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Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: TheRocketRaccoon on September 17, 2018, 11:18:51 am



Title: TN-SSRS: Lee +9
Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on September 17, 2018, 11:18:51 am
https://edition.cnn.com/2018/09/17/politics/cnn-polls-arizona-tennessee-senate/index.html

Lee 52
Dean 43


Title: Re: TN-SSRS: Lee +9
Post by: Neoliberalbusters on September 17, 2018, 11:50:43 am
Seems close to the final margin, as opposed to Lee winning by 20 (LOL).


Title: Re: TN-SSRS: Lee +9
Post by: NV less likely to flip than FL on September 17, 2018, 11:56:04 am
While this race isn't competitive like the Senate race, we'll almost certainly see a narrower margin than we saw in 2016.


Title: Re: TN-SSRS: Lee +9
Post by: Noted Irishman on September 17, 2018, 11:59:47 am
An average of the 2 polls is probably closer to reality. I don't see Bredesen coming within striking distance while Dean simultaneously loses by 20+ (lol) but at the same time, Bredesen's success and appeal aren't inherently going to create huge coat-tails.


Title: Re: TN-SSRS: Lee +9
Post by: North Fulton Democrat on September 17, 2018, 02:25:13 pm
The situation is flipped from 2002 when Bredesen was the gubernatorial candidate and ran well ahead of Bob Clement, the Nashville congressman running for Senate.  Bredesen is a unique candidate for the Tennessee political environment with many Republicans (hopefully enough) to cross over to vote for him.  I don't see the same for Karl Dean.


Title: Re: TN-SSRS: Lee +9
Post by: TX more competitive than OH on September 17, 2018, 07:09:41 pm
I think Bredesen has a decent chance of winning his race if Lee is winning the gubernatorial race by upper single digits to low double digits. Much less of a hill to climb for enough ticket splitters.