Title: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on September 13, 2018, 11:04:08 AM Walz 47 Johnson 40 Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Xing on September 13, 2018, 11:10:05 AM It's a really good thing Swanson didn't get the nomination, otherwise Democrats might really have to worry about this race. With Walz, though, it's Likely D. Not saying Walz is a god-tier candidate, but he's decent enough to keep Minnesota in Democratic hands in a good year for Democrats.
Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on September 13, 2018, 11:53:22 AM Glad they polled the AG race. Looks like Ellison should be able to pull through on coattails. Worth noting SUSA has historically had an R lean in MN.
Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Zaybay on September 13, 2018, 11:54:46 AM Glad they polled the AG race. Looks like Ellison should be able to pull through on coattails. Worth noting SUSA has historically had an R lean in MN. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Politician on September 13, 2018, 11:59:46 AM Likely D. The question is whether Walz can pull Feehan and Radinovich over the line.
I actually consider Johnson stronger than Pawlenty, but it's the wrong year for Republicans to win it. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: President Johnson on September 13, 2018, 12:59:46 PM Likely Democratic. I predict Walz winning with about 50% of the vote versus 41% for Johnson. Minnesota governors rarely hit 50%, or just that number.
Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: pops on September 13, 2018, 02:01:03 PM Updated prediction: Likely D
Walz (D) - 52.9% Johnson (R) - 43.1% Wright (LMN) - 2.4% Welter (L) - 0.7% Others - 0.9% Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on September 14, 2018, 12:18:16 AM God why did these idiots have to pick Ellison after these allegations? Regardless of whether they were true or not he was already a weak candidate and now even weaker.
Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on September 14, 2018, 12:28:12 AM God why did these idiots have to pick Ellison after these allegations? Regardless of whether they were true or not he was already a weak candidate and now even weaker. Extremely weak field. For the record I didn't vote for him, although was undecided that morning. I prayed for guidance in the voting booth, after filling out every other office and asked God to guide me on what to do. He probably still wins though. Note all the Republicans are at about the same number. Probably the lowest performing statewide Dem candidate this year though. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Scottholes 2.0 on September 14, 2018, 12:14:45 PM Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is.
Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on September 14, 2018, 12:25:12 PM Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on September 14, 2018, 12:31:12 PM Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is. Please tell me what legislative seats you expect the Republicans to pick up. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on September 14, 2018, 12:35:08 PM Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is. Please tell me what legislative seats you expect the Republicans to pick up. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: ON Progressive on September 14, 2018, 12:46:08 PM Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is. Please tell me what legislative seats you expect the Republicans to pick up. The rurals that literally got their preferred candidate for governor in the Dem primary this year are being thrown out of the party? Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on September 14, 2018, 12:48:41 PM Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is. Please tell me what legislative seats you expect the Republicans to pick up. You think Mankato, Rochester and Duluth sears are going to flip? LOL. There's only three State Senate seats held by the DFL out if the metro or Iron Range, and two are based around liberal college urban areas. Only one in the NE isn't based around the Duluth area and it just barely voted for Trump with under 50. There's also only three Trump voting State House districts held by the DFL, one of which was just barely and caused by an!tty college turnout. You should actually research the elected bodies you make these big sweeping statements about before doing so. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on September 14, 2018, 01:04:42 PM Good for Walz. Minnesota is not turning red like people think it is. Please tell me what legislative seats you expect the Republicans to pick up. You think Mankato, Rochester and Duluth sears are going to flip? LOL. There's only three State Senate seats held by the DFL out if the metro or Iron Range, and two are based around liberal college urban areas. Only one in the NE isn't based around the Duluth area and it just barely voted for Trump with under 50. There's also only three Trump voting State House districts held by the DFL, one of which was just barely and caused by an!tty college turnout. You should actually research the elected bodies you make these big sweeping statements about before doing so. Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on September 14, 2018, 02:10:23 PM I should bump this after Walz wins that area and all the incumbents are re-elected in November.
Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 14, 2018, 02:57:23 PM If anything, can we expect Dems to pick up some seats in the area?
Title: Re: MN SurveyUSA: Walz +7 Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on September 14, 2018, 04:03:43 PM If anything, can we expect Dems to pick up some seats in the area? No because the DFL already holds all seats in the area. More info here (will be updated this weekend): https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300082.0 5A is a possible pickup, but its not really the Iron Range. And I'm a bit concerned about that one because it did vote for Stewart Mills in 2014. Not by a lot but still...Stewart Mills. The area hofoid is trolling about barely voted for Trump, did not give him a majority and voted for all its DFL incumbents in landslides. |