Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: ltomlinson31 on October 10, 2018, 04:07:30 PM



Title: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: ltomlinson31 on October 10, 2018, 04:07:30 PM


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Bidenworth2020 on October 10, 2018, 04:10:36 PM
this is about right, I am concerned about the congressional districts more though. +12 may not be enough, especially considering that means crossover voters from other races. However I think the Mondale endorsements give Dems a boost.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Xing on October 10, 2018, 04:12:34 PM
Even if the polls are slightly biased toward Democrats, it looks as though Republicans are going to get absolutely curb-stomped in the Midwest.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Zaybay on October 10, 2018, 04:14:12 PM
 The only races left to worry about in the state are MN-AG, and the house races.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Ebsy on October 10, 2018, 04:15:36 PM
Not looking like it is going to be the GOP's year in Minnesota.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: ON Progressive on October 10, 2018, 04:17:40 PM
This poll certainly explains why the RGA has pulled out of here hard.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Dr. Arch on October 10, 2018, 04:27:55 PM
Freedom state


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Jags on October 10, 2018, 04:28:50 PM
But MN is trending Republican!!! Lol


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 10, 2018, 04:29:32 PM
If this is even close to accurate, move MN from Lean to Safe D for 2020. Would suggest that 2016 was a one-off because of Clinton and the state will revert back to norm without her on the ballot.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Politician on October 10, 2018, 04:37:39 PM
It's gonna be a WWC-stompin'.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 10, 2018, 04:44:59 PM
Waltzing to victory.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: OneJ on October 10, 2018, 05:14:43 PM
Looks to be an outlier for the Governor's race, but I'm quite confident to say that this is Walz's race to lose and it would be very hard for him to lose at this point.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Bojack Horseman on October 10, 2018, 06:59:05 PM
Hopefully that will be enough to keep Walz and Nolan's districts in the blue column.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 11, 2018, 06:52:00 PM

You beat me to that pun!


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 11, 2018, 06:57:27 PM
I have a hard time believing Minnesota is this much bluer than Wisconsin.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: libertpaulian on October 11, 2018, 06:58:04 PM
I have a hard time believing Minnesota is this much bluer than Wisconsin.
Walz's opponent is a joke, which helps Walz.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Obama-Biden Democrat on October 11, 2018, 10:40:04 PM
#SmithUnder55
#KloboucharUnder2to1


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Sir Mohamed on October 12, 2018, 09:17:41 AM
This is probably an outlier, but I don't find it hard to believe Walz winning by 10. Klobuchar may have a pushing effect for down ballot races in MN. I worry about the MN-08 and MN-01, which are currently rated "lean/likely R".


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 12, 2018, 09:33:00 AM
This is probably an outlier, but I don't find it hard to believe Walz winning by 10. Klobuchar may have a pushing effect for down ballot races in MN. I worry about the MN-08 and MN-01, which are currently rated "lean/likely R".

It’s pretty much what you would expect from a Marist poll of a Midwestern state at this point.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 12, 2018, 09:38:25 AM
I have a hard time believing Minnesota is this much bluer than Wisconsin.
Walz's opponent is a joke, which helps Walz.


I'm talking GCB (or CGB?) numbers and Trump approval. Compare Minnesota and Wisconsin and it's a 7-8 point difference.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Figueira on October 13, 2018, 10:10:56 AM
I have a hard time believing Minnesota is this much bluer than Wisconsin.
Walz's opponent is a joke, which helps Walz.


Also incumbent governors are usually hard to beat. I expect Walker to lose, but it makes sense that he's keeping it close.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: mgop on October 18, 2018, 08:29:08 AM
good ole nbc/marxist poll


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: Gass3268 on October 18, 2018, 08:31:10 AM

RGA has canceled all further spending here.


Title: Re: MN-NBC/Marist- Walz +17
Post by: wbrocks67 on October 18, 2018, 08:42:41 AM

RGA has canceled all further spending here.

Which basically shows that +3 poll was ridiculous.