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Title: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on October 21, 2018, 03:57:50 PM This poll has Gillum up 6, I highly doubt there's that many Gillum/Scott voters, and Nelson underperforms Gillum by 8 points in the end. Anyways:
Scott (R): 47% Nelson (D): 45% https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000166-9843-d316-afe7-9ae304cc0000 (https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000166-9843-d316-afe7-9ae304cc0000) Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: libertpaulian on October 21, 2018, 03:58:37 PM With that kind of disparity, junk.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Hindsight was 2020 on October 21, 2018, 04:01:24 PM Who?
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Xing on October 21, 2018, 04:07:44 PM That's another poll with a huge gap between Nelson and Gillum. It doesn't seem to make sense, but if we continue to see it, maybe pollsters are onto something. Btw, great hurricane bump for Scott, clearly he's shot to a mid-high single digit lead.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: 2016 on October 21, 2018, 04:10:26 PM With that kind of disparity, junk. No, CNN is junk as always. Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: MT Treasurer on October 21, 2018, 04:13:15 PM Of all the states I have going R in my prediction (IN/MO/ND/FL, with Ds winning NV and AZ), this is the one I’m least sure about. Still a Toss-up, and Nelson really can’t afford to underperform Gillum by that much.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on October 21, 2018, 04:25:37 PM With that kind of disparity, junk. No, CNN is junk as always. POLLS I DON'T AGREE WITH ARE JUNK! Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Ebsy on October 21, 2018, 04:27:48 PM Always best to ignore the many low quality Florida polls.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 21, 2018, 04:54:01 PM I doubt that Gillum and Scott win at same time
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: psychprofessor on October 21, 2018, 04:55:18 PM I'm curious what SE&A Research is...
Why would they not include people who already voted in the results? Why are they required to speak to the youngest person registered to vote in the home? Is this standard? Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: MT Treasurer on October 21, 2018, 04:57:45 PM I'm curious what SE&A Research is... No idea. According to Wikipedia they are a Democratic-leaning pollster, although these numbers are pretty believable IMO. Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: IceSpear on October 21, 2018, 05:32:54 PM Another poll showing a huge gap between this race and the Governor's race. A worrying trend for Nelson if it continues, but on the bright side DeSantis is screwed if he really does underperform Scott by 7-8 points.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: henster on October 21, 2018, 06:04:54 PM I'd really like to see the crosstabs it could just be Gillum is getting 95%+ with blacks and Nelson only getting 80% with the rest undecided.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow on October 21, 2018, 06:38:20 PM I'd really like to see the crosstabs it could just be Gillum is getting 95%+ with blacks and Nelson only getting 80% with the rest undecided. That wouldn’t even come that close to making up the 8% gap between Gillum and Nelson. Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on October 21, 2018, 06:45:25 PM I'd really like to see the crosstabs it could just be Gillum is getting 95%+ with blacks and Nelson only getting 80% with the rest undecided. That wouldn’t even come that close to making up the 8% gap between Gillum and Nelson. True, but it would pull Nelson into the lead. Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Woody on October 22, 2018, 06:21:02 AM The hurricane bump is real people.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Woody on October 22, 2018, 06:24:38 AM The fact that a D pollster has Nelson down by 2 is ringing alarms that something is about to change. We will soon see a pattern of Scott leading in polls by around 2-5 points by election day.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 22, 2018, 07:05:40 AM Scott was tough in 2014 and he will be tough to beat this time.
Title: Re: FL-SEA Polling: Scott +2 Post by: History505 on October 22, 2018, 08:27:17 AM I doubt that Gillum and Scott win at same time |