Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: IceSpear on October 28, 2018, 10:29:01 AM



Title: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: IceSpear on October 28, 2018, 10:29:01 AM
New Poll: Arizona Governor by YouGov on 2018-10-26 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=420181026178)

Summary: D: 41%, R: 52%, I: 0%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/k1oa1jks0d/cbs_20181028_AZ_final.pdf)


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: IceSpear on October 28, 2018, 10:29:21 AM
#HeresHowGarciaCanStillWin


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 28, 2018, 10:45:31 AM
This looks pretty accurate.


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 28, 2018, 12:13:19 PM
Garcia was good at first. Now he's a weak candidate


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: TheSaint250 on October 28, 2018, 12:18:03 PM
Wow it's almost like Garcia/Democratic internals and horrible public polls were terrible metrics for thinking that Ducey would go down


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: IceSpear on October 28, 2018, 12:19:12 PM
Garcia was good at first. Now he's a weak candidate

lol, Atlas judgment of "candidate quality" is so fickle. Pepperidge Farm remembers when Garcia was an amazing candidate.

I can't wait for "Heller Weak Candidate/Rosen Strong Candidate" to become a thing on November 7th though.


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 28, 2018, 12:26:59 PM
Garcia was good at first. Now he's a weak candidate

lol, Atlas judgment of "candidate quality" is so fickle. Pepperidge Farm remembers when Garcia was an amazing candidate.

I can't wait for "Heller Weak Candidate/Rosen Strong Candidate" to become a thing on November 7th though.

Only Zaybay and Solid has the state Lean D


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on October 28, 2018, 01:07:39 PM
Garcia was good at first. Now he's a weak candidate

lol, Atlas judgment of "candidate quality" is so fickle. Pepperidge Farm remembers when Garcia was an amazing candidate.

I can't wait for "Heller Weak Candidate/Rosen Strong Candidate" to become a thing on November 7th though.

Remember when Ron Johnson was a bad candidate until he won? Then everyone said he was a "great candidate" LOL


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: Zaybay on October 28, 2018, 01:27:41 PM
Garcia was good at first. Now he's a weak candidate

lol, Atlas judgment of "candidate quality" is so fickle. Pepperidge Farm remembers when Garcia was an amazing candidate.

I can't wait for "Heller Weak Candidate/Rosen Strong Candidate" to become a thing on November 7th though.

Only Zaybay and Solid has the state Lean D
yeah, I did back when all we had were the internals and crappy public polls. Its clearly a likely R race.

Edit: I plan to update my guber ratings the day before the election, same with the senate.


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: Senator Incitatus on October 28, 2018, 04:22:23 PM
Garcia was good at first. Now he's a weak candidate

lol, Atlas judgment of "candidate quality" is so fickle. Pepperidge Farm remembers when Garcia was an amazing candidate.

I can't wait for "Heller Weak Candidate/Rosen Strong Candidate" to become a thing on November 7th though.

Remember when Ron Johnson was a bad candidate until he won? Then everyone said he was a "great candidate" LOL

In reality, Feingold was just terrible.


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on October 29, 2018, 09:09:23 AM
Garcia was good at first. Now he's a weak candidate

lol, Atlas judgment of "candidate quality" is so fickle. Pepperidge Farm remembers when Garcia was an amazing candidate.

I can't wait for "Heller Weak Candidate/Rosen Strong Candidate" to become a thing on November 7th though.

Remember when Ron Johnson was a bad candidate until he won? Then everyone said he was a "great candidate" LOL

In reality, Feingold was just terrible.
HOW DARE YOU INSULT MY KING

No lol... I love Feingold but I think when you get voted out of office and then run again for the same office voters tend to dislike that.


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 29, 2018, 09:19:41 AM
It Hillary's weakness in WI and MI that hurt Feingold. She was supposed to win those states by Obama like margins.  But, Dems don't have a bench in AZ aside from Sinema and Giffords


Title: Re: AZ: YouGov: Ducey +11
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 29, 2018, 06:46:47 PM
It Hillary's weakness in WI and MI that hurt Feingold. She was supposed to win those states by Obama like margins.  But, Dems don't have a bench in AZ aside from Sinema and Giffords

Ruben Gallego says hi. Granted, he is probably better off running in the open election for McCain's seat in 2020.