Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: wbrocks67 on October 17, 2018, 08:26:18 AM



Title: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: wbrocks67 on October 17, 2018, 08:26:18 AM
Newsom (D) 54%
Cox (R) 31%

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-usc-latimes-poll-governor-20181017-story.html


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Sir Mohamed on October 17, 2018, 08:48:50 AM
The margin looks accurate. Safe D.

I'm surprised CA has been polled that much.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: IceSpear on October 17, 2018, 09:10:47 AM
But junk polls told me Cox is in it to win it! Are you saying I shouldn't have believed them?!


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Gass3268 on October 17, 2018, 09:12:22 AM
The margin looks accurate. Safe D.

I'm surprised CA has been polled that much.

California still has multiple local news organizations that want to see quality polls done of their state.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 17, 2018, 09:13:52 AM
Tilts D. I don't want to discount the quality Newsom +4 poll.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Politician on October 17, 2018, 09:14:58 AM
ExtremeConservative said this would flip in a Clinton midterm, though.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 17, 2018, 09:22:52 AM
That Newsom +4 "poll" was about as believable as the Tester +24/Heller +7 "polls", lol.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Former President tack50 on October 17, 2018, 09:38:19 AM
#Newsomunder55


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 17, 2018, 02:11:19 PM
This is more believable.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 17, 2018, 07:14:46 PM
Hmmm...still looks like a tossup to me.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Xing on October 17, 2018, 08:01:01 PM
I dunno man, Newsom seems really overrated tbh, and Buehler's megacoattails will probably give Cox a huge bump.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: IceSpear on October 17, 2018, 08:07:36 PM
I dunno man, Newsom seems really overrated tbh, and Buehler's megacoattails will probably give Cox a huge bump.

The holy trifecta of megacoattails from Buehler, Heller, and Laxalt will propel Cox to victory.


Title: Re: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23
Post by: Dukakisite1988 on October 18, 2018, 06:21:32 AM
As far as the margin goes people have been putting too much stock into the 2016 presidential result here. That showed the GOP at pretty much their floor in the state and the Dems at their ceiling. Somewhere around 59-41 would count as a 'normal' result. California isn't about to become the Democrats' answer to Wyoming.