Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Strong Candidate on October 08, 2018, 06:50:12 PM



Title: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Strong Candidate on October 08, 2018, 06:50:12 PM
Jon Tester (D)- 56
Matt Rosendale (R)-32

http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/UMBigSkyPoll-FinalFullResults2018.pdf


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: ON Progressive on October 08, 2018, 06:50:50 PM
Junk!


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: windjammer on October 08, 2018, 06:51:32 PM
LMAO What the hell is that


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Xing on October 08, 2018, 06:51:55 PM
LOL! Junk, no way is Tester below 60% even in Garfield county.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Strong Candidate on October 08, 2018, 06:51:59 PM

Yeah, obviously Tester will get at least 70 percent of the vote, but we shouldn't ignore bad data points.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: IceSpear on October 08, 2018, 06:52:04 PM
LOL, MT Treasurer is gonna love this "poll."

I guess they only polled Missoula?


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on October 08, 2018, 06:53:06 PM
Even the AARP polls are better than this nonsense.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 08, 2018, 06:53:23 PM
Obvious junk.


Tester is leading by much more than that. Apparently they only polled Garfield/Pertroleum Republicans. Sad!


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 08, 2018, 06:54:20 PM
This poll took more than half a month to do and they conducted it almost 1.5-2 months ago.

Quote
The UM Big Sky Poll telephone survey was conducted from August 13-31, 2018


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 08, 2018, 06:55:50 PM
This also has Kathleen Williams beating Greg Gianforte 51-38 in the U.S. House race.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Skye on October 08, 2018, 07:16:51 PM
Is this a poll of Missoula county?

Anyway, this is definitely an outlier.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 08, 2018, 07:21:45 PM
Haha what the??!!


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Yellowhammer on October 08, 2018, 07:24:09 PM
Probably the most unrealistic “poll” of this entire election cycle. Seeing Scott/Hawley/Braun/Heller up 20 would be more believable.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Young Conservative on October 08, 2018, 07:26:55 PM
Tester's mega coattails might carry Paulette Jordan over the finish line tbh


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Senator Incitatus on October 08, 2018, 07:30:26 PM
If this poll were accurate MT would be lean D in 2020.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: KingSweden on October 08, 2018, 07:33:22 PM
Why tho


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 08, 2018, 07:34:00 PM
Probably the most unrealistic “poll” of this entire election cycle. Seeing Scott/Hawley/Braun/Heller up 20 would be more believable.

I dunno man, we all know how absurdly elastic and Democratic MT is down ballot. Even if Heitkamp gets Blanched, Republicans would probably lose by more than 24% here, tbh


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Politician on October 08, 2018, 07:35:27 PM
LOL!!!
This is even less believeable than the "Newsom +4" poll!


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 08, 2018, 07:36:25 PM
Congrats Tester


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Roblox on October 08, 2018, 07:42:24 PM
They mad a big error here-they forgot to ad a 0 to Tester's number. You see, it's actually 560%.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 08, 2018, 08:08:15 PM
ayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy lmao


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: NOVA Green on October 08, 2018, 08:20:44 PM
Gotta love those older, wealthier, College Educated Montana voters which appear to be collectively disproportionately represented in this poll....



Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on October 08, 2018, 08:23:18 PM
NUT


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: _ on October 08, 2018, 09:53:22 PM
Big Sky is Big High on this poll


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: NOVA Green on October 08, 2018, 10:51:12 PM

Big question is really the influence of "Mendo Meds" on either or the pollsters or those responding to the poll within the Great Blue Sky State....

Maybe it is a bit of both.... numbers seem a bit "off" compared to anything else we have seen from Montana.

()


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 08, 2018, 11:30:10 PM
LOL

This is probably a poll of only Missoula County or something.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 08, 2018, 11:33:37 PM
Its as if they did a poll of just their university, not the entire state.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Galaxie on October 08, 2018, 11:37:53 PM
Looks about right


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Free Bird on October 08, 2018, 11:54:26 PM
wat


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Perlen vor den Schweinen on October 09, 2018, 12:01:37 AM
You've all got it wrong. This is actually a poll of the question "how many pounds do you think U.S. Senator Jon Tester gained over the past month?"


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: DataGuy on October 09, 2018, 12:06:03 AM
Why should anyone care about a poll that was done in August anyway? Two months is an epoch in modern politics.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself on October 09, 2018, 12:07:00 AM
The trump approval is surprisingly not way too low as far as I can tell. Still not sure if this is legit though.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself on October 09, 2018, 12:10:37 AM
Though Steve Daines's approval a bit low.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Canis on October 09, 2018, 12:43:38 AM
its a poll of all of montana but I don't believe it for a second to all the people thinking its of missoula


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 09, 2018, 01:26:55 AM


LOL. Election night is going to be fun on here.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Sestak on October 09, 2018, 01:28:32 AM
What is this


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Tender Branson on October 09, 2018, 02:03:39 AM
That's exactly what happens when you let a bunch of completely stoned college students do the poll ...


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Rookie Yinzer on October 09, 2018, 01:53:52 PM


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Ebsy on October 09, 2018, 03:05:13 PM
To satisfy IceSpear, I will criticize a poll showing a good result for a Democrat: the survey period is far too long on this.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: An American Tail: Fubart Goes West on October 09, 2018, 03:16:23 PM
Obvious junk.


Tester is leading by much more than that. Apparently they only polled Garfield/Pertroleum Republicans. Sad!

+24 as in both the percentage and the actual split in the number of Republican voters in those counties.


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 09, 2018, 08:34:09 PM
Montana blue state (Atlas red) confirmed!


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on October 09, 2018, 09:26:34 PM
What on earth is this......


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: IceSpear on October 09, 2018, 11:12:01 PM

poop


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: Technocracy Timmy on October 09, 2018, 11:15:42 PM
#Populist <3 Montana will vote for Bullock if 2020 nominee! :D


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: fluffypanther19 on October 11, 2018, 05:20:29 PM
well at least this poll was good for a laugh

haha tosses in the trash


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: IceSpear on October 12, 2018, 01:49:03 AM
#Populist <3 Montana will vote for Bullock if 2020 nominee! :D

I call bullocks on that. ;)


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: IceSpear on November 19, 2018, 01:19:30 AM
ayy


Title: Re: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
Post by: completely dead account on November 19, 2018, 01:49:28 AM
Tester didn't get a +24 victory, but at least he won. yay?