Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: TheRocketRaccoon on October 23, 2018, 11:07:07 am



Title: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on October 23, 2018, 11:07:07 am
https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2582

Gillum 52
DeSantis 46


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on October 23, 2018, 11:10:45 am
He's probably going to be fine.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Senator ON Progressive on October 23, 2018, 11:11:04 am
A Lean D race remains Lean D.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: PA is Lean D on October 23, 2018, 11:11:30 am
Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on October 23, 2018, 11:11:58 am
Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

They were really smart with Crist in 2006.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Xing on October 23, 2018, 11:13:10 am
Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

It'll be nice to see the electoral truism of "Democrats can't win NV-GOV/FL-GOV because they haven't in X many cycles!" finally die.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Gass3268 on October 23, 2018, 11:14:46 am
If you throw out the outliers on both sides, everything has been around 6-7 points in favor of Gillum.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: PA is Lean D on October 23, 2018, 11:19:16 am
Gillum is one point away from 100% support amongst blacks (Currently at 99-1% over DeSantis). Of course, that is unsurprising, but it's nice to see Andrew poking a hole into Kanye's balloon.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Mangez des pommes ! on October 23, 2018, 01:54:47 pm
So Nelson and Gillum are now running even? Interesting development.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Landslide Andy on October 23, 2018, 03:06:04 pm
I like how some polls show a close race in both the Sen/Gov race, some show Dems winning easily in both, and some show Gillum winning handily while Nelson lags far behind.

Regardless, it's fairly clear at this point you'd much rather be Gillum/Nelson than DeSantis/Scott.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Cory Booker on October 23, 2018, 03:34:49 pm
Cause Scott is the incumbent


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 23, 2018, 06:20:07 pm
Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

*Rubs hands together* excellent!


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on October 23, 2018, 07:04:18 pm
Yup, looks like the GOP is going to lose the Florida Governor's mansion for the first time in 20 years.

*Rubs hands together* excellent!
https://goo.gl/images/ALyRnk


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: TarHeelDem on October 23, 2018, 10:44:43 pm
Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Hammy on October 23, 2018, 11:18:36 pm
Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on October 24, 2018, 07:38:27 am
Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.

There is a pretty clear advantage built up now.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: History505 on October 24, 2018, 08:35:48 am
Gillum is going to bring it home.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: x on October 24, 2018, 11:03:31 am
Why are people so reluctant to move this to Likely D? You can let go, folks.

Best guess is because people have been burned by Florida so many times in the past.

There is a pretty clear advantage built up now.

Yes. Not only that, but polls - at least polling averages - are not that inaccurate in Florida. They did pretty well in gov/presidential races and only missed the Senate races in 2012/2016 by a somewhat comfortable amount (understated the winner).


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Use Your Illusion on October 24, 2018, 12:28:17 pm
Can't nut hard enough


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: President Johnson on October 24, 2018, 02:22:14 pm
Yeah, even RCP now moved this to lean Democratic. Andrew Gillum should be the first person to win the governorship since Lawton Chiles' reelection in 1994.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: sg0508 on October 24, 2018, 03:50:17 pm
Just watch for that "hidden" GOP vote, because it's become more socially unacceptable in the last four years to vote Republican. He may win, but watch out.


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Chaddyr23 on October 24, 2018, 03:54:33 pm
Based on the early vote, Republicans have a tiny lead, I dont see this +6 Gillum electorate voting and 14% of the vote is already in


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Mr. Illini on October 24, 2018, 07:04:16 pm
Closing strong in Florida for both SEN and GOV - let's bring it home!


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Mondale on October 24, 2018, 10:45:35 pm
DeRacist is finished


Title: Re: FL Quinnipiac: Gillum +6
Post by: Galletito on October 25, 2018, 12:27:38 am
Based on the early vote, Republicans have a tiny lead, I dont see this +6 Gillum electorate voting and 14% of the vote is already in

Thank you for your feelings