Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: TheRocketRaccoon on October 30, 2018, 01:37:16 PM



Title: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: TheRocketRaccoon on October 30, 2018, 01:37:16 PM
https://dfw.cbslocal.com/2018/10/30/cruz-abbott-pull-ahead-in-latest-poll/

Cruz 52
Beto 42


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on October 30, 2018, 01:39:16 PM
Beto is too liberal to win in TX


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Gass3268 on October 30, 2018, 01:39:35 PM
Just what we need another Texas poll.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 30, 2018, 01:40:31 PM
Probably a little too Republican, but Likely R, and closer to Safe than Lean.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: OSR stands with Israel on October 30, 2018, 01:41:32 PM
Just what we need another Texas poll.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: 2016 on October 30, 2018, 01:44:59 PM
Game Over for O'Rourke.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Woody on October 30, 2018, 01:49:16 PM

You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️ on October 30, 2018, 01:49:18 PM
Despite most people seeming to think it will end up Cruz+5 or less, it is not really implausible that Cruz could end up winning by this much. Despite Dems improving a lot in early vote relative to 2014, Republicans are also turning out a lot of voters, including infrequent voters. Maybe that might change in the last few days of early voting, but so far...


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on October 30, 2018, 01:52:26 PM
Despite most people seeming to think it will end up Cruz+5 or less, it is not really implausible that Cruz could end up winning by this much. Despite Dems improving a lot in early vote relative to 2014, Republicans are also turning out a lot of voters, including infrequent voters. Maybe that might change in the last few days of early voting, but so far...
They overestimated Trump in TX in 2016 too so I'm not really all that concerned :P


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Politician on October 30, 2018, 02:00:54 PM
Lol. Junk poll.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: 2016 on October 30, 2018, 03:01:54 PM

You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.

It was.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Webnicz on October 30, 2018, 03:01:59 PM
I Would rather see a poll for the election of constable in a small county of 300 people before I see another Texas poll


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Ebsy on October 30, 2018, 03:09:26 PM
Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: I Can Now Die Happy on October 30, 2018, 03:24:03 PM
Cruz will probably win by low double digits so I say this is the most accurate poll of all the latest ones


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: DrScholl on October 30, 2018, 03:30:23 PM

You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.

It's actually not so funny for Republicans if Beto performs well enough to help bring down Republican incumbents in House districts. But pettiness is all some people have, especially the users that show up right before every election to be cheerleaders for Republicans.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Badger on October 30, 2018, 04:11:19 PM
Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care

Fivethirtyeight ranking?


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: DataGuy on October 30, 2018, 04:16:56 PM
Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care

Fivethirtyeight ranking?

FiveThirtyEight ranks Dixie Strategies as a B minus. It's not a top-tier gold standard pollster, but I wouldn't call it trash. They're about average.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: IceSpear on October 30, 2018, 05:53:55 PM
Outlier, but yeah, Cruz is almost certainly going to win.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Progressive Pessimist on October 30, 2018, 07:47:38 PM

The game actually never really started, despite the press attention.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Wisconsin+17 on October 31, 2018, 10:14:46 PM
Likely R -> Safe R.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Calthrina950 on October 31, 2018, 10:25:16 PM

Safe Republican is a stretch, but Cruz has the upper hand, and has had it the entire year. Democrats have wasted millions of dollars and a significant amount of resources on a state they were never going to win in the first place. All of those funds, ads, campaign volunteers, posters, rallies, etc. could have been focused in states like Missouri, Indiana, Arizona, and Nevada, where they actually have a chance of winning. We will see what the results of this strategy will reap next week.


Title: Re: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 01, 2018, 12:28:38 AM
An upset can happen like it did to Feingold on election day. Just like in TN. These are tilt R but not safe GOP. Due to another poll showing Cruz up by 4-5 again