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Title: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Mail-order President on October 10, 2018, 12:16:10 AM McSally - 47%
Sinema - 41% https://www.abc15.com/news/state/poll-martha-mcsally-gaining-in-senate-race-against-kyrsten-sinema Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 12:20:30 AM Wow
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Yellowhammer on October 10, 2018, 12:21:34 AM Martha McSenator
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Xing on October 10, 2018, 12:24:04 AM This pollster had McSally up 3 before, and was conducted on October 1st and 2nd, but still not great news for Democrats.
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on October 10, 2018, 12:27:48 AM Isn't this the poll with Trump at +10 approval
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Lachi on October 10, 2018, 12:28:32 AM Where are the crosstabs?
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: IceSpear on October 10, 2018, 12:33:26 AM Not the "fun" answer, but this should be treated as an outlier unless it gets corroboration from another source.
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: new_patomic on October 10, 2018, 12:34:57 AM Not the "fun" answer, but this should be treated as an outlier unless it gets corroboration from another source. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Hindsight was 2020 on October 10, 2018, 12:51:27 AM Hahahahahahahahahahaha. (This poll is bs guys)
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Southern Delegate matthew27 on October 10, 2018, 12:53:08 AM The odds certainly favor the republicans. Sadly,
When was the last democratic senator Arizona elected? Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: IceSpear on October 10, 2018, 12:57:04 AM Actually, Trump approval is apparently +11 in this poll per their Twitter. So, uh, if you believe that’s the state of the environment, then McSally is in good shape. If not, then, uh, no. Do you have a link? https://mobile.twitter.com/OHPredictive/status/1048747738773381120 Sinema actually doing 5 points better than Trump approval and the GCB lol Okay yeah, now this is a good example of an approval rating being absurdly out of line with the national polls, lol. For Trump to be at 55% in Arizona he'd almost certainly need to be above 50% nationally. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on October 10, 2018, 01:05:40 AM Actually, Trump approval is apparently +11 in this poll per their Twitter. So, uh, if you believe that’s the state of the environment, then McSally is in good shape. If not, then, uh, no. Do you have a link? https://mobile.twitter.com/OHPredictive/status/1048747738773381120 Sinema actually doing 5 points better than Trump approval and the GCB lol Okay yeah, now this is a good example of an approval rating being absurdly out of line with the national polls, lol. For Trump to be at 55% in Arizona he'd almost certainly need to be above 50% nationally. Come to think of it, Sinema doing 5 better than Trump's actual approval in AZ woudn't be an unreasonable end result. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: wbrocks67 on October 10, 2018, 06:27:34 AM Trump's approval is +11 here and this is the only pollster that has had McSally up in the last month(+?)
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Person Man on October 10, 2018, 06:29:31 AM Trump's approval is +11 here and this is the only pollster that has had McSally up in the last month(+?) Yes. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: 2016 on October 10, 2018, 08:08:30 AM The Trendlines working against Democrats here.
() Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Skye on October 10, 2018, 08:27:08 AM Not the "fun" answer, but this should be treated as an outlier unless it gets corroboration from another source. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: KingSweden on October 10, 2018, 08:31:10 AM Not the "fun" answer, but this should be treated as an outlier unless it gets corroboration from another source. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: MT Treasurer on October 10, 2018, 08:32:38 AM Outlier, but this is obviously more winnable for Republicans than NV.
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 10, 2018, 08:34:54 AM Not the "fun" answer, but this should be treated as an outlier unless it gets corroboration from another source. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: OneJ on October 10, 2018, 08:37:25 AM Outlier, but this is obviously more winnable for Republicans than NV. Don’t tell FiveThirtyEight that. They think Sinema has a better chance of winning than Rosen. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: RI on October 10, 2018, 09:02:50 AM Actually, Trump approval is apparently +11 in this poll per their Twitter. So, uh, if you believe that’s the state of the environment, then McSally is in good shape. If not, then, uh, no. Do you have a link? https://mobile.twitter.com/OHPredictive/status/1048747738773381120 Sinema actually doing 5 points better than Trump approval and the GCB lol Okay yeah, now this is a good example of an approval rating being absurdly out of line with the national polls, lol. For Trump to be at 55% in Arizona he'd almost certainly need to be above 50% nationally. He is, according to Rasmussen. :P Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Webnicz on October 10, 2018, 09:15:11 AM 60% landlines?
Cute Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on October 10, 2018, 11:42:55 AM When was the last democratic senator Arizona elected? His last election was in 1988. He retired in 1994. A Democrat hasn't been elected Senator in Arizona for 30 years. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 10, 2018, 06:24:10 PM Dems were supposed to win AZ Senate and Gov
Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on October 10, 2018, 06:26:18 PM McMartha McSally McWill McBe McThe McNext McSenator McFrom McArizona Because this McOne poll said so. Title: Re: AZ - ABC15/OH Predictive Insights: McSally +6 Post by: DrScholl on October 10, 2018, 06:27:21 PM McMartha McSally McWill McBe McThe McNext McSenator McFrom McArizona I know you intended this to be cute or clever, but it just looks ridiculous. |