Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on October 26, 2018, 12:06:41 AM



Title: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Tender Branson on October 26, 2018, 12:06:41 AM
48% Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)
39% Steve Pearce (R)
13% Undecided

Quote
Of the undecided voters, when asked if Election Day were today, 55 percent of the undecided voters said they'd pick Lujan Grisham, while 45 percent of the undecided voters said they’d pick Pearce.

13 x 0,55 = +7% for MLG => 55% overall
13 x 0,45 = +6% for Peace => 45% overall

The poll was conducted from a web-survey of 400 likely New Mexican voters between October 17 and 25, with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.

https://www.krqe.com/news/politics-governement/elections/krqe-poll-indicates-lujan-grisham-leading-pearce-in-race-for-nm-governor/1550723726


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Free Bird on October 26, 2018, 12:08:20 AM
()


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 26, 2018, 12:08:30 AM
Weak Lean D.


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: ON Progressive on October 26, 2018, 12:09:32 AM
Safe D, the end.


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: IceSpear on October 26, 2018, 12:46:33 AM
But Atlas told me this race was toss up/tilt R because Weak Candidate™ Lujan Grisham "only" led by 2 points in Strong Candidate™ Steve Pearce's internals from a year and a half ago.


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Xing on October 26, 2018, 09:44:26 AM

::)


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Sir Mohamed on October 26, 2018, 09:50:42 AM

LOL... If Pearce was ahead by 5, it would be safe R, right?


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Rookie Yinzer on October 26, 2018, 09:53:12 AM


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Adam Griffin on October 26, 2018, 09:54:25 AM

What is wrong with you?


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 26, 2018, 09:58:11 AM
But Atlas told me this race was toss up/tilt R because Weak Candidate™ Lujan Grisham "only" led by 2 points in Strong Candidate™ Steve Pearce's internals from a year and a half ago.


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Skye on October 26, 2018, 10:25:55 AM
Notable because this same pollster has Heinrich at just 40%, which means they could be understating Democratic support.


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: pbrower2a on October 26, 2018, 11:56:35 AM
I wouldn't put much trust in a web-based poll in one of the poorest states in the Union, especially where the poor are associated heavily with one or two ethnic groups.


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: CookieDamage on October 26, 2018, 12:05:51 PM

He's probably joking


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: Interlocutor is just not there yet on October 26, 2018, 01:24:30 PM
But Atlas told me this race was toss up/tilt R because Weak Candidate™ Lujan Grisham "only" led by 2 points in Strong Candidate™ Steve Pearce's internals from a year and a half ago.


Throw in a "But muh ___!" and this would be the perfect template for an Atlas Drinking Game I'm working on.

#CandidateQualityMatters


Title: Re: NM-KRQE News 13: Lujan-Grisham (D) +9 or +10
Post by: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on October 26, 2018, 02:47:28 PM
This race is Likely D.