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Title: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: GeorgiaModerate on August 23, 2018, 04:04:29 PM http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNews_MaristPoll_PennsylvaniaAnnotatedQuestionnaire_1808201202_wit.pdf
Wolf 54 Wagner 40 Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: KingSweden on August 23, 2018, 04:05:44 PM Enough to flip the House, though?
Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Ebsy on August 23, 2018, 04:06:27 PM Democrats are up on the Generic Congressional ballot 51-39, which would probably flip the state house and net almost all the competitive us house seats.
Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: IceSpear on August 23, 2018, 04:08:52 PM The only real question in this race is if Wolf does slightly better or slightly worse than he did in 2014. On one hand, Toxic Tom Corbett won't be weighing down the GOP this time. On the other hand, they won't have an R wave to help them, and will very possibly have a D wave to contend with.
Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Xing on August 23, 2018, 04:09:52 PM We should only believe the polls showing Wolf/Casey/Baldwin up by low single digits because something something 2016. :)
Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: LimoLiberal on August 23, 2018, 04:11:34 PM Scott Wagner is embroiled in a new embarrassing scandal every day, so it wouldn't surprise me to see Wolf doing even better than this on election day.
Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Virginiá on August 23, 2018, 04:28:58 PM Democrats are up on the Generic Congressional ballot 51-39, which would probably flip the state house and net almost all the competitive us house seats. And it would be just in time to prevent the PAGOP from trying to amend the state constitution to pry legislative redistricting power away from a commission soon to be controlled by Democrats! Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: windjammer on August 23, 2018, 04:30:56 PM Enough to flip the House, though? Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on August 23, 2018, 04:36:24 PM Trump has a 60% disapproval rating amongst college educated whites
Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Comrade Funk on August 23, 2018, 04:36:38 PM The only real question in this race is if Wolf does slightly better or slightly worse than he did in 2014. On one hand, Toxic Tom Corbett won't be weighing down the GOP this time. On the other hand, they won't have an R wave to help them, and will very possibly have a D wave to contend with. Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: ON Progressive on August 23, 2018, 04:42:51 PM What’s with the Trump approval being so high in Western PA?
Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on August 23, 2018, 04:49:15 PM Wolf is winning the West 49-44%, thanks to John Fetterman
He's also polling 40% in rural areas Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: IceSpear on August 23, 2018, 05:00:35 PM Trump has a 60% disapproval rating amongst college educated whites () What’s with the Trump approval being so high in Western PA? Is there a reason it wouldn't be? Western PA is Trump country. Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Politician on August 23, 2018, 05:02:09 PM But I thought this was a tossup because that poll showed Wolf was only ahead by 3
Safe D, obviously. The only question is the margin. Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on August 23, 2018, 08:42:33 PM This poll's really fun to pick apart-
60% of those voting for Wolf strongly support him while it's only 40% for Wagner He's winning 14% of Trump voters He's +7 with men and +20 with women He's winning the west 49-44% He's winning nearly 20% of people who are either Conservative or Very Conservative Winning white college graduates 61-35% So from the loos of it, Wolf is on his way to a well-deserved easy reelection. Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Dr. Arch on August 23, 2018, 09:30:22 PM Trump has a 60% disapproval rating amongst college educated whites () RINOTom sock #37? :P Title: Re: PA-Marist: Wolf +14 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 23, 2018, 10:04:43 PM Wolf willl win between 6-9 points, he's not gonna win by 14
Title: PA: Marist College: Wolf +14 Post by: IceSpear on August 24, 2018, 01:54:45 AM New Poll: Pennsylvania Governor by Marist College on 2018-08-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4220180816008)
Summary: D: 54%, R: 40%, U: 6% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNews_MaristPoll_PennsylvaniaAnnotatedQuestionnaire_1808201202_wit.pdf) |