Talk Elections

http://www.mynews13.com/fl/orlando/politics/2018/10/22/exclusive-poll--bill-nelson-pulls-ahead-of-rick-scott-in-senate-race

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You're telling me that a guy that only won by 1% in Republican wave years when other Republican statewide candidates won by double digits is losing when he goes up against a Democratic incumbent in a Democratic leaning environment?

I am shocked! Shocked!

Beloved Bill is pulling away. Glorious news!

Encouraging, but not out of the woods yet.

What? Another FL poll?

It's also an online poll, FWIW.

But yeah, this, and the Quinnipiac poll, are not good signs for Scott. A shame.

The current spread in Florida is insane, but the more reputable pollsters are showing Nelson ahead right now. This race is definitely not over yet, but perhaps fundamentals are really hurting Scott. Winning a slightly Republican-leaning state in a great year for Democrats was never going to be easy.

UWS says it belongs to Scott due to early voting. But, this race is over

Good poll for Dems will be added to the database in 7-10 business days.

The ND poll showing Cramer ahead double digits was already in the database before the PDF could finish downloading.

Just ignore St. Pete

Or, you can average all three non-internals released today, and you get Nelson +4.6. Still not exactly great for Scott.

Cue Lawrence O'Donnell committing a whole show to how this makes the Senate safe D. :P

This won't last when Donna Shalala's reverse negacoattails sink Nelson for good.

The astronaut is taking off!

Is this the Full Bill Nelson?

NUHUT

Just clean up after FCS.

okay seriously we don't need 5 Florida polls in one day. Could we maybe get a Montana poll?

There should be a Montana poll later tonight.

Oh yeah, the MSU Billings poll, I forgot about that. My guess is Tester +9.

Apparently red tide trumps red wave.

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LMAO, lol if you think Nelson wins by anymore than 5, which is his ceiling.

I don't think anyone has any idea what Nelson's ceiling is in a Florida that looks ready to elect Gillum as governor by a heavy margin.

Quinnipiac's final 2012 poll actually had him up exactly 13 points. They also had Obama up 1 point. A perfect margin for both races simultaneously...which is pretty rare, to say the least.

https://www.scribd.com/document/111619086/Quinn-10-31-FL-OH-VA

Yeah, Nelson is pulling away.   Not much time left for Scott to turn things around either.

I remember him doing that back in 2016 over a Targetsmart poll that showed Clinton leading by 7. I'm still considering this race a tossup in order to curb any disappointment I might face. But there have recently been a lot of favorable polls for Nelson. That can't be ignored. Florida might finally be becoming sane this year...might.

A whole lot of junk polls in the mix here.

SUSA at +8 for Nelson is the poll I'd trust out of this dog's breakfast, might be a tad high, but pretty sure Nelson is ahead.

We will see if the Gilliam corruption thing reels Florida back in for the GOP, but it's likely just a one day story that will get killed and fade away and will have minimal lasting impact.

Like I've been saying for 2 years: You aint beating an astronaut

It's an unintended consequence of the Trump presidency... it's hard to make a story like "free Hamilton tickets" stick when there is so much worse happening, in full view, every day with the President and most of his Cabinet members. The same dynamic is helping Menendez, too.

If Scott loses by more than Rosendale or Morrisey, maybe people will start to realize that candidate quality can only get you so far.