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Title: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: reagente on October 11, 2018, 09:38:32 PM Abbott (R) - 57%
Valdez (D) - 35% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Calthrina950 on October 12, 2018, 01:28:11 AM Abbott (R) - 57% Valdez (D) - 35% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html We have now had three consecutive polls showing Abbott up by at least 20 points. It looks like he is set to win by the same margin that he did back in 2014, in a supposedly more Democratic-leaning year. Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Tartarus Sauce on October 13, 2018, 12:01:14 PM Abbott (R) - 57% Valdez (D) - 35% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html We have now had three consecutive polls showing Abbott up by at least 20 points. It looks like he is set to win by the same margin that he did back in 2014, in a supposedly more Democratic-leaning year. Should probably be taken as an indicator that the polls are overestimating his final margin. Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Calthrina950 on October 13, 2018, 12:26:18 PM Abbott (R) - 57% Valdez (D) - 35% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html We have now had three consecutive polls showing Abbott up by at least 20 points. It looks like he is set to win by the same margin that he did back in 2014, in a supposedly more Democratic-leaning year. Should probably be taken as an indicator that the polls are overestimating his final margin. Do you think that it will be closer than 2014? Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on October 13, 2018, 01:46:20 PM Lupe Valdez is a bad candidate, she has fundraised wayyyy less than even Wendy Davis.
Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Young Conservative on October 13, 2018, 06:56:13 PM Abott will win by more than 20 points. This is Texas, people. Let's stop pretending it's the next Virginia. (Atlas and the media seem to confuse "what Atlas and the media want" with "what is actually reality.")
Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Rookie Yinzer on October 13, 2018, 07:50:26 PM Abott will win by more than 20 points. This is Texas, people. Let's stop pretending it's the next Virginia. (Atlas and the media seem to confuse "what Atlas and the media want" with "what is actually reality.") Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Calthrina950 on October 13, 2018, 08:12:22 PM Abott will win by more than 20 points. This is Texas, people. Let's stop pretending it's the next Virginia. (Atlas and the media seem to confuse "what Atlas and the media want" with "what is actually reality.") Admittedly none, but this race should be a solid indicator that Texas is still a Safe Republican state. We could attribute what happened in 2016 to the dislike of some Cruz or suburban Republicans for Trump. It was not necessarily an indication that they would defect to the Democrats. Demographic changes are gradual, and I don't think Texas will become seriously competitive for at least another ten years or so, if that. Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: Panda Express on October 15, 2018, 05:39:00 AM For a latina lesbian in Texas, this is about as good as you could hope for.
Title: Re: TX: NYT Upshot / Siena : Abbott +22 Post by: tmthforu94 on October 15, 2018, 08:41:46 AM Abbott (R) - 57% Valdez (D) - 35% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html We have now had three consecutive polls showing Abbott up by at least 20 points. It looks like he is set to win by the same margin that he did back in 2014, in a supposedly more Democratic-leaning year. Should probably be taken as an indicator that the polls are overestimating his final margin. |