32 on July 31, 2018, 07:11:49 PM Better numbers than I expected for Harris. Not great numbers for Carper in the primary or the general. AOC was facing very similar numbers in NY-14, until the undecideds broke decisively for her. Incumbents struggling to secure a strong majority in their primary polling generally have a tough time when it's actually time for the primary. Please don't take this poll seriously people. The presidential primary is actually interesting and likely accurate. Who's to say the Democratic Primary poll isn't. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Zaybay on July 31, 2018, 07:23:13 PM Im surprised no one has asked why Gravis did a poll of DE. This is not a state on anyone's radar, and Gravis polls usually go for the highest bidder, which is why they tend to have some of the worst results.
I pose to Atlas, who sponsored this poll? Because if its who I think it is, then this poll may say more than we think. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: ON Progressive on July 31, 2018, 07:27:47 PM wtf gravis. Not even lolgravis, wtf gravis. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on July 31, 2018, 07:41:15 PM Annnnnd the poll is already put in. Reminder: We still have the Marist and Emerson polls to put in.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: mds32 on July 31, 2018, 07:43:28 PM Annnnnd the poll is already put in. Reminder: We still have the Marist and Emerson polls to put in. I have put in about 4 polls today. Why can't other people pick up?! Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: _ on July 31, 2018, 08:33:31 PM >GRAVIS () Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Gass3268 on July 31, 2018, 08:47:09 PM Im surprised no one has asked why Gravis did a poll of DE. This is not a state on anyone's radar, and Gravis polls usually go for the highest bidder, which is why they tend to have some of the worst results. I pose to Atlas, who sponsored this poll? Because if its who I think it is, then this poll may say more than we think. Some folks on the #roseleft think this is place where they could knock off Carper. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist on July 31, 2018, 08:49:34 PM Dubious
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Ebsy on July 31, 2018, 09:01:24 PM I'm still not certain we've ever obtained sufficient evidence that Gravis actually conducts their polls.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: mds32 on July 31, 2018, 09:45:56 PM I'm still not certain we've ever obtained sufficient evidence that Gravis actually conducts their polls. You really need to get over it. RCP and 538 consider them to be real. That's real enough for me. You can go live in fantasy land. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 31, 2018, 10:29:49 PM I'm still not certain we've ever obtained sufficient evidence that Gravis actually conducts their polls. You really need to get over it. RCP and 538 consider them to be real. That's real enough for me. You can go live in fantasy land. If you think that Carper is only winning by single digits in the GE you are in fantasy land. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Beet on July 31, 2018, 10:31:40 PM Carper is the kind of Dem that the liberals can knock off pretty easily; they won't lose the Delaware seat, and they can put in someone significantly more liberal than him. But for some reason this race has been getting less attention than the one against Capuano, who is one of the most liberal members of the House.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 31, 2018, 10:38:36 PM As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: MT Treasurer on July 31, 2018, 10:39:31 PM As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all. looooool Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Zaybay on July 31, 2018, 10:40:47 PM As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 31, 2018, 10:43:46 PM As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all. Or 46-8 for Manchin is a 38 point lead for Manchin, with the final result being 69.79-30.21 for Manchin, a 39.58 point lead for Manchin. By this logic, it most certainly would not be a tossup. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 31, 2018, 10:44:52 PM As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all. looooool I'm doing my d@mn best to help make it an Atlasian meme. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Politician on August 01, 2018, 01:56:10 AM >g r a v i s
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: mds32 on August 01, 2018, 08:24:58 AM I'm still not certain we've ever obtained sufficient evidence that Gravis actually conducts their polls. You really need to get over it. RCP and 538 consider them to be real. That's real enough for me. You can go live in fantasy land. If you think that Carper is only winning by single digits in the GE you are in fantasy land. Who said I did? Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Pollster on August 01, 2018, 12:48:00 PM Bold prediction: if this poll is accurate (not a given), Carper loses the primary.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: scutosaurus on August 01, 2018, 01:19:49 PM Lmao, Trump doesn't have a 46% approval rating in Delaware
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: KingSweden on August 01, 2018, 01:22:33 PM Guys it’s Gravis
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Dukakisite1988 on August 01, 2018, 02:09:57 PM Hopefully this will set-up a glorious and inspiring presidential run in 2020 on the part of Carper.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: IceSpear on August 01, 2018, 04:46:49 PM JUNK POLL!
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Senator Incitatus on August 01, 2018, 10:04:09 PM Obviously G R A V I S, but this is still bizarre.
I'd say the small margin is due to lack of unified party support, but then I'd think the primary would be polling closer. Probably one of the strangest polls I've ever seen. Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Greatblueheron on August 02, 2018, 02:00:00 AM This is a crap poll.
Title: Re: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General Post by: Progressive Pessimist on August 02, 2018, 07:07:12 PM BLUE WAVE DOOMED!
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