Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 10, 2018, 04:07:24 PM



Title: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 10, 2018, 04:07:24 PM
GOP Poll Puts Morrisey and Manchin Almost Even After Kavanaugh Vote (https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/gop-poll-morrisey-manchin-almost-tied/)

Quote
A new Republican poll of the West Virginia Senate race shows a tighter race between Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin III and Attorney General Patrick Morrisey.

Manchin led Morrisey 41 to 40 percent in the survey conducted for the National Republican Senatorial Committee and Morrisey’s campaign and obtained first by Roll Call.

Public Opinion Strategies surveyed 600 likely voters from Oct. 7-9, with 40 percent of interviews over cell phone. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The poll went into the field the day after the Senate voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.  Manchin was the only Democrat to vote for Kavanaugh on Saturday.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Xing on October 10, 2018, 04:10:11 PM
40% in his own internal? Yikes, this is gonna be ugly for Pat.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Zaybay on October 10, 2018, 04:11:14 PM
wasnt the last internal for Pat him tied with Manchin? If so, geez. But Bagel will still call the race lean R because of course he will.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 04:13:03 PM
I mean I told all of you.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 04:25:00 PM
Look, I'm not even taking any more cues to panic, I have moved passed that stage and am entering the acceptance portion of this process.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Politician on October 10, 2018, 04:29:10 PM
Morrissey can't even win in his internals, lol. Likely D, and closer to Safe then lean.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Oryxslayer on October 10, 2018, 04:31:34 PM
This internal screams: I need More Money! I need More Trump visits! I need more of something if I am actually going to stand a chance here.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 04:32:48 PM
This internal screams: I need More Money! I need More Trump visits! I need more of something if I am actually going to stand a chance here.

He aint even need any of that, he needs a couple more weeks, and he's gonna get that.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Devout Centrist on October 10, 2018, 04:36:43 PM
I think we all know what POS stands for


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 04:39:41 PM

Probably obvious Senator


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Devout Centrist on October 10, 2018, 04:41:21 PM
Please fall in a well and never climb out


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 10, 2018, 04:42:20 PM
If Manchin wins by a lot, it’s probably also bad news for Capito. Ojeda could make it competitive in 2020.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Xing on October 10, 2018, 04:45:16 PM

But enough about Manchin.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 04:48:32 PM

Sorry if I was not clear, but I was talking about Morrisey.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: UWS on October 10, 2018, 04:54:55 PM
As a Republican, I would not panic. I would actually see it as great news for the sake of the reinforcement of the GOP's senate majority.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 05:01:53 PM
As a Republican, I would not panic. I would actually see it as great news for the sake of the reinforcement of the GOP's senate majority.

If I were you I would feel pretty confident now.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 10, 2018, 05:12:04 PM
I've been hearing buzz from some various people that Manchin may need to be triaged, hopefully it does not have to come down to that, but in my opinion, the group always comes first so the individual must always be ready to take one for the team.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Person Man on October 10, 2018, 05:12:41 PM
As a Republican, I would not panic. I would actually see it as great news for the sake of the reinforcement of the GOP's senate majority.

If I were you I would feel pretty confident now.

You're out of your element!


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 10, 2018, 05:18:01 PM
If Morrissey can't even lead or exceed 40% in his own internal, he's done. Also, 19% undecided/other at this point in the cycle is WAY too high.

Likely D.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 10, 2018, 05:22:37 PM
I've been hearing buzz from some various people that Manchin may need to be triaged, hopefully it does not have to come down to that, but in my opinion, the group always comes first so the individual must always be ready to take one for the team.

You've "been hearing buzz" in the same way that Trump informs us that "many people are saying."


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: auburntiger on October 10, 2018, 06:17:37 PM
All Manchin had to do was vote for Kavanaugh. He’s going to win this by 10-12; the GOP should pull out and focus on other winnable races like ND MO IN FL while holding AZ, NV


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: libertpaulian on October 10, 2018, 06:18:41 PM
iNtErNaL pOlL


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 10, 2018, 06:22:57 PM
All Manchin had to do was vote for Kavanaugh. He’s going to win this by 10-12; the GOP should pull out and focus on other winnable races like ND MO IN FL while holding AZ, NV

Any red state senator with Trump above 59 can lose


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: IceSpear on October 11, 2018, 03:48:11 AM
I like how Manchin is 71 while Fat Pat is 50, but from this picture you'd guess the opposite. In fact, 71 would be generous for Fat Pat. He looks like one of those 97 year old Senate lifers (ex. Strom Thurmond) that look like animated corpses and you expect to croak any day.

()


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Wisconsin+17 on October 11, 2018, 04:02:04 AM
Well, the inevitable question is whether WV completes it's transition away from the Democrats and Manchin. State went +40 for Trump. Finding the comments here rather interesting as to how this poll 'doesn't matter'.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: libertpaulian on October 11, 2018, 07:04:10 AM
Well, the inevitable question is whether WV completes it's transition away from the Democrats and Manchin. State went +40 for Trump. Finding the comments here rather interesting as to how this poll 'doesn't matter'.
Internal poll.  I guess since Stacey Abrams' internal poll has her up by 6, that means she beats Kemp?


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: IceSpear on October 11, 2018, 07:38:29 AM
Well, the inevitable question is whether WV completes it's transition away from the Democrats and Manchin. State went +40 for Trump. Finding the comments here rather interesting as to how this poll 'doesn't matter'.
Internal poll.  I guess since Stacey Abrams' internal poll has her up by 6, that means she beats Kemp?

I mean, some people unironically believe that, so...


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on October 11, 2018, 09:29:19 AM
Manchin is not losing. End of story.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 11, 2018, 09:29:34 AM
Internal poll.  I guess since Stacey Abrams' internal poll has her up by 6, that means she beats Kemp?

I mean, some people unironically believe that, so...

Abrams isn't necessarily going to win, but she does have an actual substantive chance. Compared to, for example, Texas, Georgia is a much more competitive state. And Abrams is running a much better campaign strategy than Beto - she is focused on actually turning out voters, as opposed to just giving them yard signs and T-shirts.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: IceSpear on October 11, 2018, 09:36:31 AM
Internal poll.  I guess since Stacey Abrams' internal poll has her up by 6, that means she beats Kemp?

I mean, some people unironically believe that, so...

Abrams isn't necessarily going to win, but she does have an actual substantive chance. Compared to, for example, Texas, Georgia is a much more competitive state. And Abrams is running a much better campaign strategy than Beto - she is focused on actually turning out voters, as opposed to just giving them yard signs and T-shirts.

Oh, I wasn't saying Abrams didn't have a chance. Just that people were indeed orgasming over her internal, and frequently orgasm over Democratic internals in general.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 11, 2018, 09:40:03 AM
Oh, I wasn't saying Abrams didn't have a chance. Just that people were indeed orgasming over her internal, and frequently orgasm over Democratic internals in general.

Well, that is certainly true. Can't argue with you there.


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: KingSweden on October 11, 2018, 10:05:56 AM
I like how Manchin is 71 while Fat Pat is 50, but from this picture you'd guess the opposite. In fact, 71 would be generous for Fat Pat. He looks like one of those 97 year old Senate lifers (ex. Strom Thurmond) that look like animated corpses and you expect to croak any day.

()

May we all be as swole at 71 as Joe Manchin


Title: Re: WV-SEN (POS) Morrissey internal has him down just by 1 - Bagel's cue to panic
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 11, 2018, 06:43:50 PM
I still think Manchin is going to win, but perhaps voting for Kavanaugh wasn't worth it after all. Thanks Joe!