Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: yeah_93 on September 25, 2018, 04:00:37 pm



Title: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: yeah_93 on September 25, 2018, 04:00:37 pm


Title: Re: FL NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Zaybay on September 25, 2018, 04:01:37 pm
Looks like its official, Scott lost the initiative. Lean D


Title: Re: FL NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Hindsight is 2020 on September 25, 2018, 04:03:16 pm
This is a more likely margin but this does show like Quinnipiac did that Nelson has the momentum again


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Gass3268 on September 25, 2018, 04:04:17 pm
Pretty clear that Nelson is the new Comeback Kid!


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Bagel23 on September 25, 2018, 04:04:49 pm
Even I always had this in Bill Nelson’s corner.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: MT Treasurer on September 25, 2018, 04:05:11 pm
*sigh*

To Lean D it goes.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Zaybay on September 25, 2018, 04:05:57 pm
Told ya guys, this race was lean D the moment Nelson released he was going to match Scott in funds.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Ebsy on September 25, 2018, 04:06:04 pm
()

... Interesting crosstabs.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: yeah_93 on September 25, 2018, 04:06:29 pm
The blue wave is going to save everyone except perhaps Heitkamp.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Mondale on September 25, 2018, 04:07:03 pm
astroNUT


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Bagel23 on September 25, 2018, 04:07:49 pm
Pretty clear that Nelson is the new Comeback Kid!

More like Gillum hauling him.

()


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Senator ON Progressive on September 25, 2018, 04:08:24 pm
Nelson winning Latinos by 20? I was told by Politico that Hispanic voters LOVE Rick Scott though!


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: pppolitics on September 25, 2018, 04:08:45 pm
The blue wave is going to save everyone except perhaps Heitkamp.

That's true.

Cramer's rape comments are going to save Heitkamp


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Senator ON Progressive on September 25, 2018, 04:16:27 pm
So we now have two high quality polls showing Nelson ahead today.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Badger on September 25, 2018, 04:24:23 pm
This poll confirms two things.

1. Quinnipiac showing Nelson seven points ahead was something of an outlier.

2. This race is now lean d.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: libertpaulian on September 25, 2018, 04:24:38 pm
A Dem having a mere single-digit deficit among men is...wow.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Yank2133 on September 25, 2018, 04:25:13 pm
Lean D


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: TarHeelDem on September 25, 2018, 04:32:40 pm
The blue wave is going to save everyone except perhaps Heitkamp.

That's true.

Cramer's rape comments are going to save Heitkamp


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: For Trump everything, for immigrants the law on September 25, 2018, 04:41:01 pm
So it seems like while the Quinnipiac poll was exaggerated, the momentum is with Nelson. I'll keep this as a Toss-Up for now, but I did have a feeling that Nelson wouldn't end up being the most vulnerable Democrat, and that he would probably hold on in the end.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁 on September 25, 2018, 04:45:51 pm
Obvious lean D is obvious lean D.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: AtorBoltox on September 25, 2018, 04:47:59 pm
It’s almost like Nelson knew what he was doing the whole time


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: For Trump everything, for immigrants the law on September 25, 2018, 04:48:08 pm

But I thought that because Rick Scott habla español he had the Latino vote in the bag, and whites in Northern Florida loved Spaceman Nelson!!!


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Cory Booker on September 25, 2018, 05:11:26 pm
Pretty clear that Nelson is the new Comeback Kid!

More like Gillum hauling him.

()

Contrary to your map which had WI Leading R


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Bagel23 on September 25, 2018, 05:43:33 pm
Pretty clear that Nelson is the new Comeback Kid!

More like Gillum hauling him.

()

Contrary to your map which had WI Leading R

What? I think both Baldwin and Evers win.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on September 25, 2018, 07:33:20 pm
I'm still considering this a tossup (it is Florida after all) but this poll is rather comforting.


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 25, 2018, 07:40:28 pm
Excellent!


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: NOVA Green on September 25, 2018, 09:03:43 pm
So now we're starting to get some decent quality post Labor Day polls and they are telling a different story than previous polls, as many voters start to focus in a bit more at the election at hand.

Still it is Florida, it is a difficult State to poll, and it tends to frequently be an extremely close state for contested Federal elections....

At least we can all collectively take comfort in the fact that we will start seeing some decent quality polling firms popping up on a weekly basis to sate our collective Atlas thirst...

More Polls on the 11 PM News....



Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: IceSpear on September 26, 2018, 02:38:44 am
Nelson winning Latinos by 20? I was told by Politico that Hispanic voters LOVE Rick Scott though!

Are you implying that the people who told us Gov. Gillespie was inevitable might be wrong?


Title: Re: FL-NBC/Marist: Nelson +3
Post by: IceSpear on September 26, 2018, 02:46:17 am

But I thought that because Rick Scott habla español he had the Latino vote in the bag, and whites in Northern Florida loved Spaceman Nelson!!!

LOL. Remember how a month ago people here were unironically talking about the #realignment with Scott winning Miami-Dade County while Nelson simultaneously swept the Panhandle?