Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: GeorgiaModerate on September 06, 2018, 01:02:42 PM



Title: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: GeorgiaModerate on September 06, 2018, 01:02:42 PM
http://innovationohio.org/2018/09/06/new-poll-shows-tied-gubernatorial-race-close-races-up-and-down-the-ballot/

Aug. 31-Sep. 4, 822 LV

2-way: DeWine 43, Cordray 43

4-way: DeWine 45, Cordray 43

(No, I don't understand it either.)


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: OneJ on September 06, 2018, 01:06:57 PM
Strange, very strange indeed.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Skye on September 06, 2018, 01:12:40 PM
The crosstabs show the Green candidate polling at 3%, while the Libertarian is at 6%.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: President Johnson on September 06, 2018, 01:16:33 PM
Yeah, a bit strange. But this is a pure toss-up. I think Brown will get Cordray over the finish line by a narrow margin.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Person Man on September 06, 2018, 01:18:45 PM
Is this a push poll in either direction?


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Politician on September 06, 2018, 01:21:16 PM
Pretty much a tossup, but gun to my head, Cordray wins.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Tender Branson on September 06, 2018, 01:23:55 PM
Cordray (D) probably wins by 51-48 or something and Brown (D) by about 54-45.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Zaybay on September 06, 2018, 01:24:53 PM
I distrust Change, as its been wrong this whole time, and that this is also an online poll, but I guess this can be thrown in the average.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on September 06, 2018, 02:29:43 PM
Overstating Cordray's margin. No poll showing Brown ahead by 4 would show a tied race.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on September 06, 2018, 07:29:13 PM
This is yet another tossup that isn't moving out of that category.


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Xing on September 06, 2018, 09:46:19 PM
Gonna be a close one!


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: BuckeyeNut on September 06, 2018, 09:47:04 PM
Overstating Cordray's margin. No poll showing Brown ahead by 4 would show a tied race.

Or hilariously understating Brown’s on purpose. This is a D internal.


Title: OH: Other Source: DeWine and Cordray tied
Post by: IceSpear on September 06, 2018, 10:57:17 PM
New Poll: Ohio Governor by Other Source on 2018-09-04 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3920180904106)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 43%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://innovationohio.org/2018/09/06/new-poll-shows-tied-gubernatorial-race-close-races-up-and-down-the-ballot/)


Title: Re: OH-Change Research-Tied (2-way), DeWine+2 (4-way)
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 07, 2018, 11:00:05 AM
Brown should win by 6 giving Cordray a 2% win