Talk Elections

Nelson (D) - 47%
Scott (R) - 47%


http://floridapolitics.com/archives/273733-heres-the-latest-poll-of-race-between-bill-nelson-and-rick-scott-for-floridas-u-s-senate-seat

Peak Scott?

Garbage pollster, garbage poll, and we dont even have a previous poll from them, so we cant see the trendline.

Not surprisingly. What is certainly incredible is that it is plausible that both Scott and Gillium both win. I would not bet on that happening but the circumstances may allow it.

Right now of the seats changing I have

MO and FL Dem to GOP (both toss up tilt R)

NV GOP to Dem (Lean Dem)

TN and AZ GOP to Dem (Tilt Dem)

Indiana, North Dakota and West Virginia all will be very close and Democrats could lose one of those.

Lol not really. They have a really good track record and they nailed the Gillum surge in the primary.

Looking at the polls, they only saw that he had made some gains, but they still had him losing the primary by a large margin. And they have a rather meh track record in 2016, 2014, and 2012. I really wish they had a previous poll to compare to.

this is the only decent poll we've gotten in months, quit whining. could be FAU or Gravis or St. Leo

I change my opinion, from Lean R to Tilt R

Sad news for Unbeatable Titan Rick Scott.

I demand perfection and A ratings, da** it!

In all seriousness, looking at their record, they seem to be a solid B pollster, and these are obviously not good numbers for Scott. But, again, I really wish they did a previous poll, as I dont know whether Scott increased or decreased overall.

This won't be called early in the night, that's for sure, but I think Scott will win.

*Incumbent Dem Senator ties in pre-election poll in blue wave election*

"Well, these are obviously not good numbers for his republican challenger"

*Spending over $60 million in ads and your opponent has only spent $5 million so far, and your opponent is about to do a $40 million ad buy*

* Only tying in polling*

Nice seeing Nelson showing signs of life.

This polling institute is garbage

Skippy Scott!

FL threads always bring out the worst in Atlas. Anyway, this is still a Tossup.

Scott's spent $50 million of his Medicare fraud money and the race is still only a toss up!?

Roflmao

Gillum again running ahead of Nelson, but the fact Scott blew so much money and this race is still tied is laughably sad.

New Poll: Florida Senator by St.PetePolls on 2018-08-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=12120180830271)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2018_State_GEN_Senate_August30_NJ66.pdf)

Nelson would probably have a pretty big lead against any other Republican right now. What Scott has essentially been doing is building a moat against the blue wave with his Medicare fraud money. He's had some success with it so far, but will the moat hold out until November? That's the key question.

"But this race is Tilt/Lean R!!!" -people who don't use tossups for some reason (hint: this race is a tossup.)

Algae Rick Scott's lead seems to be eroding now that Nelson is hitting the campaign trail. I'm interested to see where the polls go in the final few months of the campaign, especially when higher quality pollsters than this garbage survey the race.

Another tie?

Yes, Herp Derp gravis. Yes, Herp Derp St Pete's polls. Yes, well, PPP.

You put the three of them together and it appears that Nelson Has stabilized in this race and has momentum, at least in the short-term, going in his Direction. It feels like he just hunkered down a storm of Scott burying him in the media, and it's just now getting to work.

Nelson will hold on due to DeSantis as nominee instead of Putnam😁

Remarkable that Gillum overperforms Nelson at this point. It's just by an inch, but remarkable still.

We're going to get a Quinnipiac poll today for the Senate race.

I'll repeat what I just posted on the governors races page. While the Venn Diagram would only cover 1-2% of the electorate, I'm still having a hell of a time conceiving a Gillum-Scott voter.

Probably a Latino.

But I personally doubt these voters(Gillum-Scott or DeSantis-Nelson) exist.

Maybe? Specifically a Puerto Rican who recently left the island, or has family who did. Their typical Democrat sympathies tend to favor Gillum, but Scott's hard outreach to the state's Maria diaspora community directly impacted them or someone close to engender their support.

That and other soft Democrats who are grateful for what they perceive as Scott's directly aiding their family. Not many such people, but probably enough to constitute the 1-2%. Otherwise we're left with the voting block of "Democrats/progressives whom Bill Nelson once personally took a swing at."