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Title: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: ON Progressive on September 14, 2018, 08:58:43 AM Kobach 39
Kelly 38 Orman 9 Others 3 Undecided 12 https://www.dropbox.com/s/nn91k0tsmyfmyow/KansasResults.pdf Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Politician on September 14, 2018, 08:59:46 AM Tossupiest of Tossups. LOL at Orman.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Zaybay on September 14, 2018, 09:08:27 AM Undecideds are rather large, but Kobach is holding his own. The tossups dont look good for Ds. Kobach has the advantage, but Kelly can still win this.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: GM Team Member and Senator WB on September 14, 2018, 09:36:55 AM Pure tossup right now. I can't even assign a tilt to this one tbh.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Landslide Lyndon on September 14, 2018, 10:21:36 AM Um, are we sure this is a new poll?
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300288.0 (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300288.0) Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: ON Progressive on September 14, 2018, 10:22:35 AM Um, are we sure this is a new poll? https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300288.0 (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300288.0) Look at the bottom left corner of my link. Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Landslide Lyndon on September 14, 2018, 10:23:38 AM Um, are we sure this is a new poll? https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300288.0 (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=300288.0) Look at the bottom left corner of my link. Yeah, I saw it. But what are the odds of doing a new poll and finding again the EXACT same numbers? Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 14, 2018, 11:36:09 AM KS polls are like MO polls they're unpredictable, I think Kelly can win
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Pollster on September 14, 2018, 11:55:31 AM How in the world are the numbers exactly the same as the last poll?
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: President Johnson on September 14, 2018, 01:28:34 PM How in the world are the numbers exactly the same as the last poll? There is always a small chance that happens. Early in the 2016 cycle, people speculated whether the electoral map will be the same as in 2012. Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Pollster on September 14, 2018, 01:48:42 PM How in the world are the numbers exactly the same as the last poll? There is always a small chance that happens. Early in the 2016 cycle, people speculated whether the electoral map will be the same as in 2012. That's a lot more likely to happen than a random sample in a close race showing the same results in two polls a month apart from each other. Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: new_patomic on September 14, 2018, 01:55:22 PM Kobach is +1 with and without Orman in the race.
Orman's favorability is a noticeably better with Clinton voters than Trump voters. It makes me think that if he were to rise in the polls it'd be at Kelly's expense, though at least for right now his effect is pretty much neutral. Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 14, 2018, 02:55:05 PM Thanks Greg. ::)
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Ebsy on September 14, 2018, 03:02:11 PM The memo says it was conducted September 12-13.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: IceSpear on September 14, 2018, 06:17:59 PM Well, at least partisans don't seem to be coming home to Kobach yet. I'd still bet on him though, sadly.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Beet on September 14, 2018, 06:19:22 PM If Kobach wins I can see him as a successor to Trump, or on a ticket with Tom Cotton.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Progressive Pessimist on September 14, 2018, 06:21:09 PM If Kobach wins I can see him as a successor to Trump, or on a ticket with Tom Cotton. I said that from the very beginning. It's a definite reason why he has to lose. Add Tom Cotton to that and I am barely able to speak due to the constant stream of vomit engulfing my throat. Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 14, 2018, 06:50:42 PM Kobach created an Akin moment, I think Kelly can pull off the upset😍
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: I’m not Stu on September 14, 2018, 07:02:40 PM A jungle primary (preferably top-four with RCV runoff) would eliminate the spoiler effect.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: TheSaint250 on September 15, 2018, 09:33:24 AM Kinda funny how the Republican internal had Kelly up by one and the two Democratic internals had Kobach up by one.
Title: Re: KS-PPP: Kobach +1 Post by: Xing on September 15, 2018, 11:23:29 AM Toss-Up, obviously.
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