Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:04:13 AM



Title: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:04:13 AM
Nelson 52% (-1)
Scott 46% (+/-)


Source (https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2581)


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 22, 2018, 11:05:01 AM
I voted Scott!

If you've never voted Scott ladies and gentleman
Get ready to vote Rick Scott
Go do it, right now!
GOP
You know it
Ron too
All of the republicans
Where you at
Let's vote

When Scott walks into town
All eyes on him
With the GOP too
Votes fall like leaves
We like Rick Scott
We love Patronis
We came to vote Rick Scott
Florida it's on

Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Everybody

Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Everybody

Let me see you vote for him

The Dinos love us
When we got Rick Scott
They need an excuse
to vote unlike their pops

We came to vote Scott
How 'bout you?
Ballots up
Let's go round three

Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Everybody

Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott
Everybody

If you ain't voting Scott get the heck outta town
If you ain't talking Scott get the heck outta town
If you ain't come for the Grand Old Party get the heck outta town
Now where my republicans let me see your ballots up

Who you voting for?
Rick Scott
Ron DeSantis
Jeanette Nunez
Not Sean Shaw
Jimmy Patronis
Richard Lynn Scott
Screw everybody else
Get me some ballots

Scott

Patronis on the ballot and I'm ready for Rick Scott
The Dinos come around every time we're talking Scott
Their ballots for our party every time we're talking Scott
So ballots in the air, everybody for Rick Scott.

If you've voted Scott put your ballots in the air
And if you're gonna vote Scott put your ballots in the air
Now say, "I voted Scott!" (I voted Scott)
I voted Scott (I voted Scott)
I'm gonna vote Scott (I'm gonna vote Scott)
I'm gonna vote Scott (I'm gonna vote Scott)

Scott

Patronis on the ballot and I'm ready for Rick Scott
The Dinos come around every time we're talking Scott
Their ballots for our party every time we're talking Scott
So ballots in the air, everybody for Rick Scott.

I voted Scott
let's vote

[8x]
Scott Scott Scott Scott
Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott Scott


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: ON Progressive on October 22, 2018, 11:05:03 AM
Massive hurricane bump, am I right?


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Zaybay on October 22, 2018, 11:06:12 AM
Welp, I think its rather clear now, this race is tilt/lean D. Poor Scott, could have used that money for a couple private jets. :(


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:06:35 AM
Not a great poll for Scott, considering:

A Florida Quinnipiac poll coming later today. They have been generally very good in that state.


()

Source (https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/1054388154805948421)



Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: windjammer on October 22, 2018, 11:06:46 AM
Hahahahahaha not a chance


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: junior chįmp on October 22, 2018, 11:07:41 AM
Just voted an hour ago. Red tide Rick is done.

Oh and lol at all those who wasted their time worrying about all the noise and ignoring the fundamentals that easily pointed toward a Nelson win.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Zaybay on October 22, 2018, 11:07:52 AM
Sad that they didnt poll the governor's race


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: 2016 on October 22, 2018, 11:08:16 AM
LOL, Scott with negative Favorable Ratings after a devastating Cat 4 Hurricane. Give me a break! Now we pretty much know that Q-Pac is crap.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: ON Progressive on October 22, 2018, 11:09:49 AM
Just voted an hour ago. Red tide Rick is done.

Oh and lol at all those who wasted their time worrying about all the noise and ignoring the fundamentals that easily pointed toward a Nelson win.

It’s looking like Red Tide Rick can’t handle the Blue Tide. :)


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:10:06 AM
LOL, Scott with negative Favorable Ratings after a devastating Cat 4 Hurricane. Give me a break! Now we pretty much know that Q-Pac is crap.

They are the Gold Standard. They've nailed every race since 2010.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: IceSpear on October 22, 2018, 11:10:44 AM
LOL, Scott with negative Favorable Ratings after a devastating Cat 4 Hurricane. Give me a break! Now we pretty much know that Q-Pac is crap.

Yeah clearly. Gov. Gillespie agrees.

()

I'm not saying they should be taken as gospel or anything, but they're clearly one of the better pollsters.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:11:27 AM
Sad that they didnt poll the governor's race

Quinnipiac does rolling releases. If you take a look at this poll, you'll see that the first question is #4. The Governor numbers will probably come out tomorrow.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Xing on October 22, 2018, 11:14:34 AM
I mean, this seems pretty high, but Quinnipiac isn't exactly a junk pollster, and the average right now is looking like Nelson +2-3. I'd like to see more good pollsters like Q poll this race, but I'm cautiously optimistic.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:14:50 AM
The story here is really women and Independents. Look Nelson's % amoung women and Independents:

Democratic women: 94%
Independent women: 68%
Republican women: 10%

Independents: 58% (22 point margin)


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:15:24 AM


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: TarHeelDem on October 22, 2018, 11:16:06 AM
This is roughly where I've imagined the race to be for awhile now.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: 2016 on October 22, 2018, 11:16:12 AM
Sad that they didnt poll the governor's race

No, sad is that Atlas just like the Mainstream Media has become too Democratic.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 22, 2018, 11:17:55 AM
Sad that they didnt poll the governor's race

No, sad is that Atlas just like the Mainstream Media has become too Democratic.

What does that have to do with this particular poll? Neither Atlas nor the mainstream media conducted this poll. 


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Zaybay on October 22, 2018, 11:27:02 AM
Sad that they didnt poll the governor's race

No, sad is that Atlas just like the Mainstream Media has become too Democratic.

What does that have to do with anything?


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: junior chįmp on October 22, 2018, 11:29:09 AM
Just voted an hour ago. Red tide Rick is done.

Oh and lol at all those who wasted their time worrying about all the noise and ignoring the fundamentals that easily pointed toward a Nelson win.

It’s looking like Red Tide Rick can’t handle the Blue Tide. :)

How hillarious is it that Scott spends $100 million of his own money running ads around the clock for a year while Nelson doesn't even run ads till the last 3 months and its just ads featuring him talking about going to space. Lmao but but Scott has high approvals but but Scott has more money but but Nelson is old.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 11:30:04 AM
Just voted an hour ago. Red tide Rick is done.

Oh and lol at all those who wasted their time worrying about all the noise and ignoring the fundamentals that easily pointed toward a Nelson win.

It’s looking like Red Tide Rick can’t handle the Blue Tide. :)

How hillarious is it that Scott spends $100 million of his own money running ads around the clock for a year while Nelson doesn't even run ads till the last 3 months and its just ads featuring him talking about going to space. Lmao but but Scott has high approvals but but Scott has more money but but Nelson is old.

Dude, the astronaut ads work.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Zaybay on October 22, 2018, 11:32:25 AM
So they’ll probably have Gillum up by like 8 or more tomorrow then. Fourth poll in a row to show that. Hmm. I’m sensing a trend here

I am too. It was present beforehand, starting in September when Nelson and Gillum both started to climb upward, but now the undecideds are moving massively towards the Ds. Its rather possible now that the Ds tie or take the state senate, along with getting the AG office for themselves.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Yank2133 on October 22, 2018, 11:34:43 AM
Sad that they didnt poll the governor's race

No, sad is that Atlas just like the Mainstream Media has become too Democratic.

What does that have to do with this particular poll? Neither Atlas nor the mainstream media conducted this poll. 

Blaming the media for being too democratic is the go to excuse for GOP hacks.

Polls can be wrong due to bad sampling, but big time pollsters like Quinnipiac don't gin up their numbers. There is no benefit in them doing so.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: ajc0918 on October 22, 2018, 11:36:58 AM
So they’ll probably have Gillum up by like 8 or more tomorrow then. Fourth poll in a row to show that. Hmm. I’m sensing a trend here

I am too. It was present beforehand, starting in September when Nelson and Gillum both started to climb upward, but now the undecideds are moving massively towards the Ds. Its rather possible now that the Ds tie or take the state senate, along with getting the AG office for themselves.

I think AG is the last office to flip honestly. Moody being the only candidate with significant courtroom experience and her ads being generally much better make me more hesitant on that race. CFO and Ag Commissioner probably go D if Nelson and Gillum are winning fairly easily though

I think CFO would be the last to flip because the incumbent is running. I think Nikki Fried has the best chance to win. She's running a solid campaign and has gotten a lot of press due to her stances on medical marijuana.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Zaybay on October 22, 2018, 11:38:23 AM
Im not well versed on local FL state politics, so I will go with what you two are saying.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Nyvin on October 22, 2018, 12:03:18 PM
Sad that they didnt poll the governor's race

No, sad is that Atlas just like the Mainstream Media has become too Democratic.

Do you do anything on this forum other then scream "Dem Bias!" at everything?


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Skye on October 22, 2018, 12:36:08 PM
Quinnipiac seems to have been pushing undecideds aggressively which is why we get these kinds of results (like the 54-45 TX Sen race). I wonder if they're going to be representative of the incoming wave.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 22, 2018, 02:24:23 PM
Yeah, Quinnipiac got VA-GOV 2017 right, but that doesn’t mean we should automatically take every single one of their polls at face value and dismiss all the other FL polls as "junk" or "Republican-friendly". It’s not a good poll for Scott, and he probably won’t win in a Democratic wave, but I’d argue there’s still some uncertainty in this race.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: ElectionsGuy on October 22, 2018, 02:26:15 PM
Quinnipiac seems to have been pushing undecideds aggressively which is why we get these kinds of results (like the 54-45 TX Sen race). I wonder if they're going to be representative of the incoming wave.

That's likely a good thing.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Skye on October 22, 2018, 02:53:21 PM
Yeah, Quinnipiac got VA-GOV 2017 right, but that doesn’t mean we should automatically take every single one of their polls at face value and dismiss all the other FL polls as "junk" or "Republican-friendly". It’s not a good poll for Scott, and he probably won’t win in a Democratic wave, but I’d argue there’s still some uncertainty in this race.

Plus, IIRC, many around here complained about Quinnipiac during 2016 because their polls were too GOP-friendly.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 03:00:00 PM
Yeah, Quinnipiac got VA-GOV 2017 right, but that doesn’t mean we should automatically take every single one of their polls at face value and dismiss all the other FL polls as "junk" or "Republican-friendly". It’s not a good poll for Scott, and he probably won’t win in a Democratic wave, but I’d argue there’s still some uncertainty in this race.

Plus, IIRC, many around here complained about Quinnipiac during 2016 because their polls were too GOP-friendly.

They were in the middle of the summer, then they were weren't in the late summer, then they were pretty good here in Florida (had Clinton winning by 1, only two points off with Trump winning by 1).


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 22, 2018, 07:42:08 PM
Please make this happen Florida! Don't be teasing us again!


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: I Can Now Die Happy on October 22, 2018, 09:13:40 PM
I'll take a guy who looks like Voldemort, Rick Scott, over a guy who looks like...uh...looks like...Bill Nelson? Can't come up with a good comparison lmao

#SendTrumpReinforcements


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Mr. Illini on October 22, 2018, 09:57:53 PM
Florida is sending Red Tide Rick home!


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Person Man on October 23, 2018, 06:41:28 AM
I'll take a guy who looks like Voldemort, Rick Scott, over a guy who looks like...uh...looks like...Bill Nelson? Can't come up with a good comparison lmao

#SendTrumpReinforcements

You should be put in a Full Bill Nelson.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: I Can Now Die Happy on October 23, 2018, 08:56:45 AM
I'll take a guy who looks like Voldemort, Rick Scott, over a guy who looks like...uh...looks like...Bill Nelson? Can't come up with a good comparison lmao

#SendTrumpReinforcements

You should be put in a Full Bill Nelson.

lol a full bill nelson? I don't get it. Can you please explain? Thanks.

God bless


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Person Man on October 23, 2018, 09:00:05 AM
I'll take a guy who looks like Voldemort, Rick Scott, over a guy who looks like...uh...looks like...Bill Nelson? Can't come up with a good comparison lmao

#SendTrumpReinforcements

You should be put in a Full Bill Nelson.

lol a full bill nelson? I don't get it. Can you please explain? Thanks.

God bless


Well, there's the Half Nelson and the Full Nelson... look it up! :)


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 23, 2018, 09:00:20 AM
I'll take a guy who looks like Voldemort, Rick Scott, over a guy who looks like...uh...looks like...Bill Nelson? Can't come up with a good comparison lmao

#SendTrumpReinforcements

You should be put in a Full Bill Nelson.

lol a full bill nelson? I don't get it. Can you please explain? Thanks.

God bless

There is a wrestling move called the Full Nelson:

()


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Person Man on October 23, 2018, 10:06:23 AM
I'll take a guy who looks like Voldemort, Rick Scott, over a guy who looks like...uh...looks like...Bill Nelson? Can't come up with a good comparison lmao

#SendTrumpReinforcements

You should be put in a Full Bill Nelson.

lol a full bill nelson? I don't get it. Can you please explain? Thanks.

God bless

There is a wrestling move called the Full Nelson:

()

A Republican that doesn't know about wrasslin'? Something new everyday, right? Then again, it is "traditional" Democrats who know about it and "traditional" Republicans who don't.


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: Use Your Illusion on October 24, 2018, 12:34:18 PM
Let's go Daddy Nelson!! What??

WHAT???!!


Title: Re: FL- Quinnipiac: Nelson +6
Post by: I Can Now Die Happy on November 26, 2018, 10:52:16 PM
I'll take a guy who looks like Voldemort, Rick Scott, over a guy who looks like...uh...looks like...Bill Nelson? Can't come up with a good comparison lmao

#SendTrumpReinforcements

You should be put in a Full Bill Nelson.

lol a full bill nelson? I don't get it. Can you please explain? Thanks.

God bless

There is a wrestling move called the Full Nelson:

()

A Republican that doesn't know about wrasslin'? Something new everyday, right? Then again, it is "traditional" Democrats who know about it and "traditional" Republicans who don't.

I'm not really a Republican.

Anyway...congrats to Senator-elect Richard Scott! I still laugh when I remember the time in the summer before sophomore year of high school, I was rooting for Alex Sink to beat Bill McCollum, only to see you win the nomination and beat her