Title: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Scottholes 2.0 on November 02, 2018, 09:34:18 AM Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on November 02, 2018, 09:38:56 AM Consider the source, though.
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Sir Mohamed on November 02, 2018, 09:40:00 AM Margin could be somewhat accurate, but:
> e m e r s o n Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Person Man on November 02, 2018, 09:41:23 AM Throw it all in there. That's all we can do.
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Scottholes 2.0 on November 02, 2018, 09:52:06 AM Margin could be somewhat accurate, but: > e m e r s o n Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Virginiá on November 02, 2018, 10:15:37 AM Consider the source, though. The only argument this entire election for your Walker prediction has been "ignore every poll but the one that shows Walker doing OK because every other poll shows him losing." They should use you in poli sci classes as the Gold Standard in how to not interpret polls. Classic confirmation bias if I ever saw it. That is, unless you're just trolling, which is the most probable answer here, in which case you should just go in a Hall Of Fame for assholes. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on November 02, 2018, 10:19:15 AM Consider the source, though. The only argument this entire election for your Walker prediction has been "ignore every poll but the one that shows Walker doing OK because every other poll shows him losing." They should use you in poli sci classes as the Gold Standard in how to not interpret polls. Classic confirmation bias if I ever saw it. That is, unless you're just trolling, which is the most probable answer here, in which case you should just go in a Hall Of Fame for assholes. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Virginiá on November 02, 2018, 10:22:19 AM Consider the source, though. The only argument this entire election for your Walker prediction has been "ignore every poll but the one that shows Walker doing OK because every other poll shows him losing." They should use you in poli sci classes as the Gold Standard in how to not interpret polls. Classic confirmation bias if I ever saw it. That is, unless you're just trolling, which is the most probable answer here, in which case you should just go in a Hall Of Fame for assholes. It's not about Emerson. It's just about this behavior of deciding what you want and then selectively tossing out anything that challenges that view. It's clear as day with you. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Gass3268 on November 02, 2018, 10:24:31 AM I really hope we get another poll in this race, but I doubt we will.
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 02, 2018, 10:25:12 AM Walker will lose
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers+5 Post by: Scottholes 2.0 on November 02, 2018, 10:32:03 AM Consider the source, though. The only argument this entire election for your Walker prediction has been "ignore every poll but the one that shows Walker doing OK because every other poll shows him losing." They should use you in poli sci classes as the Gold Standard in how to not interpret polls. Classic confirmation bias if I ever saw it. That is, unless you're just trolling, which is the most probable answer here, in which case you should just go in a Hall Of Fame for assholes. She's right, though. The fact that you even dismissed the Marist poll (which as almost as good as MU) is telling. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Wiz in Wis on November 02, 2018, 10:48:28 AM I really hope we get another poll in this race, but I doubt we will. I heard rumor we're expecting a Suffolk poll, but maybe not? Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Xing on November 02, 2018, 11:01:54 AM If only this weren't Memerson.
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Calthrina950 on November 02, 2018, 11:38:32 AM If only this weren't Memerson. Why does Emerson have such a bad reputation on here? Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Scottholes 2.0 on November 05, 2018, 12:50:24 PM If only this weren't Memerson. Why does Emerson have such a bad reputation on here? Not sure? Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: YE on November 05, 2018, 12:52:52 PM If only this weren't Memerson. Why does Emerson have such a bad reputation on here? Emerson is landline only. Empty quote this if you have a landline. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Gass3268 on November 05, 2018, 12:59:05 PM If only this weren't Memerson. Why does Emerson have such a bad reputation on here? Emerson is landline only. Empty quote this if you have a landline. They use an online component to simulate calling cellphones. Not great, but better than they were. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: MT Treasurer on November 05, 2018, 01:46:37 PM For the sake of all of us (especially our WI posters) I hope this won’t be one of those all-nighters, regardless of who wins.
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Scottholes 2.0 on November 05, 2018, 02:54:18 PM Sabato's Crystal Ball has this race as Lean D now: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-governor/
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: President Johnson on November 05, 2018, 02:59:57 PM Three losin' Scotts: Scott Walker, Scott Wagner, Rick Scott
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Calthrina950 on November 05, 2018, 05:19:15 PM Three losin' Scotts: Scott Walker, Scott Wagner, Rick Scott This is ironic. However, their margins of defeat will vary. Wagner looks set to lose by ~20-25 points, but Walker and Scott will keep their losing margins to within 5 points or so. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: cg41386 on November 05, 2018, 05:25:14 PM If only this weren't Memerson. Why does Emerson have such a bad reputation on here? Emerson is landline only. Empty quote this if you have a landline. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Progressive Pessimist on November 05, 2018, 07:06:44 PM Three losin' Scotts: Scott Walker, Scott Wagner, Rick Scott Probably not Phil though. It's a funny coincidence though if it happens. It's like the inverse of 2014 when every Mark lost, except for Mark Warner who almost lost. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Dukakisite1988 on November 06, 2018, 07:50:21 AM I fear some shy Walker voters. Let's see.
Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Wisconsin SC Race 2019 on November 06, 2018, 10:36:45 AM I fear some shy Walker voters. Let's see. Title: Re: WI Emerson: Evers +5 Post by: Virginiá on November 06, 2018, 10:40:19 AM I fear some shy Walker voters. Let's see. User: I'm worried about [issue] and that [Walker] may win, for [reason] hofoid: Yeah me too, this exact reason. |