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Title: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: IceSpear on September 28, 2018, 05:52:41 PM New Poll: New Hampshire Governor by ARG on 2018-09-26 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3320180926001)
Summary: D: 44%, R: 49%, U: 7% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/nhgov18/) Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: IceSpear on September 28, 2018, 05:53:17 PM But Atlas told me Sununu was guaranteed to win by 30+ points because of muh April polls. Told you guys it was gonna close at the end just like it did in 2010 and 2014.
Looks like some people owe me and MT Treasurer an apology.. Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Zaybay on September 28, 2018, 05:56:04 PM Wow, the trend was faster than I thought!
Edit: Just realized this is ARG..... NVM Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Xing on September 28, 2018, 05:56:45 PM Would like to see another pollster confirming this, but it's plausible that this could be close. However, Sununu is at 49%
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: IceSpear on September 28, 2018, 06:03:46 PM Would like to see another pollster confirming this, but it's plausible that this could be close. However, Sununu is at 49% Yeah, I think he'll end up as Lynch/Hassan 2.0. Very popular, everyone expects them to win in a massive landslide early on, then at the very end the political climate drags them down, but they still win by a modest margin. Of course, I'm sure our Montanan friend has a different theory. ;) I'll accept my accolades though. Polls with this many undecideds are worthless. But it is interesting that despite a 61% approval rating he's stuck at 41-42%. Even if Sununu wins re-election, it's very possible he could be like Hassan in 2014, who was super popular and was expected to cruise to re-election, but the political environment got a some dude relatively close. Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2018, 06:09:33 PM The "trend" of this race was a foregone conclusion. White NH women will see to it that the member of the anti-women hate group is brought to justice, especially now that NH Dems nominated the "right" candidate. Chris (R) can start packing his bags already.
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: libertpaulian on September 28, 2018, 06:10:43 PM Likely R.
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: windjammer on September 28, 2018, 06:15:46 PM ARG is garbage
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: ON Progressive on September 28, 2018, 06:19:26 PM Are we unironically taking ARG seriously?
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: IceSpear on September 28, 2018, 06:22:59 PM Are we unironically taking ARG seriously? UNH (which is also a terrible pollster, FWIW) had it closing to Sununu +15 even before the primary and with Kelly having super low name recognition, so this result is completely believable. Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Oryxslayer on September 28, 2018, 06:37:26 PM > ARG
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Senator Incitatus on September 28, 2018, 06:37:45 PM gARbaGe
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: IceSpear on September 28, 2018, 06:45:20 PM IceSpear and Mt Treasurer are so desperate to "prove" Sununu is highly vulnerable they're using a trash poll. What else is new? Stage 1: Denial The trend of this race is clear. Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Skye on September 28, 2018, 06:48:11 PM Would be nice to have a better pollster confirm this.
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: KingSweden on September 28, 2018, 07:24:17 PM Would be nice to have a better pollster confirm this. Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 28, 2018, 08:07:00 PM Sununu is probably gone. Just like Bro, John, in 2008, who lost a close election to Shaheen
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: morgieb on September 28, 2018, 08:11:56 PM Wait, ARG still exists?
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Progressive Pessimist on September 28, 2018, 08:34:10 PM If only...
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: IceSpear on September 29, 2018, 02:28:23 AM ARG isn't the greatest pollster, but I have no idea why you guys think UNH is more credible.
() Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 29, 2018, 03:07:47 AM Big time coming home effect😁
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: President Johnson on September 29, 2018, 10:59:21 AM Angry NH women come home :P
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on September 29, 2018, 12:10:12 PM Sununu will still win due to his popularity, but it will be closer then we initially thought, same with Maryland. But enough of "NH is solid D". It could easily vote R in 2020.
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Gass3268 on September 29, 2018, 12:11:02 PM ARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRG
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: MT Treasurer on September 29, 2018, 02:07:00 PM Sununu will still win due to his popularity, but it will be closer then we initially thought, same with Maryland. But enough of "NH is solid D". It could easily vote R in 2020. If NH is even close in 2020, it will mean that Trump has already won the election bigly. Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: IceSpear on September 29, 2018, 02:55:02 PM Sununu will still win due to his popularity, but it will be closer then we initially thought, same with Maryland. But enough of "NH is solid D". It could easily vote R in 2020. The craziest part of this poll is that it shows him only up 5 despite having a +28 approval rating (56-28). Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 29, 2018, 05:51:09 PM NH has an all female delegation.😁
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: MT Treasurer on September 30, 2018, 10:12:40 AM Sununu has the same chance of winning a federal race in NH as I do, especially against an incumbent Democratic female Senator.
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Strudelcutie4427 on September 30, 2018, 10:13:00 AM Sununu will still win due to his popularity, but it will be closer then we initially thought, same with Maryland. But enough of "NH is solid D". It could easily vote R in 2020. The craziest part of this poll is that it shows him only up 5 despite having a +28 approval rating (56-28). This situation is eerily similar to Maggie Hassan’s, right down to being extremely popular but being held to a respectable but smaller-than-expected win. Hopefully his story isn’t completely parallel in that he becomes a Senator in 2020. If Chris is doing anything he’s gonna wait til 2022 Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Continential on September 30, 2018, 02:30:34 PM It turns out that angry New Hampshire women in a Blue Wave would make this close
Title: Re: NH: ARG: Sununu +5 Post by: Badger on October 01, 2018, 10:31:41 AM On the one hand this is ARG. On the other this actually makes sense in a MoE kind of way.
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