Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: TheRocketRaccoon on September 12, 2018, 09:06:04 AM



Title: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on September 12, 2018, 09:06:04 AM
http://www.news9.com/story/39072182/exclusive-news-9-poll-examines-race-for-governor

Stitt (R) 46.6, Edmondson (D) 44.2, Powell (L) 3.2


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Politician on September 12, 2018, 09:06:29 AM
Inb4 Atlas declares Edmondson DOA because he's barely behind.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Zaybay on September 12, 2018, 09:23:03 AM
I have no idea what "Soonerpoll.com" is, and I dont trust them, but I will say, this race is probably tilt R at this point.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 12, 2018, 09:33:53 AM
This was going back to GOP


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Xing on September 12, 2018, 10:46:03 AM
#StittUnder46.7


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: IceSpear on September 12, 2018, 12:27:03 PM
Haha. Muhry Fallin = Muhloy confirmed! But Politician told me Edmondson was GUARANTEED to win because Muhry was unpopular and Edmondson led by 1 point in a poll before the primary!

Also, it's Stitt +3.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: IceSpear on September 12, 2018, 12:29:41 PM
I have no idea what "Soonerpoll.com" is, and I dont trust them, but I will say, this race is probably tilt R at this point.

It's the only poll we've ever gotten in Oklahoma, which has gone from Edmondson +7 to Edmondson +1 to Stitt +3. I can only imagine how the "undecideds" will continue to break in Oklahoma:

Edmondson getting 44% of the vote sounds reasonable


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Politician on September 12, 2018, 01:05:29 PM
I have no idea what "Soonerpoll.com" is, and I dont trust them, but I will say, this race is probably tilt R at this point.

It's the only poll we've ever gotten in Oklahoma, which has gone from Edmondson +7 to Edmondson +1 to Stitt +3. I can only imagine how the "undecideds" will continue to break in Oklahoma:

Edmondson getting 44% of the vote sounds reasonable
This same poll showed Edmondson trailing both Cornett and Lamb. Stitt's problem was lack of name recognition, something he has now. Still a toss-up, unless we see a trend in Stitt's favor.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on September 12, 2018, 01:22:55 PM
Sooner is a common pollster for Oklahoma and has a B- rating on 538 @Zaybay.  Instead of just tossing out polls because you haven't heard of them, do the bare minimum and and at least cross-reference 538's ratings and then decide to throw them when you don't like the results.

I remember in some previous election/year (not sure which one) I saw SoonerPoll and it seemed junky and I was inclined to throw it out/ignore it. But then it turned out to be pretty accurate.

I think this might have been for a Dem primary.


So I would say this is not as junky as all those Florida junk pollsters, for example.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: wbrocks67 on September 12, 2018, 02:00:54 PM
Mary Fallen has legit like a 15% approval in this state, and the teacher strikes are going to hurt Rs. Not sure if Edmonson will win, but I think undecideds will lean towards him.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: IceSpear on September 12, 2018, 02:23:50 PM
Mary Fallen has legit like a 15% approval in this state, and the teacher strikes are going to hurt Rs. Not sure if Edmonson will win, but I think undecideds will lean towards him.

They already are hurting Rs, which is why Stitt is leading by 3 instead of 30. The trend continues to be in his favor though, and undecideds are mostly severely conservative Trump lovers.

FWIW, Muhry is up to 22% approval now. #Surge


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Pericles on September 12, 2018, 02:37:58 PM
Gotta have a few polls with a Republican lead before the upset.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort on September 12, 2018, 04:52:31 PM
Oh, I thought this was affiliated with the University of Oklahoma. Guess not.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Arkansas Yankee on September 12, 2018, 05:03:51 PM
If Stitt wins, it will be because great parts of fly over country absolutely despise the coastal Democrat Party.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Skye on September 12, 2018, 05:05:07 PM
I'd still be surprised if the Democrat wins, but this is a terrible poll for the GOP.


Title: Re: OK-GOV SoonerPoll.com: Stitt +2
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on September 12, 2018, 07:24:13 PM
I'd still be surprised if the Democrat wins, but this is a terrible poll for the GOP.