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Title: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: mds32 on August 02, 2018, 06:48:54 PM Oregon Governor
Buehler (R) 43% Brown (D) 42% http://cloutpolitical.com/poll-or-governor-race-in-statistical-tie-with-gop-challenger-buehler-holding-slight-edge/ Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Skye on August 02, 2018, 06:55:53 PM Never heard of this pollster. If I have, I really don't remember about them.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: IceSpear on August 02, 2018, 06:57:08 PM Never heard of this pollster. If I have, I really don't remember about them. It's a Republican poll that only had Brown ahead by 1 point in 2016. Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: tmthforu94 on August 02, 2018, 06:57:38 PM Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: MT Treasurer on August 02, 2018, 06:58:15 PM https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=237683.0
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 02, 2018, 06:59:35 PM OKAY, still Leaning D
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: IceSpear on August 02, 2018, 07:00:17 PM https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=237683.0 LOL, good times. Funny how many people actually took it seriously. Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 02, 2018, 07:06:02 PM This is the result of the tax hike bill, voters want her to veto. Same thing in CT, Ned Lamont is threatening to raise taxes.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Calthrina950 on August 02, 2018, 09:08:12 PM Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president. From what little I know about her, Brown seems to be a very lackluster and uninspiring Governor (to say nothing of her liberalism), while Buehler seems like a decent, moderate Republican. But unfortunately, she will win because of the environment, as you said. Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: South Dakota Democrat on August 02, 2018, 09:56:12 PM Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president. Why would she be toast if Cruz were president? Isn't it the same dynamic, basically, her being from the opposite party as the president makes her safer? Or do you think a Cruz midterm would turn out significantly better for the GOP than a Trump midterm? Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Senator Incitatus on August 02, 2018, 10:12:10 PM Never heard of this pollster. If I have, I really don't remember about them. It's a Republican poll that only had Brown ahead by 1 point in 2016. Brown +2 in their final poll of the race. And that was closer than most other polls. This poll doesn't move the needle for me, but I wish we'd get more on Oregon. Maybe this will bring some attention. Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Panda Express on August 02, 2018, 10:39:03 PM I hate to say it, but the Republican has a huge name advantage here. Ferris Bueller's Day Off is a classic movie beloved by everyone. “Brown” by contrast is a boring name and evokes no good memories.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Sir Mohamed on August 03, 2018, 01:43:43 AM ()
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Xing on August 03, 2018, 09:36:24 AM LOL, not gonna happen, much as Atlas wants Oregon to be competitive. I believe that this pollster also has Clinton beating Sanders by 15 in the primary, if my memory serves me correctly. Polls in Oregon often overestimate Republicans as well, since polls had Romney only slightly behind Obama in 2012.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Canis on August 03, 2018, 10:07:02 AM Buehler isn't just moderate hes straight up liberal he supports single payer! anyway clout is a terrible polster but this race is slowly inching to tossup Buehler is running a great campaign from what my friends in oregon have told me Brown not so much.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: YE on August 03, 2018, 10:08:44 AM Buehler isn't just moderate hes straight up liberal he supports single payer! anyway clout is a terrible polster but this race is slowly inching to tossup Buehler is running a great campaign from what my friends in oregon have told me Brown not so much. Wait what? Maybe I should support him... Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Senator Incitatus on August 03, 2018, 10:12:57 AM Quote from: Eugene Weekly "Buehler, an orthopedic surgeon, said he would support a single-payer, Medicaid-for-all system. 'I would like to see that, as long as the state can afford it, everyone in the state of Oregon is guaranteed a basic level of health care, and then allow people to buy up from that level.' However, Buehler said that a single-payer system is a 'qualified right … I don’t think it’s an absolute right.' There may come a time when the state can’t afford health care coverage, he added. 'I think that core component is our society right now is wealthy enough to provide a basic level of health service,” Buehler explained. “There may be a time when we’re not — that’s why I don’t like to make it an absolute right. I don’t think we can make those kinds of absolute rights.'" Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Canis on August 03, 2018, 10:32:53 AM But yeah hes really liberal he supports expanding medicaid https://knutebuehler.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/Knute-for-Governor-Health-care-BIG.pdf hes pro choice and for a carbon tax
https://www.oregonbusiness.com/article/item/18206-buehler-buehler-buehler He also has a huge education plan that looks really good. https://s3.amazonaws.com/arc-wordpress-client-uploads/wweek/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/28130353/18-BUE-Education-FINAL.pdf Hes also a huge supporter of Women's right to choose and access Birth control check out this ad https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ng_0F5DxyKI Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: South Dakota Democrat on August 03, 2018, 10:35:58 AM But yeah hes really liberal he supports expanding medicaid https://knutebuehler.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/Knute-for-Governor-Health-care-BIG.pdf hes pro choice and for a carbon tax https://www.oregonbusiness.com/article/item/18206-buehler-buehler-buehler He also has a huge education plan that looks really good. https://s3.amazonaws.com/arc-wordpress-client-uploads/wweek/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/28130353/18-BUE-Education-FINAL.pdf Hes also a huge supporter of Women's right to choose and access Birth control check out this ad https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ng_0F5DxyKI Why's he a Republican, then? Tax cuts and deregulation, I'm guessing? Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Gass3268 on August 03, 2018, 11:00:33 AM Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president. Environment would not be dissimilar if Cruz was President. Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: OSR stands with Israel on August 03, 2018, 12:36:35 PM LOL, not gonna happen, much as Atlas wants Oregon to be competitive. I believe that this pollster also has Clinton beating Sanders by 15 in the primary, if my memory serves me correctly. Polls in Oregon often overestimate Republicans as well, since polls had Romney only slightly behind Obama in 2012. polls in OR overestimate dems too Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Politician on August 03, 2018, 06:26:11 PM Junk poll. No surprise mds added it of course.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on August 03, 2018, 09:22:54 PM This race honestly is close and the Oregonians on here likely know it, Kate Brown hasn't been running many ads yet though, while Knute Buehler has been airing them every hour (and half!) on all of the news stations and so on, I think Kate Brown wins by 2ish points in the end.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Skunk on August 03, 2018, 09:46:04 PM This race is competitive but, this pollster is pretty trash. As MT Treasurer pointed out they're the same masterminds that had Trump up 2 in Oregon, lol.
Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: South Dakota Democrat on August 03, 2018, 09:47:26 PM Sleeper race. Brown hangs on because of environment, but she would have been toast if Clinton or Cruz were president. Environment would not be dissimilar if Cruz was President. Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 04, 2018, 03:02:01 AM Junk poll. No surprise mds added it of course. Bueler is a heck of a candidate Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Xing on November 13, 2018, 07:07:24 PM Junk poll. No surprise mds added it of course. Bueler is a heck of a candidate And a lot of good it did him. This was a fun read. :) Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on December 02, 2018, 05:01:47 AM LOL, not gonna happen, much as Atlas wants Oregon to be competitive. I believe that this pollster also has Clinton beating Sanders by 15 in the primary, if my memory serves me correctly. Polls in Oregon often overestimate Republicans as well, since polls had Romney only slightly behind Obama in 2012. polls in OR overestimate dems too And they also overestimated Knutesack Booger, rip. Title: Re: OR-Gov: Buehler (R) Leads Gov. Brown (D) 43%-42% Post by: Ye We Can on December 06, 2018, 03:11:09 PM LOL, not gonna happen, much as Atlas wants Oregon to be competitive. I believe that this pollster also has Clinton beating Sanders by 15 in the primary, if my memory serves me correctly. Polls in Oregon often overestimate Republicans as well, since polls had Romney only slightly behind Obama in 2012. polls in OR overestimate dems too And they also overestimated Knutesack Booger, rip. >Bagel calls someone else a nutsack Oh the irony |