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Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Gass3268 on November 02, 2018, 03:25:25 pm



Title: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: Gass3268 on November 02, 2018, 03:25:25 pm
Casey 54 (+1)
Barletta 40 (+5)

Source (https://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-nws-muhlenberg-pa-poll-wolf-casey-20181102-story.html)

46% of Pennslyvania won't vote for Bob Casey.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: Pittsburgh For Kamala on November 02, 2018, 03:27:58 pm
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Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: IceSpear on November 02, 2018, 03:34:08 pm
Beautiful poll! I can't wait to see DepLourable go down in flames. :)


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: Vega on November 02, 2018, 03:35:06 pm
Barletta really is a piece of s.hit.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: Pittsburgh For Kamala on November 02, 2018, 03:41:37 pm
LOL, this is the first poll showing Barletta in the 40s.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: yeah_93 on November 02, 2018, 03:42:16 pm
Beautiful poll! I can't wait to see DepLourable go down in flames. :)

Why? It's one of Casey's worst polls. I'd think he'd win by more.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: Pittsburgh For Kamala on November 02, 2018, 03:44:09 pm
Beautiful poll! I can't wait to see DepLourable go down in flames. :)

Why? It's one of Casey's worst polls. I'd think he'd win by more.

Um, Casey is running 10 points ahead of where he was now in 2012 according to the RCP average.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: MT Treasurer on November 02, 2018, 03:47:55 pm
Even if polls are overestimating Republicans again, PA is really looking more and more like a blue than a swing state for 2020. I really donít think the state is part of Trump's path of least resistance to 270, honestly.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: yeah_93 on November 02, 2018, 03:48:49 pm
Beautiful poll! I can't wait to see DepLourable go down in flames. :)

Why? It's one of Casey's worst polls. I'd think he'd win by more.

Um, Casey is running 10 points ahead of where he was now in 2012 according to the RCP average.

I was referring to his numbers during this race. I thought it was obvious, since the GOP candidate in 2012 at least showed some signs of life.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: IceSpear on November 02, 2018, 04:03:12 pm
Beautiful poll! I can't wait to see DepLourable go down in flames. :)

Why? It's one of Casey's worst polls. I'd think he'd win by more.

What do you mean? It fits in with the other polls pretty well (besides that fake one mds added, lol.) I actually figured Barletta would've narrowed the gap, but he's utterly failed to do so.

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Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: yeah_93 on November 02, 2018, 04:09:42 pm
Beautiful poll! I can't wait to see DepLourable go down in flames. :)

Why? It's one of Casey's worst polls. I'd think he'd win by more.

What do you mean? It fits in with the other polls pretty well (besides that fake one mds added, lol.) I actually figured Barletta would've narrowed the gap, but he's utterly failed to do so.

()

Oh yeah, I forgot that while Barletta was always in the 30's Casey wasn't really in the high 50's. Still, I wouldn't expect Barletta to perform better than that.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: Bagel23 on November 02, 2018, 04:20:18 pm
Again, I think we will see a visible amount of Barletta/Wolf voters in northeastern PA specifically around Luzerne. But I still think Casey narrowly wins Luzerne. Senate race likely D gov race safe D.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: wbrocks67 on November 02, 2018, 05:59:41 pm
Both Wagner and Barletta's ceilings appear to be 40%. I don't think either have risen above that mark in any legit poll.


Title: Re: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +14
Post by: Vega on November 02, 2018, 11:32:38 pm
Beautiful poll! I can't wait to see DepLourable go down in flames. :)

Why? It's one of Casey's worst polls. I'd think he'd win by more.

Um, Casey is running 10 points ahead of where he was now in 2012 according to the RCP average.

I was referring to his numbers during this race. I thought it was obvious, since the GOP candidate in 2012 at least showed some signs of life.

Ironically the 2012 nominee ("Tom Smith") died like two years after the election.