Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Senator ON Progressive on September 21, 2018, 01:58:50 pm



Title: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Senator ON Progressive on September 21, 2018, 01:58:50 pm
Wolf (D-inc) 55
Wagner (R) 36

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/mc-morning-call-muhlenberg-poll-pennsylvania-catholic-church-20180921-htmlstory.html


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: PA is Lean D on September 21, 2018, 02:53:31 pm
Holy sh*t


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Comrade Funk on September 21, 2018, 02:55:37 pm
(Image Link)


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: PA is Lean D on September 21, 2018, 02:57:55 pm
Wolf approval at 53/33% +20


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Cory Booker on September 21, 2018, 03:00:29 pm
Casey and Wolf will win 55-45%, there isn't gonna be a 20 point spread


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: PA is Lean D on September 21, 2018, 03:05:18 pm
Casey and Wolf will win 55-45%, there isn't gonna be a 20 point spread

What makes you think the vast majority of undecideds are gonna break for Barletta and Wagner?


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Cory Booker on September 21, 2018, 03:06:47 pm
Because multiple polls showed the same thing, a 20 point gap and in 2012 with Casey and he won by only 10 points


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: PA is Lean D on September 21, 2018, 03:18:18 pm
Because multiple polls showed the same thing, a 20 point gap and in 2012 with Casey and he won by only 10 points

According to RCP, polls had Casey leading from anywhere between 5-10 points in September.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Blackacre on September 21, 2018, 03:24:48 pm
Here's hoping those margins can push Democratic house and state legislative candidates in Pennsylvania over the finish line


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Landslide Andy on September 21, 2018, 04:16:27 pm
Wolf definitely isn't going to win by 19, but it's a nice poll. I'm hoping he can do better than he did in 2014 at minimum.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Bagel23 on September 21, 2018, 04:17:46 pm
Sorry did not realize there was already a thread I deleted mine.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Bagel23 on September 21, 2018, 04:18:33 pm
Also looks like Wolf has some easy prey.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: PA is Lean D on September 21, 2018, 04:20:15 pm
Wolf definitely isn't going to win by 19, but it's a nice poll. I'm hoping he can do better than he did in 2014 at minimum.

At this point, it seems very likely he will outperform his 2014 margin. For one there’s John Fetterman at his side who has deep ties to the west and can boost Wolf’s support there, and we have Scott Wagner from the GOP who is far weaker than even Corbett was. Plus, Wolf has incumbency and according to this poll, a +20 approval rating.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Bagel23 on September 21, 2018, 04:28:02 pm
You know we are in a good spot when our biggest issue to discuss is how much Wolf and Casy win by.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Landslide Andy on September 21, 2018, 04:30:02 pm
You know we are in a good spot when we our biggest issue to discuss is how much Wolf and Casy win by.

More like whether or not they'll win by double digits, lol.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: Xing on September 21, 2018, 05:36:07 pm
If Wolf or Casey win by this much, I wouldn't be surprised to see Democrats to net 5 or even 6 seats from PA in the House, rather than 3.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: President Johnson on September 22, 2018, 05:07:06 am
Great numbers! Safe Democratic, obviously. Wolf should outperform his 2014 result. I think he'll end up winning 57-43%. (In Pennsylania, D+R usually adds up to 100%).

What has caused Wolf's soaring popularity? I remember that his numbers fell for a while after he came in and some throught he was about to become a Democratic version of Tom Corbett.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19
Post by: wbrocks67 on September 23, 2018, 03:07:27 pm
Great numbers! Safe Democratic, obviously. Wolf should outperform his 2014 result. I think he'll end up winning 57-43%. (In Pennsylania, D+R usually adds up to 100%).

What has caused Wolf's soaring popularity? I remember that his numbers fell for a while after he came in and some throught he was about to become a Democratic version of Tom Corbett.

I think Trump's unpopularity + Wolf doing a good job/no scandals + Wagner being an awful candidate is the perfect storm that has brought us here.

Who knows what will happen in November but it's very funny to me that we've now had literally like 6, 7, 8 polls all at about the same margin for Wolf and Casey and we have people trying to say that that's not gonna happen. When 8 polls start showing the same margin, I'd say it's a pretty big likelihood they might be right.