Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: The Other Castro on October 30, 2018, 09:10:27 AM



Title: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: The Other Castro on October 30, 2018, 09:10:27 AM
Ned Lamont - 47%
Bob Stefanowski - 43%
Oz Griebel - 7%

https://poll.qu.edu/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2584


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: The Other Castro on October 30, 2018, 09:13:59 AM
On the surface this doesn’t look great for Lamont, with his Q lead falling from 8 to 4, but there are some notable details to point out in this poll. Not to sound like an unskewer, but for one thing, the Dem ID % advantage over GOP was also reduced by 4 from the previous poll, and it seems pretty unlikely that the Dem ID advantage is only going to be +8. For another, Griebel’s actual result will likely be halved from the polling, and more voters say their second choice is Lamont.


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Skye on October 30, 2018, 11:01:04 AM
Holy crap this tightened considerably.


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 30, 2018, 11:20:14 AM
Fool's gold for the GOP.


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Tartarus Sauce on October 30, 2018, 11:38:16 AM


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Thinking_Big on October 30, 2018, 11:40:35 AM
Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Skye on October 30, 2018, 11:42:27 AM
Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.

LMAO


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: IceSpear on October 30, 2018, 11:47:36 AM
Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.

Uh, what? Quinnipiac is not a D pollster, and they also have never polled New Hampshire. It sounds like you're talking about UNH (which is also not a D pollster, but was indeed off by double digits in 2016.)


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: ON Progressive on October 30, 2018, 11:52:25 AM
Wow, and Quinnipiac is a D pollster (their final poll in New Hampshire was D+12 but the actual was D+0.4). Now you can't expect them to be favoring Ds in this particular poll, but they're not a pollster that would be biased in favor of Rs, here. Perhaps they're just really terrible at getting good samples.

Uh, what? Quinnipiac is not a D pollster, and they also have never polled New Hampshire. It sounds like you're talking about UNH (which is also not a D pollster, but was indeed off by double digits in 2016.)

To a not insignificant amount of Republicans (I'd argue the majority actually), every pollster is a Democratic pollster except Rasmussen, which is a completely accurate and independent pollster.


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Xing on October 30, 2018, 12:00:37 PM
Great, we need another "Rs will win every competitive race!" hack on the forum who just joined. We don't already have 6 of those. ::) Anyway, this seems a little generous to the Republicans, but maybe it wasn't crazy to think that Republicans have a better shot here than in Rhode Island.


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: junior chįmp on October 30, 2018, 12:16:46 PM
What kind of a name is Oz Griebel?


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Tender Branson on October 30, 2018, 12:21:14 PM

I always read "Oz Gabriel".


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Tintrlvr on October 30, 2018, 01:01:07 PM

I believe his(?) ethnicity is "children's fantasy novel villain."


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: President Johnson on October 30, 2018, 02:02:20 PM
Not a great poll, though I still believe Lamont should have this in the bag. Would be sad if not, because he's a very fine candidate.


Me too, what leads me to think about my fallen hero Sigmar Gabriel.


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: Technocracy Timmy on October 30, 2018, 02:06:58 PM


Title: Re: CT-Quinnipiac: Lamont +4
Post by: ctrepublican512 on October 30, 2018, 02:45:42 PM
Lol you people are such hacks. Its not really outlandish that its competitive, its been that way for the past few gubernatorials. Not saying Lamont won’t win but you people are really insufferable. And again, its not crazy that Oz has the showing he does. Hesybeen very involved in the Hartford metro area and ran for Governor before. And I’m not quite sure why people think Lamont is such a good candidate—if that was the case he would be polling much higher. The amount of money he has spent would suggest he would have an advantage, which he probably does but clearly there are other issues with his candidacy.