Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Senator ON Progressive on October 22, 2018, 05:37:45 pm



Title: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Senator ON Progressive on October 22, 2018, 05:37:45 pm
Andrew Gillum (D) 49
Ron DeSantis (R) 42

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cfbb4f43-54d4-4d79-b06f-5bfd01c72a34


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Gass3268 on October 22, 2018, 05:43:05 pm
First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: 2016 on October 22, 2018, 05:47:13 pm
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Panda Express on October 22, 2018, 05:47:31 pm
Looks like DeSantis really monkeyed his campaign up


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Xing on October 22, 2018, 05:48:56 pm
First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.

And it's still a great poll for Gillum. Probably a bit exaggerated, but Florida going Democratic in a good year for Democrats isn't exactly revolutionary.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Cory Booker on October 22, 2018, 05:50:25 pm
But, Bagel has it Lean R


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on October 22, 2018, 05:50:43 pm
First time Nelson has out performed Gillum.

And it's still a great poll for Gillum. Probably a bit exaggerated, but Florida going Democratic in a good year for Democrats isn't exactly revolutionary.

This is like their first election since like 1990 that the FDL is unambiguously in the driver seat.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on October 22, 2018, 06:32:39 pm
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.
ok, lets say its even. gillum still leads by 2 and nelson by 3


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: KingSweden on October 22, 2018, 06:35:44 pm
Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.

Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:

https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 22, 2018, 07:27:02 pm
Looks like DeSantis really monkeyed his campaign up

Clever. By the way, I never thought that joke would end up harming his campaign, and perhaps it didn't. But that should have been a sign that DeSantis was truly the awful candidate that he has turned out to be.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: x on October 22, 2018, 08:11:21 pm
Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:

https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW

I'll tell you what, it's nice to be on the side that isn't constantly having to rationalize bad polls in the run-up to the election. It's been a long time coming :p

(Image Link)

^ That gif is the greatest thing ever


Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.

Trying to unskew all these polls is a fool's errand. Take it from Democrats (and Republicans) who vigorously unskewed polls only to get egg on their faces over the past 10 years. Just throw the poll into the average and it usually works itself out.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: KingSweden on October 22, 2018, 10:05:02 pm
Dunno how to embed this but this is me when I read this:

https://giphy.com/gifs/people-hd-gifsremastered-10Jpr9KSaXLchW

I'll tell you what, it's nice to be on the side that isn't constantly having to rationalize bad polls in the run-up to the election. It's been a long time coming :p

(Image Link)

^ That gif is the greatest thing ever


Another Poll scewed towards the Democrats....

Party ID
Democrat 42
Republican 37
Independent 17

Of Course if you're screening a D +5 Electorate you get Nelson + 8 and Gillum + 7.

These Pollsters really have completely lost.

WE WILL NOT HAVE A D + 5 ELECTORATE IN FLORIDA IN A MIDTERM ELECTION - PERIOD.

Trying to unskew all these polls is a fool's errand. Take it from Democrats (and Republicans) who vigorously unskewed polls only to get egg on their faces over the past 10 years. Just throw the poll into the average and it usually works itself out.

If my time on Atlas leaves only Nuclear Elmo and Nodding Nicholson as memes itís still a success


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Bagel23 on November 30, 2018, 07:50:04 pm

Oh did I Cory?


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Bagel23 on November 30, 2018, 08:00:40 pm
Looks like I guessed every seat right on my atlas governor map except Kansas.

Looks like on the atlas governor map that Cory guessed he got Kansas, Alaska, Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, South Dakota, and New Hampshire wrong.

Thanks for playing.

Ps. feel free to hit me back for my house prediction which I admit was completely awful.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Bagel23 on November 30, 2018, 08:08:40 pm
So I got 35/36 gov seats right on my official atlas map while Cory got 28/36.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Cory Booker on November 30, 2018, 08:27:10 pm
Politician played politics with his predictions, and so did Solid. They vanished since the election and won't admit their mistakes.

Too many like us followed him


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on November 30, 2018, 08:44:17 pm
I look back at these polls and weep....


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Mr.Phips on November 30, 2018, 09:22:59 pm
Never again will I trust a Florida poll that shows a Democrat leading.  Never again.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on November 30, 2018, 11:01:02 pm
Never again will I trust a Florida poll that shows a Democrat leading.  Never again.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Landslide Andy on December 01, 2018, 12:04:35 am
Politician played politics with his predictions, and so did Solid. They vanished since the election and won't admit their mistakes.

Too many like us followed him

lol


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Cory Booker on December 01, 2018, 12:46:31 am
Where are they? They both said Cordray and Gillum winning and Solid still had Garcia winning


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Beet on December 01, 2018, 01:45:06 am
This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Landslide Andy on December 01, 2018, 03:22:34 am
This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.

You also said Republicans would win the House in a landslide like the day before that.


Title: Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Gillum +7
Post by: Beet on December 04, 2018, 12:02:33 am
This poll was taken before Hamiltongate, you know the one that most of the Forum called me a troll for saying would cost Gillum the race.

You also said Republicans would win the House in a landslide like the day before that.

(Image Link)

The Republicans were headed towards a red wave on the day I decided to stop posting about the midterms. It abruptly reverse on the day I left. See, the more I obsess over politics, the more everything I care about goes to hell in it.