Title: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on August 27, 2018, 09:09:15 AM In the Governor race, Gov. Greg Abbott has a 20 point advantage - 48% to 28% for Lupe Valdez a former sheriff of Dallas County, 3% were voting for someone else and 20% were undecided.
https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-tx-aug2018-pr.pdf It is interesting how Abbott is consistenly leading by large amounts in the same TX polls that have the Senate race between Cruz and O'Rourke close. That lends more plausibility to the Senate race actually being close, but on the other hand there is not much recent history of much split ticket voting in Texas. Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Sir Mohamed on August 27, 2018, 09:18:09 AM Safe R.
This makes me less confident on Beto because I doubt that there will be enough ticket splitting if Abbott wins by more than 10-12 points. TX is not MA in that regard. Title: TX: Emerson College: Abbott +20 Post by: IceSpear on August 27, 2018, 09:41:17 AM New Poll: Texas Governor by Emerson College on 2018-08-25 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4820180825223)
Summary: D: 28%, R: 48%, U: 24% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-tx-aug2018-pr.pdf) Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: MT Treasurer on August 27, 2018, 09:58:09 AM Cruz isn’t going to underperform Abott by 19 points, lol.
Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Alabama_Indy10 on August 27, 2018, 09:58:44 AM Safe R.
Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on August 27, 2018, 12:12:26 PM I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters)
Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on August 27, 2018, 01:41:08 PM I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters) The reason to doubt it is that in the past, there has not been much ticket splitting in Texas, whereas in a state like New Hampshire, there has been lots of substantial ticket splitting in previous elections. Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: MT Treasurer on August 27, 2018, 01:43:20 PM I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters) No one’s denying that they exist, but there won’t be that many. Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 27, 2018, 02:13:30 PM I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters) The Dems in TX couldn't come up with anyone better than Valdez and she's gonna drag down Beto. Cruz is also Latino in a conservative Latino state like TX.. Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on August 27, 2018, 04:07:01 PM I really don't know why everyone keeps doubting the ticket splitting....it is very real, in fact i am one of the mythical beto/Abbott voters, we exist! ( just like NH swing voters) The reason to doubt it is that in the past, there has not been much ticket splitting in Texas, whereas in a state like New Hampshire, there has been lots of substantial ticket splitting in previous elections. Title: Re: TX-Gov Emerson: Abbott up by 20 Post by: Suburbia on August 28, 2018, 03:34:19 PM Democrats should have nominated Andrew White, he would have made TX competitive.
Democrats won't win Texas GOV until 2022, 2026, or 2032. |