Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Terry the Fat Shark on August 16, 2018, 03:08:00 PM



Title: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on August 16, 2018, 03:08:00 PM
https://www.illinoispoliticsblog.com/single-post/PRITZKER-LEADS-RAUNER-BY-11-POINTS-IN-LATEST-ILLINOIS-POLL-PritzkerE28099s-lead-down-from-15-points-six-weeks-ago

The poll of 1208 likely Illinois general election voters was conducted August 12-14, 2018. The margin of error is 2.8%. The poll was conducted by live callers and answered on both land lines (614) and cell phones (594).

Pritzker - 41%
Rauner - 30%
McCann - 9%
Jackson - 2%
Undecided - 18%


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: LimoLiberal on August 16, 2018, 03:18:24 PM
Pritzker was at 45% in their last poll. Rauner gaining ground.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 16, 2018, 03:19:57 PM
Pritzker will win 56-44%


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: MT Treasurer on August 16, 2018, 03:21:57 PM
Quote
Geographically, outside of Cook County, McCann’s candidacy hits double digit support in the areas of the state where Governor Rauner performed the best in 2016 when he defeated Governor Pat Quinn.

In Northern Illinois, for example, Rauner defeated Quinn by twenty percentage points in 2016 (57.9%-37.8%). In the poll, Rauner is ahead of Pritzker by less than four percentage points (38.5%-34.6%), with McCann breaking double digits at 10.8%. In Central Illinois in 2016, Rauner crushed Quinn by almost thirty percentage points (61.8%-32.6%). Now, Rauner and Pritzker are locked in a dead heat in the region (33.3%-32.4%), with McCann at 15%. Finally, in Southern Illinois, the area of Rauner’s greatest margin in 2016 (62.2%- 32.2%), the three candidates are locked in a virtual tie, (Pritzker 27.3%, Rauner 27.3%, McCann 23.4%), according to the poll.

If Rauner hadn’t alienated his conservative base, this would have been an embarrassingly small margin of victory for Pritzker. Heck, it’s embarrassing even now. Still Safe D, though.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: IceSpear on August 16, 2018, 03:22:18 PM
Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. :)


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 16, 2018, 03:27:16 PM
It's the Midwest WI, MI, and IL don't have blowout victories.  Evers, Whitmer and Pritzker should win around 53-47%.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: President Johnson on August 16, 2018, 03:31:27 PM
Strange poll that understates Pritzker's performance. He will get at least 55%, which is a solid base of Democratic support in this friendly enviornment. McCann might sink Rauner below 40% though. Worst case scenario for Rauner is 55-35-10%. Safe Democratic anyway.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: jamestroll on August 16, 2018, 03:32:34 PM
I'm really nervous to be honest


Title: IL: Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: IceSpear on August 16, 2018, 03:41:57 PM
New Poll: Illinois Governor by Victory Research on 2018-08-14 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1720180814251)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 30%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.illinoispoliticsblog.com/single-post/PRITZKER-LEADS-RAUNER-BY-11-POINTS-IN-LATEST-ILLINOIS-POLL-PritzkerE28099s-lead-down-from-15-points-six-weeks-ago)


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Politician on August 16, 2018, 03:48:16 PM
Safe D, of course.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Skye on August 16, 2018, 05:36:08 PM
It's still Likely D.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Senator Incitatus on August 16, 2018, 05:40:37 PM
Safe D to Likely D for me.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Xing on August 16, 2018, 06:37:48 PM
Safe D, but I hope that the Democrats primary Pritzker in 2022.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Green Line on August 16, 2018, 06:53:24 PM
The bumpkins of Southern Illinois need to wake up and realize that "Illinois is worth fighting for" - and that ain't gonna happen with McCann.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 16, 2018, 07:31:11 PM
IL is an Obama state, Safe D


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: IceSpear on August 16, 2018, 07:53:18 PM

Stellar #analysis. Sen. Giannoulias and Gov. Quinn agree.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 16, 2018, 07:55:07 PM
They were scandaled, Hillary won it convincingly


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: IceSpear on August 16, 2018, 08:00:50 PM
They were scandaled, Hillary won it convincingly

LOL, please let this become a new forum meme.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Xing on August 16, 2018, 08:08:15 PM
Does that mean that Pritzker might lose if he too gets scandaled?


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 16, 2018, 08:09:58 PM
No, Rauner is a billionaire and is a GOPer, unfortunately for him he has an R next his name. IL is an Obama state and hates Trump.  Rauner is looked upon as the same as Trump. 


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on August 16, 2018, 08:11:21 PM
No, Rauner is a billionaire and is a GOPer, unfortunately for him he has an R next his name. IL is an Obama state and hates Trump.  Rauner is looked upon as the same as Trump. 

Good thing his opponent totally isn't a billionaire.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Former Kentuckian on August 16, 2018, 08:25:38 PM
Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. :)

God, I wish. Only good outcome from this mess.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: new_patomic on August 16, 2018, 08:41:02 PM
What those subtabs tell me is Pritzker has a lot of room to grow in Chicago and Cook County.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on August 16, 2018, 08:59:05 PM
Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. :)

God, I wish. Only good outcome from this mess.

It's more of a question of when than if.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Sir Mohamed on August 17, 2018, 02:04:15 AM
Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. :)

Lock him up! Lock him up!


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Gass3268 on August 17, 2018, 08:36:56 AM
Most of the undecideds in this poll are from Chicago and the remainder of Cook County.


Title: Re: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
Post by: Mr. Illini on August 18, 2018, 09:21:58 AM
A three way tie in central and southern? You have to think that is good news for Bruce, as many of those now saying McCann will come home to his camp.