Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Landslide Andy on October 22, 2018, 11:16:03 pm



Title: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 22, 2018, 11:16:03 pm
New Poll: Arkansas Governor by Hendrix College/Talk Business on 2018-10-19 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=520181019118)

Summary: D: 24%, R: 60%, I: 0%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://talkbusiness.net/2018/10/poll-trump-approval-soars-in-arkansas-hutchinson-rutledge-hold-big-leads/)


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Galletito on October 23, 2018, 12:41:55 am
Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 23, 2018, 12:59:48 am
Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

It's already competitive. Hutchinson is only leading by 36 points in a single poll which is not enough evidence to rate this safe R, Arkansas is hard to poll (just ask Sen. Pryor), and anything can happen in politics. In fact, I'm predicting Dems take this seat because polls are fake news and muh Dem wave.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Technocracy Timmy on October 23, 2018, 01:07:41 am
Arkansas only has 23 more presidential cycles before it breaks Vermontís GOP streak. The GOP just need to solidify the trailer park vote for another 4 generations.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: mgop on October 23, 2018, 07:27:44 am
arkansas best knows what clinton did to a state. because of that dems are forever gone there.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: KingSweden on October 23, 2018, 09:03:44 am
Looks about right


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 23, 2018, 09:33:30 am
I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: RINO Tom on October 23, 2018, 10:02:52 am
I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Alabama_Indy10 on October 23, 2018, 10:21:29 am
Nothing to see here.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 23, 2018, 02:56:34 pm
I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Arkansas Yankee on October 23, 2018, 09:39:23 pm
Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s
Like Hillary did.  Arkansas as moved on from the Clintons.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Suburban Cincinnati Soccer Moms for Beshear on October 23, 2018, 09:45:11 pm
Bill Clinton could have made this competitive /s

It's already competitive. Hutchinson is only leading by 36 points in a single poll which is not enough evidence to rate this safe R, Arkansas is hard to poll (just ask Sen. Pryor), and anything can happen in politics. In fact, I'm predicting Dems take this seat because polls are fake news and muh Dem wave.

Hutchinson's margin is under 40. Not good!


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Pro-Life Single Issue Voter on October 23, 2018, 09:48:50 pm
Does Arkansas still have a reverse age gap?  The article noted that Hutchinson was leading with all age groups but was doing "particularly well with voters under 30".


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Socialists are Pro-Choice Fascists on October 23, 2018, 09:56:18 pm
I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon on October 23, 2018, 10:08:51 pm
Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Beet on October 23, 2018, 10:11:00 pm
Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.

And yet as recently as 2014 mainstream pundits were saying Mark Pryor would likely survive.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: RoboWop on October 23, 2018, 10:32:44 pm
Yep. It's practically illegal to vote for a Democrat in Arkansas.

And yet as recently as 2014 mainstream pundits were saying Mark Pryor would likely survive.

He did get 79%. Clearly Safe D.


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 24, 2018, 09:38:29 am
I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

It was being said in mid to late 2016, not just 2013 lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=240905.0


Title: Re: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Hutchinson +36
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 24, 2018, 10:21:58 am
I thought AR was still a Democratic state at heart, though?

Anyway, safest R race in the country.

Why?  Where has anyone said that any time remotely recently?

Well, I recall many people thinking Elliott County, KY would vote for Hillary because it was still "Democratic at heart", which is actually even worse considering it went for Trump by 44 points as opposed to Arkansas' 27 points.
That was a fairly sensible statement back in 2013. Obama carried it in 2012, and Clinton got 90% in the 2008 primary there. Before we knew the candidates, it would be sensible to expect her to run a more populist campaign than Obama and outperform in Appalachia.

It was being said in mid to late 2016, not just 2013 lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=240905.0

This thread is just sad.