Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Ebsy on October 09, 2018, 04:03:22 PM



Title: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Ebsy on October 09, 2018, 04:03:22 PM
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/poll-races-nevada-are-dead-heat-n918251

Likely Voters
Laxalt (GOP): 46
Sisolak (Dem): 45


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 09, 2018, 04:05:39 PM
Statistical tie


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on October 09, 2018, 04:10:15 PM
Unbeatable Laxalt is a stronger candidate then Dunleavy, who will split the vote with former republican walker enabling Mark Begich to win!


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 09, 2018, 04:21:22 PM
Lean R.


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Xing on October 09, 2018, 04:39:22 PM
Sure, about as believable as Newsom being up only 4.


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 09, 2018, 04:43:37 PM
Sisolak has been ahead in only 2 out of 6 polls that has come out, most of the polls show Laxalt ahead


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Badger on October 09, 2018, 07:23:56 PM
 This is the same poll that has Heller up 2, right? Certainly explains a lot.


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 09, 2018, 07:26:25 PM
This is the same poll that has Heller up 2, right? Certainly explains a lot.

Laxalt has family ancestory politics in NV, he's a top notch candidate


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner on October 09, 2018, 07:30:14 PM
This is the same poll that has Heller up 2, right? Certainly explains a lot.

Laxalt has family ancestory politics in NV, he's a top notch candidate
Maybe 5% of the people of NV remember his family.


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 09, 2018, 08:13:01 PM
How? Hasn't Laxalt's campaign been in a meltdown?


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: OneJ on October 09, 2018, 10:15:33 PM
The family name will help Laxalt in the end...::)


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 09, 2018, 10:20:32 PM
Democrats are still struggling to win the NV governorship I see. Reminder that they haven't won it in 24 years.


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Xing on October 09, 2018, 10:22:54 PM
This is the same poll that has Heller up 2, right? Certainly explains a lot.

Laxalt has family ancestory politics in NV, he's a top notch candidate

Democrats are still struggling to win the NV governorship I see. Reminder that they haven't won it in 24 years.

Where would Atlas be without such top notch #analysis? :)


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 09, 2018, 10:23:11 PM
Democrats are still struggling to win the NV governorship I see. Reminder that they haven't won it in 24 years.

SISOLAK was up by 10 before the Kavanaugh bump, and now it went back to way it was, tied


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Adam Griffin on October 09, 2018, 10:27:48 PM
Looking at the Senate race support figures (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=303561.msg6460069#msg6460069), it's clear they either didn't conduct Spanish interviews or don't know how to use them properly. Add a few points to the Democratic margin - as must be done in NV polling every cycle.  


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 09, 2018, 10:28:07 PM
something something family name


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: IceSpear on October 09, 2018, 10:59:06 PM
This is the same poll that has Heller up 2, right? Certainly explains a lot.

Laxalt has family ancestory politics in NV, he's a top notch candidate

Democrats are still struggling to win the NV governorship I see. Reminder that they haven't won it in 24 years.

Where would Atlas be without such top notch #analysis? :)


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: Sir Mohamed on October 10, 2018, 01:37:32 AM

LOL, this is a pure toss-up. Sisolak should win by 2-3 points.


Title: Re: NV-GOV(NBC/Marist): Laxalt+1
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 10, 2018, 08:53:07 AM
I wonder how those "undecideds" will break...