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Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Gass3268 on October 28, 2018, 03:48:41 pm



Title: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: Gass3268 on October 28, 2018, 03:48:41 pm
48% Gillum
43% DeSantis

Source (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-flgov-3.html)

Among those who have already voted:

51% Gillum
45% DeSantis


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: President Johnson on October 28, 2018, 03:50:29 pm
Yes!! I think that Gillum will overperform on election night. He'll probably end up with 51% of the vote and do substancially better than Rick Scott did in both of his races.


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: ajc0918 on October 28, 2018, 04:00:48 pm
Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: Gass3268 on October 28, 2018, 04:05:18 pm
Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Get them to vote! Take them with you!


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: ajc0918 on October 28, 2018, 04:14:17 pm
Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Get them to vote! Take them with you!

We're working on it! I will say the outreach has been pretty superb so far. I early voted yesterday but before that I had been getting multiple text reminders per day to vote from different organizations. I would get them from the Gillum campaign, NextGen, Need to Impeach, the DNC, and my local democratic party. I was impressed.


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: Snek! on October 28, 2018, 04:14:25 pm
Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Get them to vote! Take them with you!

Tell them that if they don't vote, a dangerous retard like myself will be deciding how they live. Trust me.


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: President Johnson on October 28, 2018, 04:16:07 pm
Gillum getting 67% of voters aged 18-29 is brutal for the GOP.

I swear to god if my friends don't vote...

Millenials/Gen Z > Boomers


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: Xing on October 28, 2018, 05:49:40 pm
Another day, another poll showing Gillum ahead. A reminder that polls were not that far off in Florida in 2016.


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: Roblox on October 28, 2018, 06:03:33 pm
Another day, another poll showing Gillum ahead. A reminder that polls were not that far off in Florida in 2016.

Indeed, poll averages are actually pretty accurate in Florida, usually being within 2 points or so.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/governor/fl/florida_governor_scott_vs_crist-3545.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/fl/florida_governor_scott_vs_sink_vs_chiles-1607.html

The exception is the 2016 senate race, where Rubio was ahead by 3.7 in the rcp average but won by nearly 8, but Patrick Murphy was a weak candidate who didn't get much outside support anyway.


Title: Re: NYT/Siena: Gillum +5
Post by: olowakandi on October 28, 2018, 06:08:19 pm
Great news, SN and UWS are wrong about DeSantis winning